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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
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  3. The Racial Realignment

The Racial Realignment

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  • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

    @George-K said in The Racial Realignment:

    @Jolly said in The Racial Realignment:

    Remember what I said about the GOP?

    Remember what LBJ allegedly said about the Democrats? He was off by about 130 years.

    You guys (and the author) are putting too much weight into the African American vote and not enough on Hispanic and Asian vote.

    George KG Offline
    George KG Offline
    George K
    wrote on last edited by
    #10

    @LuFins-Dad said in The Racial Realignment:

    You guys (and the author) are putting too much weight into the African American vote and not enough on Hispanic and Asian vote.

    I didn't intend to. The Latino vote has taken a similar drop to the Black vote since 2000.

    Black: 80% -> 65%
    Latino: 60% -> 45%

    Going back to 1960, the differences are similar, but perhaps bigger for Latino and "other non-white".

    I found the age disparity also interesting.

    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • jon-nycJ Offline
      jon-nycJ Offline
      jon-nyc
      wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
      #11

      No doubt we’ve seen a shift, especially among non-white men, but boy are those data-free arrows from 20-24 doing a lot of work for his visual.

      Thank you for your attention to this matter.

      George KG 1 Reply Last reply
      • jon-nycJ Offline
        jon-nycJ Offline
        jon-nyc
        wrote on last edited by
        #12

        As is his choice of 1964 as a starting point, when the man who passed the Civil Rights Act was running.

        Thank you for your attention to this matter.

        George KG 1 Reply Last reply
        • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

          No doubt we’ve seen a shift, especially among non-white men, but boy are those data-free arrows from 20-24 doing a lot of work for his visual.

          George KG Offline
          George KG Offline
          George K
          wrote on last edited by
          #13

          @jon-nyc said in The Racial Realignment:

          data-free arrows

          At the bottom of the pitchers:

          Source: FT analysis of American National Election Studies, Cooperative Election Study and New York Times / Siena College poll (2024)

          Sources: Adam Carlson (@admcrlsn), FT analysis of recent polls

          Source: FT analysis of Cooperative Election Study. Based on Party of the People (Ruffini, 2023)

          "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

          The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

          1 Reply Last reply
          • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

            As is his choice of 1964 as a starting point, when the man who passed the Civil Rights Act was running.

            George KG Offline
            George KG Offline
            George K
            wrote on last edited by George K
            #14

            @jon-nyc said in The Racial Realignment:

            the man who passed the Civil Rights Act was running

            Are you really so convinced that LBJ passed the Civil Rights Act out of a sense of justice?

            Knowing what I've read about him, I would suspect something more ... practical.

            "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

            The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • jon-nycJ Offline
              jon-nycJ Offline
              jon-nyc
              wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
              #15

              What gave you the impression that I was opining on motive? All I said was that he passed the act, which he clearly did.

              Thank you for your attention to this matter.

              George KG 1 Reply Last reply
              • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                What gave you the impression that I was opining on motive? All I said was that he passed the act, which he clearly did.

                George KG Offline
                George KG Offline
                George K
                wrote on last edited by
                #16

                @jon-nyc said in The Racial Realignment:

                What gave you the impression that I was opining on motive?

                WRT to Burn-Murdoch? Nothing.

                "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                • George KG Offline
                  George KG Offline
                  George K
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #17

                  But...as long as you bring up motive.

                  With the mess at the border(s), does anyone believe that this is an accident? That this is a consequence of humanitarian goals?

                  We have decades of the likes of Biden, Obama, Schumer, and Pelosi decrying the influx of illegals into the US.

                  What changed?

                  Why?

                  Cui bono?

                  "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                  The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                  jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                  • George KG George K

                    @jon-nyc said in The Racial Realignment:

                    What gave you the impression that I was opining on motive?

                    WRT to Burn-Murdoch? Nothing.

                    jon-nycJ Offline
                    jon-nycJ Offline
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #18

                    @George-K said in The Racial Realignment:

                    @jon-nyc said in The Racial Realignment:

                    What gave you the impression that I was opining on motive?

                    WRT to Burn-Murdoch? Nothing.

                    No, with respect to Johnson’s pushing of the Civil Rights Act.

                    Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • George KG George K

                      But...as long as you bring up motive.

                      With the mess at the border(s), does anyone believe that this is an accident? That this is a consequence of humanitarian goals?

                      We have decades of the likes of Biden, Obama, Schumer, and Pelosi decrying the influx of illegals into the US.

                      What changed?

                      Why?

                      Cui bono?

                      jon-nycJ Offline
                      jon-nycJ Offline
                      jon-nyc
                      wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                      #19

                      @George-K said in The Racial Realignment:

                      But...as long as you bring up motive.

                      With the mess at the border(s), does anyone believe that this is an accident? That this is a consequence of humanitarian goals?

                      We have decades of the likes of Biden, Obama, Schumer, and Pelosi decrying the influx of illegals into the US.

                      What changed?

                      Why?

                      Cui bono?

                      Cui bono?

                      If you believe the NYT/Sienna poll, the GOP. It has blacks going dem by 44 points and Hispanics leaning republican.

                      Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                      George KG 1 Reply Last reply
                      • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                        @George-K said in The Racial Realignment:

                        But...as long as you bring up motive.

                        With the mess at the border(s), does anyone believe that this is an accident? That this is a consequence of humanitarian goals?

                        We have decades of the likes of Biden, Obama, Schumer, and Pelosi decrying the influx of illegals into the US.

                        What changed?

                        Why?

                        Cui bono?

                        Cui bono?

                        If you believe the NYT/Sienna poll, the GOP. It has blacks going dem by 44 points and Hispanics leaning republican.

                        George KG Offline
                        George KG Offline
                        George K
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #20

                        @jon-nyc said in The Racial Realignment:

                        Cui bono?

                        If you believe the NYT/Sienna poll, the GOP. It has blacks going dem by 44 points and Hispanics leaning republican.

                        Yeah, I get that. Does that poll have anything to do with polling the "migrants?"

                        And the black going GOP is historically high.

                        I don't know.

                        Purely anecdotal, most Hispanics I spoke, a long time ago, were opposed tl the illegals getting in. I don't think their views have changed.

                        Do you think that allowing all these people, the number of which exceeds the population of some states, is a cynical attempt at solidifying the "base?"

                        And related, do you think it might backfire?

                        "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                        The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • JollyJ Offline
                          JollyJ Offline
                          Jolly
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #21

                          Pure power politics.

                          LBJ smiled.

                          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

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