2024 Election Predictions
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Biden won’t be running. I always thought it would be a switch at the convention, but now I don’t even think it gets that far. It’s probably too late to primary him on Super Tuesday, though. So I think we will go into the convention knowing it will be brokered.
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I think Biden will still run unless he has a medical event. I seem to remember a number of people here were saying he would be replaced in his first term, too.
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Mr. Biden is finished, done, washed up.
The only question is whether there is enough time left to replace him. Or does Ms. Harris step into the top spot?
If it is Ms. Harris, and we get to know her a little better, she has no hope.
But whoever ends up on the ballot, the winner, from either party, will be the one who says the least. This puts Mr. Trump at a disadvantage.
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@George-K said in 2024 Election Predictions:
He’s got nothing to gain in debating Trump and everything to lose. I’ll agree with that prediction.
At least we won’t have to hear him call Trump a “clown” to his face.
Agree also. And because President Trump was not willing to debate during the primary, he has a "plausible" excuse for not doing it.
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There are WAY too many unknowns to make a prediction. Who comes out as the D nominee? What kind of deals are cut? How does the base respond? Then there’s the big question, Manchin. If Manchin runs, I don’t think he just plays spoiler. I think he takes electoral votes. Which raises big questions…
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“If it was 2013 — when did I stop being vice president?” he asked,
I don’t think that’s as big a deal as people are making it out to be. That happens to me all the time. I might ask out loud what year I moved to westchester or left credit Suisse or whatever.
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Every candidate of the past couple of decades other than the current 2, would win the upcoming election - Romney, Clinton, GWB, Gore, Obama. It's very disheartening to consider given the challenges the nation faces at this point in time. While Biden would get clobbered in a debate, both he and his nemesis have misplaced confidence in their cognitive abilities. I suspect Biden would relish the chance to lock horns with Trump.
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@jon-nyc said in 2024 Election Predictions:
“If it was 2013 — when did I stop being vice president?” he asked,
I don’t think that’s as big a deal as people are making it out to be. That happens to me all the time. I might ask out loud what year I moved to westchester or left credit Suisse or whatever.
I think you'd probably remember when you were Vice President of the United States, though.
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@kluurs said in 2024 Election Predictions:
Every candidate of the past couple of decades other than the current 2, would win the upcoming election - Romney, Clinton, GWB, Gore, Obama. It's very disheartening to consider given the challenges the nation faces at this point in time. While Biden would get clobbered in a debate, both he and his nemesis have misplaced confidence in their cognitive abilities. I suspect Biden would relish the chance to lock horns with Trump.
I disagree.
Never forget, Trump is a movement, not a traditional candidate.
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@Jolly said in 2024 Election Predictions:
Never forget, Trump is a movement
What are you going to do when he finally passes?
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There are 2 large groups, those who like Mr. Trump and those who hate him and insult him.
There are a few that hang around the middle in a smaller group.
To me the insults are remarkable, they just never stop. He might deserve some of it, but the childish nature of it is curious. And the opposition rarely says they hate some policy or other, it is just childish insults.
I can't think of many other politicians who have been treated like this. AOC, Tiny Tim or Pat Paulsen maybe.
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@Doctor-Phibes said in 2024 Election Predictions:
@Jolly said in 2024 Election Predictions:
Never forget, Trump is a movement
What are you going to do when he finally passes?
As I wrote, it's a movement. It transcends Trump. In fact, it already has.
The GOP of 89th is shrinking and will eventually be mostly swallowed up.
The new GOP will include more Hispanics, more blacks and be more blue collar friendly. It will emphasize traditional values, equal opportunity but not equity, tax reform, jobs, and hopefully, more fiscal responsibility.
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The new GOP will include more Hispanics, more blacks and be more blue collar friendly. It will emphasize traditional values, equal opportunity but not equity, tax reform, jobs, and hopefully, more fiscal responsibility.
Sounds like the Teamsters Union.
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@Jolly said in 2024 Election Predictions:
@Doctor-Phibes said in 2024 Election Predictions:
@Jolly said in 2024 Election Predictions:
Never forget, Trump is a movement
What are you going to do when he finally passes?
As I wrote, it's a movement. It transcends Trump. In fact, it already has.
The GOP of 89th is shrinking and will eventually be mostly swallowed up.
The new GOP will include more Hispanics, more blacks and be more blue collar friendly. It will emphasize traditional values, equal opportunity but not equity, tax reform, jobs, and hopefully, more fiscal responsibility.
And big government!
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@Jolly said in 2024 Election Predictions:
@Doctor-Phibes said in 2024 Election Predictions:
@Jolly said in 2024 Election Predictions:
Never forget, Trump is a movement
What are you going to do when he finally passes?
As I wrote, it's a movement. It transcends Trump. In fact, it already has.
The GOP of 89th is shrinking and will eventually be mostly swallowed up.
The new GOP will include more Hispanics, more blacks and be more blue collar friendly. It will emphasize traditional values, equal opportunity but not equity, tax reform, jobs, and hopefully, more fiscal responsibility.
I think there might be more than a tad of wishful thinking in there.
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@Jolly said in 2024 Election Predictions:
@Doctor-Phibes said in 2024 Election Predictions:
@Jolly said in 2024 Election Predictions:
Never forget, Trump is a movement
What are you going to do when he finally passes?
As I wrote, it's a movement. It transcends Trump. In fact, it already has.
The GOP of 89th is shrinking and will eventually be mostly swallowed up.
The new GOP will include more Hispanics, more blacks and be more blue collar friendly. It will emphasize traditional values, equal opportunity but not equity, tax reform, jobs, and hopefully, more fiscal responsibility.
That’s my GOP too. I just think it has a better chance under the leadership of someone who doesn’t have a long slug slime trail of losing behind him. So many election losses, so many bankrupt companies. So many former employees now in jail or in court.
The GOP has such an opportunity this year to set a long term growth strategy. Wasted because of loyalty to a con man.
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@Jolly said in 2024 Election Predictions:
As I wrote, it's a movement. It transcends Trump. In fact, it already has.
I disagree a bit. The movement is President Trump - without him, it will not continue I do not think.
So far, candidates that are like President Trump do not do very well in overall elections. They do well in the primaries, but not so good when exposed to a wider group of voters.
(Or course, there are exceptions, but those in in locations that would never vote for a Democrat.)