Debate tonight
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Surprised @Axtremus hasn’t posted this yet.
Link to video -
Nate is PISSED…
https://www.natesilver.net/p/joe-biden-should-drop-out
A few highlights:
If I were a single parent supporting three kids on a minimum-wage job, who barely had time to follow the news, could you really fault me for thinking the one thing I know is that this guy is too fucking old to be president??
I chuckled at this one
But he absolutely crushed Biden, 67-33, in CNN’s poll of debate-watchers. How bad do you have to screw up to lose a debate by 34 points to Donald Trump in a country as divided as this one??
He almost says the quiet part out loud…
White House staffers who unskew the polls showing Biden trailing, charlatans selling you “hopium”, columnists who predicted (!) that Trump was going to drop out of the debate (!!) — if you’re a Democrat, you should be angry at these people for putting you in this predicament. The same goes for special interest groups who insisted that Kamala Harris ought to be VP — against Biden’s initial instincts — even though she’d just run one of the most underperforming campaigns in primary history. Without that, Democrats would have a better set of options, or Biden might not have run again in the first place..
Whoa, bitching about RBG?!
And you should be angry at Joe Biden, every bit as much as you should be angry at Ruth Bader Ginsburg..
Can he recover, Nate?
But instead he’s behind. And once the polling fully accounts for the effects of the debate within a few weeks, he’s likely to be as far behind as he’s ever been, with less time left than he’s ever had. How is the man you saw on stage tonight supposed to turn things around? Or even a 30 percent better version of the man you saw tonight? Sure, it’s possible. But is that really the bet you want to make if you’re a Democrat who thinks Trump is an existential threat to democracy and everything else??
What are the other options?
Picking a new nominee via superdelegates at the convention would be like attending a shitshow at a plumbers’ convention. And Harris remains quite unpopular too, although her disapproval ratings are now notably better than Biden’s. Either of these candidates are probably below 50 percent to win against Trump. But what matters is that they’re probably better bets than Biden. Give me Harris at this point, who at least is more of a blank slate. I’m not a Gavin Newsom guy, but give me Newsom, who at least has had designs on the job and governs a state with the 5th largest economy in the world. Harris and Newsom are very much not my preferred options — but I prefer them to Biden.
But don’t give me any more bullshit about how age is just a number or just a media fixation — or how changing candidates just isn’t how it’s done. We’re playing the highest-stakes game of poker you can imagine, and you do whatever in your power to improve your odds — even if it’s only from 25 percent to 35 percent..
So who are you going to vote for?
since I don’t live in a swing state: after that debate tonight, I’m going to vote third-party if Biden remains on the ballot as a protest against Biden’s irresponsibility in seeking a second term and the Democratic Party’s irresponsibility in nominating him without a serious primary contest..
@LuFins-Dad said in Debate tonight:
Nate is PISSED…
https://www.natesilver.net/p/joe-biden-should-drop-out
A few highlights:
If I were a single parent supporting three kids on a minimum-wage job, who barely had time to follow the news, could you really fault me for thinking the one thing I know is that this guy is too fucking old to be president??
I chuckled at this one
But he absolutely crushed Biden, 67-33, in CNN’s poll of debate-watchers. How bad do you have to screw up to lose a debate by 34 points to Donald Trump in a country as divided as this one??
He almost says the quiet part out loud…
White House staffers who unskew the polls showing Biden trailing, charlatans selling you “hopium”, columnists who predicted (!) that Trump was going to drop out of the debate (!!) — if you’re a Democrat, you should be angry at these people for putting you in this predicament. The same goes for special interest groups who insisted that Kamala Harris ought to be VP — against Biden’s initial instincts — even though she’d just run one of the most underperforming campaigns in primary history. Without that, Democrats would have a better set of options, or Biden might not have run again in the first place..
Whoa, bitching about RBG?!
And you should be angry at Joe Biden, every bit as much as you should be angry at Ruth Bader Ginsburg..
Can he recover, Nate?
But instead he’s behind. And once the polling fully accounts for the effects of the debate within a few weeks, he’s likely to be as far behind as he’s ever been, with less time left than he’s ever had. How is the man you saw on stage tonight supposed to turn things around? Or even a 30 percent better version of the man you saw tonight? Sure, it’s possible. But is that really the bet you want to make if you’re a Democrat who thinks Trump is an existential threat to democracy and everything else??
What are the other options?
Picking a new nominee via superdelegates at the convention would be like attending a shitshow at a plumbers’ convention. And Harris remains quite unpopular too, although her disapproval ratings are now notably better than Biden’s. Either of these candidates are probably below 50 percent to win against Trump. But what matters is that they’re probably better bets than Biden. Give me Harris at this point, who at least is more of a blank slate. I’m not a Gavin Newsom guy, but give me Newsom, who at least has had designs on the job and governs a state with the 5th largest economy in the world. Harris and Newsom are very much not my preferred options — but I prefer them to Biden.
But don’t give me any more bullshit about how age is just a number or just a media fixation — or how changing candidates just isn’t how it’s done. We’re playing the highest-stakes game of poker you can imagine, and you do whatever in your power to improve your odds — even if it’s only from 25 percent to 35 percent..
So who are you going to vote for?
since I don’t live in a swing state: after that debate tonight, I’m going to vote third-party if Biden remains on the ballot as a protest against Biden’s irresponsibility in seeking a second term and the Democratic Party’s irresponsibility in nominating him without a serious primary contest..
Hard to disagree with anything he said.
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Shapiro did something today where he played back all of the journalists and pundits enthusiastically demanding Biden’s intelligence and vigor after the special counsel report. It was quite damning.
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What's amazing is how, to a man, the MSM has abandoned the "old but vigorous" line and adopted the "he's a geezer who's too old" line.
All of them.
Even the NYT has been forced to admit the obvious.
"Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08
The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.
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Not me. I was cackling madly.
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What's amazing is how, to a man, the MSM has abandoned the "old but vigorous" line and adopted the "he's a geezer who's too old" line.
All of them.
Even the NYT has been forced to admit the obvious.
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@89th said in Debate tonight:
I don't believe that Trump actually thinks he won and was cheated. That's what he tells his followers but he knows he lost.
And you know this, how?
@Jolly said in Debate tonight:
@89th said in Debate tonight:
I don't believe that Trump actually thinks he won and was cheated. That's what he tells his followers but he knows he lost.
And you know this, how?
A combination of hearsay and common sense. People have testified they heard Trump talk about how he knew he lost but wanted to show he puts up a fight. And he’s way to smart to actually think he was cheated on such a large scale where he didn’t actually lose by a landslide.
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@Jolly said in Debate tonight:
@89th said in Debate tonight:
I don't believe that Trump actually thinks he won and was cheated. That's what he tells his followers but he knows he lost.
And you know this, how?
A combination of hearsay and common sense. People have testified they heard Trump talk about how he knew he lost but wanted to show he puts up a fight. And he’s way to smart to actually think he was cheated on such a large scale where he didn’t actually lose by a landslide.
@89th said in Debate tonight:
@Jolly said in Debate tonight:
@89th said in Debate tonight:
I don't believe that Trump actually thinks he won and was cheated. That's what he tells his followers but he knows he lost.
And you know this, how?
A combination of hearsay and common sense. People have testified they heard Trump talk about how he knew he lost but wanted to show he puts up a fight. And he’s way to smart to actually think he was cheated on such a large scale where he didn’t actually lose by a landslide.
IOW, you pulled it out of your TDS ass.
“Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”
Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton
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Is anybody going to cover the fact that Biden said “Nobody will have their taxes raised if income is under $400K” during the same debate that he promised that he was going to let the Trump Tax cuts expire, which will raise taxes at all levels dramatically.
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@89th said in Debate tonight:
@Jolly said in Debate tonight:
@89th said in Debate tonight:
I don't believe that Trump actually thinks he won and was cheated. That's what he tells his followers but he knows he lost.
And you know this, how?
A combination of hearsay and common sense. People have testified they heard Trump talk about how he knew he lost but wanted to show he puts up a fight. And he’s way to smart to actually think he was cheated on such a large scale where he didn’t actually lose by a landslide.
IOW, you pulled it out of your TDS ass.
@Jolly said in Debate tonight:
@89th said in Debate tonight:
@Jolly said in Debate tonight:
@89th said in Debate tonight:
I don't believe that Trump actually thinks he won and was cheated. That's what he tells his followers but he knows he lost.
And you know this, how?
A combination of hearsay and common sense. People have testified they heard Trump talk about how he knew he lost but wanted to show he puts up a fight. And he’s way to smart to actually think he was cheated on such a large scale where he didn’t actually lose by a landslide.
IOW, you pulled it out of your TDS ass.
Guess I'm just using Trump's election loss strategery!
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Douglas Murray comments on the debate.
Link to video
