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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. The big short

The big short

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  • C Copper
    7 Apr 2020, 15:10

    I'm not surprised somebody did the math and came up with this answer.

    The forces of panic caution have to lose to economic forces eventually. It's a matter of time. How much time? I'd guess a few months. Just a guess.

    J Online
    J Online
    jon-nyc
    wrote on 7 Apr 2020, 15:19 last edited by
    #5

    @Copper said in The big short:

    I'm not surprised somebody did the math and came up with this answer.

    Link please?

    Only non-witches get due process.

    • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
    C 1 Reply Last reply 7 Apr 2020, 15:20
    • C Online
      C Online
      Copper
      wrote on 7 Apr 2020, 15:20 last edited by
      #6

      I have a lifetime limit on my insurance. That's fine with me.

      Someday maybe I'll get ambitious and try to figure out if that's enough.

      From the tone of your question, I assume you feel like the government should give me something extra for coronavirus, just because there are lots of headlines.

      I don't.

      A 1 Reply Last reply 7 Apr 2020, 15:23
      • J jon-nyc
        7 Apr 2020, 15:19

        @Copper said in The big short:

        I'm not surprised somebody did the math and came up with this answer.

        Link please?

        C Online
        C Online
        Copper
        wrote on 7 Apr 2020, 15:20 last edited by
        #7

        @jon-nyc said in The big short:

        @Copper said in The big short:

        I'm not surprised somebody did the math and came up with this answer.

        Link please?

        It's up there in GK's post.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • J Online
          J Online
          jon-nyc
          wrote on 7 Apr 2020, 15:21 last edited by
          #8

          Don’t see any math there. Nor any assumptions one would have to make in order to do the math.

          Only non-witches get due process.

          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
          C 1 Reply Last reply 7 Apr 2020, 15:26
          • C Copper
            7 Apr 2020, 15:20

            I have a lifetime limit on my insurance. That's fine with me.

            Someday maybe I'll get ambitious and try to figure out if that's enough.

            From the tone of your question, I assume you feel like the government should give me something extra for coronavirus, just because there are lots of headlines.

            I don't.

            A Offline
            A Offline
            Aqua Letifer
            wrote on 7 Apr 2020, 15:23 last edited by
            #9

            @Copper No I'm just trying to get to the crux of your position. You're advocating for a valuation of life to determine how bad the economy should get before we favor it over human lives. You've mentioned that others have already made this calculation.

            I'm straight up asking you how much you think your life is worth. If you get sick and are on a ventilator, how much should the hospital pay to keep you alive? Is $1 million too much? Is $10,000?

            What's your number?

            Please love yourself.

            C 1 Reply Last reply 7 Apr 2020, 15:31
            • J jon-nyc
              7 Apr 2020, 15:21

              Don’t see any math there. Nor any assumptions one would have to make in order to do the math.

              C Online
              C Online
              Copper
              wrote on 7 Apr 2020, 15:26 last edited by
              #10

              @jon-nyc said in The big short:

              Don’t see any math there. Nor any assumptions one would have to make in order to do the math.

              That's why I posted what I posted.

              Which was, someone did the math and reached the conclusion.

              I do not have any information about the math other than it was done. This is based on the quote "lockdowns intended to contain the coronavirus pandemic are worse than the disease itself"

              I guess it's hard to say what sort of math he might have to back up that conclusion. There is no question in my mind that the longer the lockdowns continue the closer to the truth this quote becomes.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • A Aqua Letifer
                7 Apr 2020, 15:23

                @Copper No I'm just trying to get to the crux of your position. You're advocating for a valuation of life to determine how bad the economy should get before we favor it over human lives. You've mentioned that others have already made this calculation.

                I'm straight up asking you how much you think your life is worth. If you get sick and are on a ventilator, how much should the hospital pay to keep you alive? Is $1 million too much? Is $10,000?

                What's your number?

                C Online
                C Online
                Copper
                wrote on 7 Apr 2020, 15:31 last edited by
                #11

                @Aqua-Letifer said in The big short:

                @Copper No I'm just trying to get to the crux of your position. You're advocating for a valuation of life to determine how bad the economy should get before we favor it over human lives. You've mentioned that others have already made this calculation.

                I'm straight up asking you how much you think your life is worth. If you get sick and are on a ventilator, how much should the hospital pay to keep you alive? Is $1 million too much? Is $10,000?

                What's your number?

                What am I willing to pay is a different than what it is worth.

                But as a practical matter I guess the answer is the same.

                What is anything worth? The answer is, whatever a willing buyer will pay.

                In the case of trying to save my life as you describe the answer is simple, whatever my insurance will cover. I think that is a couple million lifetime maximum.

                And that is the insurance company doing the paying.

                I don't think the hospital should pay anything. Did you really mean to ask what should the hospital pay?

                A 1 Reply Last reply 7 Apr 2020, 15:34
                • D Online
                  D Online
                  Doctor Phibes
                  wrote on 7 Apr 2020, 15:32 last edited by
                  #12

                  All safety-related action has a cost-benefit aspect to it. We don't make cars as safe as they can be, we make them as safe as we can and have them remain affordable.

                  However, listening to the very wealthy pontificate about this is a bit freaking much. They'd be happy for me to go back to work? Well, surprise surprise, I'd be happy for them to give all their money away to help support the less fortunate.

                  I was only joking

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • J jon-nyc
                    7 Apr 2020, 15:18

                    @George-K said in The big short:

                    lockdowns intended to contain the coronavirus pandemic are worse for him than the disease itself.

                    Fixed it for him.

                    H Offline
                    H Offline
                    Horace
                    wrote on 7 Apr 2020, 15:34 last edited by
                    #13

                    @jon-nyc We would all give every material thing to save our own lives.

                    I mean, not everybody would do that. But it's an understandable thing.

                    "Life is priceless" is DOA as an idea, even though it sounds good.

                    Education is extremely important.

                    A J 2 Replies Last reply 7 Apr 2020, 15:36
                    • C Copper
                      7 Apr 2020, 15:31

                      @Aqua-Letifer said in The big short:

                      @Copper No I'm just trying to get to the crux of your position. You're advocating for a valuation of life to determine how bad the economy should get before we favor it over human lives. You've mentioned that others have already made this calculation.

                      I'm straight up asking you how much you think your life is worth. If you get sick and are on a ventilator, how much should the hospital pay to keep you alive? Is $1 million too much? Is $10,000?

                      What's your number?

                      What am I willing to pay is a different than what it is worth.

                      But as a practical matter I guess the answer is the same.

                      What is anything worth? The answer is, whatever a willing buyer will pay.

                      In the case of trying to save my life as you describe the answer is simple, whatever my insurance will cover. I think that is a couple million lifetime maximum.

                      And that is the insurance company doing the paying.

                      I don't think the hospital should pay anything. Did you really mean to ask what should the hospital pay?

                      A Offline
                      A Offline
                      Aqua Letifer
                      wrote on 7 Apr 2020, 15:34 last edited by
                      #14

                      @Copper Well, yeah. The entire insurance system is based on a health situation that doesn't include a pandemic. It's really delusional to think they'll be able to cover all of your care in addition to everyone else's.

                      So you think the number is whatever the buyer is willing to pay. If they aren't willing or able to cover your hospital stay, then, you're okay with not going and dying?

                      Please love yourself.

                      C 1 Reply Last reply 7 Apr 2020, 15:40
                      • H Horace
                        7 Apr 2020, 15:34

                        @jon-nyc We would all give every material thing to save our own lives.

                        I mean, not everybody would do that. But it's an understandable thing.

                        "Life is priceless" is DOA as an idea, even though it sounds good.

                        A Offline
                        A Offline
                        Aqua Letifer
                        wrote on 7 Apr 2020, 15:36 last edited by
                        #15

                        @Horace Dead people can't work. That's why I think the best thing for the economy is to place public safety as paramount. But no I don't think that means shut things down.

                        Please love yourself.

                        H 1 Reply Last reply 7 Apr 2020, 15:39
                        • A Aqua Letifer
                          7 Apr 2020, 15:36

                          @Horace Dead people can't work. That's why I think the best thing for the economy is to place public safety as paramount. But no I don't think that means shut things down.

                          H Offline
                          H Offline
                          Horace
                          wrote on 7 Apr 2020, 15:39 last edited by
                          #16

                          @Aqua-Letifer Paramount, priceless, choose your word. The bottom line is how much unhappiness are you willing to sow in exchange for lives.

                          Education is extremely important.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • A Aqua Letifer
                            7 Apr 2020, 15:34

                            @Copper Well, yeah. The entire insurance system is based on a health situation that doesn't include a pandemic. It's really delusional to think they'll be able to cover all of your care in addition to everyone else's.

                            So you think the number is whatever the buyer is willing to pay. If they aren't willing or able to cover your hospital stay, then, you're okay with not going and dying?

                            C Online
                            C Online
                            Copper
                            wrote on 7 Apr 2020, 15:40 last edited by Copper 4 Jul 2020, 15:48
                            #17

                            @Aqua-Letifer said in The big short:

                            @Copper Well, yeah. The entire insurance system is based on a health situation that doesn't include a pandemic. It's really delusional to think they'll be able to cover all of your care in addition to everyone else's.

                            So you think the number is whatever the buyer is willing to pay. If they aren't willing or able to cover your hospital stay, then, you're okay with not going and dying?

                            It's not really a matter of their willingness, they have committed to certain provisions.

                            I'm OK with them abiding by those conditions.

                            I am not OK with them not abiding by those conditions.

                            It is not delusional to expect them to pay to cover what they committed to cover.

                            I am not aware of insurance companies saying they won't honor commitments. Is this happening? I actually think I saw the opposite happening, I received an email from my insurance company saying they would cover expenses related to COVID. To be honest I didn't pay much attention to it. They may have been forced by the government to do this.

                            A 1 Reply Last reply 7 Apr 2020, 15:52
                            • H Horace
                              7 Apr 2020, 15:34

                              @jon-nyc We would all give every material thing to save our own lives.

                              I mean, not everybody would do that. But it's an understandable thing.

                              "Life is priceless" is DOA as an idea, even though it sounds good.

                              J Online
                              J Online
                              jon-nyc
                              wrote on 7 Apr 2020, 15:42 last edited by
                              #18

                              @Horace

                              That’s right. But I don’t hold the view that lives can be infinitely valued by society. There are trade offs.

                              Only non-witches get due process.

                              • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • L Offline
                                L Offline
                                LuFins Dad
                                wrote on 7 Apr 2020, 15:50 last edited by
                                #19

                                When you have two sides that are worlds apart, it leaves all kinds of room in the middle for reasonable solutions.

                                Rather than snipe at each other, why not discuss what would seem reasonable to you?

                                By the way, I wish they would start qualifying statements such as “government mandated shutdowns”. Not everything is shutdown, many of the businesses that are shuttered did so voluntarily without Government mandates, and the government mandated stay at home orders have come from the state level, not the Federal.

                                The Brad

                                A 1 Reply Last reply 7 Apr 2020, 16:02
                                • C Copper
                                  7 Apr 2020, 15:40

                                  @Aqua-Letifer said in The big short:

                                  @Copper Well, yeah. The entire insurance system is based on a health situation that doesn't include a pandemic. It's really delusional to think they'll be able to cover all of your care in addition to everyone else's.

                                  So you think the number is whatever the buyer is willing to pay. If they aren't willing or able to cover your hospital stay, then, you're okay with not going and dying?

                                  It's not really a matter of their willingness, they have committed to certain provisions.

                                  I'm OK with them abiding by those conditions.

                                  I am not OK with them not abiding by those conditions.

                                  It is not delusional to expect them to pay to cover what they committed to cover.

                                  I am not aware of insurance companies saying they won't honor commitments. Is this happening? I actually think I saw the opposite happening, I received an email from my insurance company saying they would cover expenses related to COVID. To be honest I didn't pay much attention to it. They may have been forced by the government to do this.

                                  A Offline
                                  A Offline
                                  Aqua Letifer
                                  wrote on 7 Apr 2020, 15:52 last edited by
                                  #20

                                  @Copper Still haven't shared your number.

                                  Please love yourself.

                                  C 1 Reply Last reply 7 Apr 2020, 16:11
                                  • M Away
                                    M Away
                                    Mik
                                    wrote on 7 Apr 2020, 15:56 last edited by
                                    #21

                                    Poor > dead.

                                    “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • L LuFins Dad
                                      7 Apr 2020, 15:50

                                      When you have two sides that are worlds apart, it leaves all kinds of room in the middle for reasonable solutions.

                                      Rather than snipe at each other, why not discuss what would seem reasonable to you?

                                      By the way, I wish they would start qualifying statements such as “government mandated shutdowns”. Not everything is shutdown, many of the businesses that are shuttered did so voluntarily without Government mandates, and the government mandated stay at home orders have come from the state level, not the Federal.

                                      A Offline
                                      A Offline
                                      Aqua Letifer
                                      wrote on 7 Apr 2020, 16:02 last edited by
                                      #22

                                      @LuFins-Dad said in The big short:

                                      Rather than snipe at each other, why not discuss what would seem reasonable to you?

                                      Restaurants have curbside pickup, delivery, and also double as grocery distributors. (They're already doing that last in my area.)

                                      Retail stores do the same with curbside and online ordering. Strict limits on who can be in the store at any given time. Employees given sanitary equipment. (And really what they should be doing is tripling down on their online presence. Well-targeted Facebook and Instagram ads can be like printing money if done right.)

                                      Offices stay remote. Because come on.

                                      Maybe in warehouses, have a few more people on staff, not less, so that packages can be moved around through a zone system instead of every worker crossing paths with every other.

                                      Ramp the hell out of sanitary wipe/hand sanitizer production, along with masks, and basically make it mandatory that companies provide these on-site.

                                      So okay those are my stupid ideas. What are everyone else's?

                                      Please love yourself.

                                      L 1 Reply Last reply 7 Apr 2020, 17:01
                                      • A Aqua Letifer
                                        7 Apr 2020, 15:52

                                        @Copper Still haven't shared your number.

                                        C Online
                                        C Online
                                        Copper
                                        wrote on 7 Apr 2020, 16:11 last edited by
                                        #23

                                        @Aqua-Letifer said in The big short:

                                        @Copper Still haven't shared your number.

                                        Yes, I did - a couple million dollars. It's right up there in my post 39 minutes ago.

                                        I might be off by a million or 2.

                                        A 1 Reply Last reply 7 Apr 2020, 16:21
                                        • C Copper
                                          7 Apr 2020, 16:11

                                          @Aqua-Letifer said in The big short:

                                          @Copper Still haven't shared your number.

                                          Yes, I did - a couple million dollars. It's right up there in my post 39 minutes ago.

                                          I might be off by a million or 2.

                                          A Offline
                                          A Offline
                                          Aqua Letifer
                                          wrote on 7 Apr 2020, 16:21 last edited by
                                          #24

                                          @Copper So let's say 2 million then to make it concrete. You're saying that they should pull the plug on you the moment they run over that number?

                                          Please love yourself.

                                          C 1 Reply Last reply 7 Apr 2020, 16:26
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