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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Florida

Florida

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved General Discussion
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  • George KG Offline
    George KG Offline
    George K
    wrote on last edited by
    #22

    Since you mentioned nursing homes, I would like to see a similar analysis of New York.

    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • Doctor PhibesD Offline
      Doctor PhibesD Offline
      Doctor Phibes
      wrote on last edited by
      #23

      The first question I always ask is, in this case 'Who is Justin Hart?'

      I was only joking

      1 Reply Last reply
      • jon-nycJ Offline
        jon-nycJ Offline
        jon-nyc
        wrote on last edited by
        #24

        Someone needs to tell him about time lag.

        Only non-witches get due process.

        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
        George KG L 2 Replies Last reply
        • Doctor PhibesD Offline
          Doctor PhibesD Offline
          Doctor Phibes
          wrote on last edited by
          #25

          It looks as though he's been saying we're over-reacting since at least March.

          Another one of those guys, IOW.

          I was only joking

          1 Reply Last reply
          • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

            Someone needs to tell him about time lag.

            George KG Offline
            George KG Offline
            George K
            wrote on last edited by
            #26

            @jon-nyc said in Florida:

            Someone needs to tell him about time lag.

            Here's some time perspective for Florida - re-opening vs cases vs deaths.

            Texas and Arizona also in the Twitter thread. Arizona is interesting.

            Toward the end of the thread there's California.

            "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

            The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • LuFins DadL Offline
              LuFins DadL Offline
              LuFins Dad
              wrote on last edited by
              #27

              Was thinking something similar regarding the lag. Let’s see the numbers of hospitalizations in Mid-July and deaths in early August.

              Still, the younger ages of the infected will likely result in lower rates of hospitalizations and deaths, so the truth will again be somewhere in the middle.

              The Brad

              1 Reply Last reply
              • jon-nycJ Offline
                jon-nycJ Offline
                jon-nyc
                wrote on last edited by
                #28

                Yeah, none of these tweets will age well. You would expect the first to venture out to the bars and theaters etc to be young. And for that matter protests. But when we get to the 2nd and 3rd generation of case spawned by that crowd, the age distribution will broaden.

                Only non-witches get due process.

                • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                • jon-nycJ Offline
                  jon-nycJ Offline
                  jon-nyc
                  wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                  #29

                  It's really only been about 2.5 weeks since the cases took off. And they really took off only in the last few days.

                  Screen Shot 2020-06-28 at 11.55.57 AM.png

                  Only non-witches get due process.

                  • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                  George KG 1 Reply Last reply
                  • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                    It's really only been about 2.5 weeks since the cases took off. And they really took off only in the last few days.

                    Screen Shot 2020-06-28 at 11.55.57 AM.png

                    George KG Offline
                    George KG Offline
                    George K
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #30

                    @jon-nyc interesting depressing.

                    Is that at the "infection2020" site?

                    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • jon-nycJ Offline
                      jon-nycJ Offline
                      jon-nyc
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #31

                      Those particular graphs were from NYT, I like them because they show the 7 day average.

                      Only non-witches get due process.

                      • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                        Someone needs to tell him about time lag.

                        L Offline
                        L Offline
                        Loki
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #32

                        @jon-nyc said in Florida:

                        Someone needs to tell him about time lag.

                        Even if the average age is 36?

                        LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                        • L Loki

                          @jon-nyc said in Florida:

                          Someone needs to tell him about time lag.

                          Even if the average age is 36?

                          LuFins DadL Offline
                          LuFins DadL Offline
                          LuFins Dad
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #33

                          @Loki said in Florida:

                          @jon-nyc said in Florida:

                          Someone needs to tell him about time lag.

                          Even if the average age is 36?

                          Especially when the average age is 36.

                          The Brad

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • jon-nycJ Offline
                            jon-nycJ Offline
                            jon-nyc
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #34

                            Yes.

                            Only non-witches get due process.

                            • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                            L 1 Reply Last reply
                            • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                              Yes.

                              L Offline
                              L Offline
                              Loki
                              wrote on last edited by Loki
                              #35

                              @jon-nyc said in Florida:

                              Yes.

                              Id love to see your math equation on that. What is your IFR on a 36 y.o.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                Yeah, none of these tweets will age well. You would expect the first to venture out to the bars and theaters etc to be young. And for that matter protests. But when we get to the 2nd and 3rd generation of case spawned by that crowd, the age distribution will broaden.

                                jon-nycJ Offline
                                jon-nycJ Offline
                                jon-nyc
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #36

                                @jon-nyc said in Florida:

                                Yeah, none of these tweets will age well. You would expect the first to venture out to the bars and theaters etc to be young. And for that matter protests. But when we get to the 2nd and 3rd generation of case spawned by that crowd, the age distribution will broaden.

                                Bumping for Loki, easier than repeating myself.

                                Only non-witches get due process.

                                • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                L 1 Reply Last reply
                                • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                  @jon-nyc said in Florida:

                                  Yeah, none of these tweets will age well. You would expect the first to venture out to the bars and theaters etc to be young. And for that matter protests. But when we get to the 2nd and 3rd generation of case spawned by that crowd, the age distribution will broaden.

                                  Bumping for Loki, easier than repeating myself.

                                  L Offline
                                  L Offline
                                  Loki
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #37

                                  @jon-nyc said in Florida:

                                  @jon-nyc said in Florida:

                                  Yeah, none of these tweets will age well. You would expect the first to venture out to the bars and theaters etc to be young. And for that matter protests. But when we get to the 2nd and 3rd generation of case spawned by that crowd, the age distribution will broaden.

                                  Bumping for Loki, easier than repeating myself.

                                  Ah, so that is the lag you are talking about. I think you are somewhat right but I think the old and vulnerable are much more protected this time around.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • jon-nycJ Offline
                                    jon-nycJ Offline
                                    jon-nyc
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #38

                                    Some stats from an NYT piece today.

                                    The situation in Miami is equally serious: One-third of all patients admitted to the city’s main public hospital over the past two weeks after going to the emergency room for car-crash injuries and other urgent problems have tested positive for the coronavirus.

                                    Orlando has seen an explosion of coronavirus: nearly 60 percent of all cases diagnosed in that county came in just the past two weeks.

                                    Only non-witches get due process.

                                    • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                    taiwan_girlT 1 Reply Last reply
                                    • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                      Some stats from an NYT piece today.

                                      The situation in Miami is equally serious: One-third of all patients admitted to the city’s main public hospital over the past two weeks after going to the emergency room for car-crash injuries and other urgent problems have tested positive for the coronavirus.

                                      Orlando has seen an explosion of coronavirus: nearly 60 percent of all cases diagnosed in that county came in just the past two weeks.

                                      taiwan_girlT Offline
                                      taiwan_girlT Offline
                                      taiwan_girl
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #39

                                      @jon-nyc said in Florida:

                                      Orlando has seen an explosion of coronavirus: nearly 60 percent of all cases diagnosed in that county came in just the past two weeks.

                                      Wasn't Disney World supposed to open soon? I would think that those plans will probably not go forward.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • jon-nycJ Offline
                                        jon-nycJ Offline
                                        jon-nyc
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #40

                                        DisneyWorld is set to open Saturday.

                                        Only non-witches get due process.

                                        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                        Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
                                        • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                          DisneyWorld is set to open Saturday.

                                          Doctor PhibesD Offline
                                          Doctor PhibesD Offline
                                          Doctor Phibes
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #41

                                          @jon-nyc said in Florida:

                                          DisneyWorld is set to open Saturday.

                                          It always was a Mickey Mouse operation

                                          I was only joking

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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