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The New Coffee Room

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  3. Putin has already lost the war

Putin has already lost the war

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  • bachophileB bachophile

    The problem is Putin won’t be able to face a defeat, which means that if has to destroy cities like he destroyed Grozny he may..

    I’ve heard some people say that a long term strategy has to include somehow Putin getting some sort of win or else the ultimate result will be worse in terms of lives and destruction.

    Who knows.

    Doctor PhibesD Offline
    Doctor PhibesD Offline
    Doctor Phibes
    wrote on last edited by
    #9

    @bachophile said in Putin has already lost the war:

    The problem is Putin won’t be able to face a defeat, which means that if has to destroy cities like he destroyed Grozny he may..

    I’ve heard some people say that a long term strategy has to include somehow Putin getting some sort of win or else the ultimate result will be worse in terms of lives and destruction.

    Who knows.

    I don't know how likely it is, but maybe the best outcome at this point would be for Putin to fall downstairs on the way to a meeting.

    I was only joking

    1 Reply Last reply
    • JollyJ Offline
      JollyJ Offline
      Jolly
      wrote on last edited by
      #10

      Accidents happen.

      “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

      Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

      Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
      • JollyJ Jolly

        Accidents happen.

        Doctor PhibesD Offline
        Doctor PhibesD Offline
        Doctor Phibes
        wrote on last edited by
        #11

        @Jolly said in Putin has already lost the war:

        Accidents happen.

        He could accidentally behead himself while shaving.

        I was only joking

        1 Reply Last reply
        • bachophileB bachophile

          The problem is Putin won’t be able to face a defeat, which means that if has to destroy cities like he destroyed Grozny he may..

          I’ve heard some people say that a long term strategy has to include somehow Putin getting some sort of win or else the ultimate result will be worse in terms of lives and destruction.

          Who knows.

          RenaudaR Offline
          RenaudaR Offline
          Renauda
          wrote on last edited by Renauda
          #12

          @bachophile said in Putin has already lost the war:

          The problem is Putin won’t be able to face a defeat, which means that if has to destroy cities like he destroyed Grozny he may..

          I’ve heard some people say that a long term strategy has to include somehow Putin getting some sort of win or else the ultimate result will be worse in terms of lives and destruction.

          Who knows.

          No one knows.

          He had the total support of Russians in turning Grozny into a parking lot. I cannot begin to describe the level of disdain towards Chechens that exists among virtually all ethnicities in the RF. Not at all the case with Ukrainians whose capital is, in Putin’s own words, the spiritual centre of the Russian soul.

          As for giving Putin a win or an off ramp so as not to lose face, I’m not so sure it matters at this point. In any case his domestic propaganda machine is extensive and effective that it could, as the Russian saying goes, easily make candy from a turd and feed it to its audience.

          Elbows up!

          1 Reply Last reply
          • CopperC Offline
            CopperC Offline
            Copper
            wrote on last edited by
            #13

            tldr, some more thoughts about the cyber/financial war

            https://cdrsalamander.substack.com/p/you-want-a-cyber-world-war-this-is?utm_source=url

            Let me put on my red hat.

            If I were RUS COMCYBERCOM, I would have three Courses of Action of increasing severity ready to present President Putin today to take down the entire Western financial system. It would be along the historically established, "If I can't use this, then I am damn sure going to guarantee that no one else can either." You want a cyber world war? That is how you get one. Shut down the global online financial system. What do the Russians have to lose?

            I hoped some smart people have wargamed this out. Again, if we are blockading, with the EU & Switzerland, Russian access to her money that they need to not just fight, but to feed and employ the people of Russia, is it beyond reason to consider that a belligerent act - especially when we are arming and giving aid to the Ukrainians? We have invaded other nations for less.

            Things are moving fast - and Putin has no off ramp outside complete victory.

            Good luck everyone.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • 89th8 Offline
              89th8 Offline
              89th
              wrote on last edited by
              #14

              From an overly simplistic perspective, I think Putin has already lost the war given the worldwide condemnation, including economic actions, we are seeing... such as the walkout by diplomats at the UN when Russia began to speak. Pretty much from every country except China, I'd imagine. With citizens in every country, including probably half of Russia, not in support of what is going on.... Putin and Russia will be a long term pariah, which will be cemented if they continue (and even succeed) in taking over Ukraine.

              He's fighting a war as if it was in 1972, not 2022. Game over, man. I predict he will withdraw forces in the next 2 weeks. I hope I'm not way wrong.

              RenaudaR 1 Reply Last reply
              • 89th8 89th

                From an overly simplistic perspective, I think Putin has already lost the war given the worldwide condemnation, including economic actions, we are seeing... such as the walkout by diplomats at the UN when Russia began to speak. Pretty much from every country except China, I'd imagine. With citizens in every country, including probably half of Russia, not in support of what is going on.... Putin and Russia will be a long term pariah, which will be cemented if they continue (and even succeed) in taking over Ukraine.

                He's fighting a war as if it was in 1972, not 2022. Game over, man. I predict he will withdraw forces in the next 2 weeks. I hope I'm not way wrong.

                RenaudaR Offline
                RenaudaR Offline
                Renauda
                wrote on last edited by Renauda
                #15

                @89th

                With citizens in every country, including probably half of Russia, not in support of what is going on.....

                I wish I could share in your optimism about the lack of support in Russia. I do not believe for a second that the vast majority of the Russian public has not bought into Putin’s propaganda narrative blaming all of this on “Ukrainian Nazis”and NATO.

                Elbows up!

                Doctor PhibesD ImprovisoI Catseye3C 3 Replies Last reply
                • KlausK Online
                  KlausK Online
                  Klaus
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #16

                  This was is of course terrible, but it has moved quite a few things in the right direction in Germany.

                  I wish that somehow a non-bloody version of this where nobody really suffers would continue for a while.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • LarryL Offline
                    LarryL Offline
                    Larry
                    wrote on last edited by Larry
                    #17

                    According to the news, Putin has used both cluster bombs and vacuum bombs, both of which are a violation of the Geneva Convention, making their use a war crime. No matter what happens, Putin is no longer a world leader. He is a war criminal, and will be hunted down and prosecuted as a war criminal. Ukraine may fall to Russia, but Russia cannot hold it. Putin is toast.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • KlausK Online
                      KlausK Online
                      Klaus
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #18

                      Putin has violated the Geneva convention many times in the past. That isn't news. The scale of the war, and the reaction of the rest of the world is new. That's what may break his neck.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • George KG Offline
                        George KG Offline
                        George K
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #19

                        Does anyone think that Putin will leave Ukraine?

                        If he does, can he retain his leadership?

                        I don't see a way out for him, other than to keep on keepin' on, and that will make the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan look pretty.

                        "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                        The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • RenaudaR Renauda

                          @89th

                          With citizens in every country, including probably half of Russia, not in support of what is going on.....

                          I wish I could share in your optimism about the lack of support in Russia. I do not believe for a second that the vast majority of the Russian public has not bought into Putin’s propaganda narrative blaming all of this on “Ukrainian Nazis”and NATO.

                          Doctor PhibesD Offline
                          Doctor PhibesD Offline
                          Doctor Phibes
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #20

                          @Renauda said in Putin has already lost the war:

                          @89th

                          With citizens in every country, including probably half of Russia, not in support of what is going on.....

                          I wish I could share in your optimism about the lack of support in Russia. I do not believe for a second that the vast majority of the Russian public has not bought into Putin’s propaganda narrative blaming all of this on “Ukrainian Nazis”and NATO.

                          I occasionally follow a Twitter feed for a top Russian chess player, who you would assume was a fairly smart guy, and he is parroting the Russian propaganda as though it's acknowledged truth. There's no shortage of other Russians agreeing with him. Needless to say, he's being roasted by pretty much everybody else, but in his view that is just due to their ignorance and stupidity.

                          Of course, I can think of at least one American professional chess player who wasn't the most rational individual when it came to world affairs, so maybe it means nothing.

                          I was only joking

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • HoraceH Offline
                            HoraceH Offline
                            Horace
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #21

                            So, what is the propaganda? What are the Russian masses being fed?

                            Education is extremely important.

                            Doctor PhibesD RenaudaR 2 Replies Last reply
                            • HoraceH Horace

                              So, what is the propaganda? What are the Russian masses being fed?

                              Doctor PhibesD Offline
                              Doctor PhibesD Offline
                              Doctor Phibes
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #22

                              @Horace said in Putin has already lost the war:

                              So, what is the propaganda? What are the Russian masses being fed?

                              From what I've read, this is a response to US-sponsored Ukrainian aggression. The Russians are essentially defending themselves. The (Jewish) President of Ukraine is a Nazi sympathiser, as are his supporters. There was a fire in Odessa that was supported or instigated by Ukraine, in which a lot of people died at the hands of Ukrainian nationalists.

                              They posted a Chinese picture of all the wars that America has "started" in the last 50-odd years, and said "So who's the real threat to world peace?"

                              It's a big pile of shit, basically.

                              I was only joking

                              HoraceH F 2 Replies Last reply
                              • HoraceH Horace

                                So, what is the propaganda? What are the Russian masses being fed?

                                RenaudaR Offline
                                RenaudaR Offline
                                Renauda
                                wrote on last edited by Renauda
                                #23

                                @Horace said in Putin has already lost the war:

                                So, what is the propaganda? What are the Russian masses being fed?

                                Sorry, but all my spoons are in the dishwasher right now.

                                In the meantime, may I recommend you have a nice cup of research.

                                Google or the search engine of your choice is your friend.

                                Elbows up!

                                HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                                • RenaudaR Renauda

                                  @89th

                                  With citizens in every country, including probably half of Russia, not in support of what is going on.....

                                  I wish I could share in your optimism about the lack of support in Russia. I do not believe for a second that the vast majority of the Russian public has not bought into Putin’s propaganda narrative blaming all of this on “Ukrainian Nazis”and NATO.

                                  ImprovisoI Offline
                                  ImprovisoI Offline
                                  Improviso
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #24

                                  @Renauda said in Putin has already lost the war:

                                  @89th

                                  With citizens in every country, including probably half of Russia, not in support of what is going on.....

                                  I wish I could share in your optimism about the lack of support in Russia. I do not believe for a second that the vast majority of the Russian public has not bought into Putin’s propaganda narrative blaming all of this on “Ukrainian Nazis”and NATO.

                                  Then Russians deserve any and all economic punishment the world can muster. And then some.

                                  We have the freedom to choose our actions, but we do not get to choose our consequences.
                                  Yes, there are two paths you can go by, but in the long run, there's still time to change the road you're on.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • George KG Offline
                                    George KG Offline
                                    George K
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #25

                                    molotov.jpg

                                    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • RenaudaR Renauda

                                      @Horace said in Putin has already lost the war:

                                      So, what is the propaganda? What are the Russian masses being fed?

                                      Sorry, but all my spoons are in the dishwasher right now.

                                      In the meantime, may I recommend you have a nice cup of research.

                                      Google or the search engine of your choice is your friend.

                                      HoraceH Offline
                                      HoraceH Offline
                                      Horace
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #26

                                      @Renauda said in Putin has already lost the war:

                                      @Horace said in Putin has already lost the war:

                                      So, what is the propaganda? What are the Russian masses being fed?

                                      Sorry, but all my spoons are in the dishwasher right now.

                                      In the meantime, may I recommend you have a nice cup of research.

                                      Google or the search engine of your choice is your friend.

                                      I wasn't asking you specifically. You are free not to respond, as always.

                                      Education is extremely important.

                                      RenaudaR 1 Reply Last reply
                                      • HoraceH Horace

                                        @Renauda said in Putin has already lost the war:

                                        @Horace said in Putin has already lost the war:

                                        So, what is the propaganda? What are the Russian masses being fed?

                                        Sorry, but all my spoons are in the dishwasher right now.

                                        In the meantime, may I recommend you have a nice cup of research.

                                        Google or the search engine of your choice is your friend.

                                        I wasn't asking you specifically. You are free not to respond, as always.

                                        RenaudaR Offline
                                        RenaudaR Offline
                                        Renauda
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #27

                                        @Horace

                                        I didn’t.

                                        So what did you find out there?

                                        Elbows up!

                                        HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                                        • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                                          @Horace said in Putin has already lost the war:

                                          So, what is the propaganda? What are the Russian masses being fed?

                                          From what I've read, this is a response to US-sponsored Ukrainian aggression. The Russians are essentially defending themselves. The (Jewish) President of Ukraine is a Nazi sympathiser, as are his supporters. There was a fire in Odessa that was supported or instigated by Ukraine, in which a lot of people died at the hands of Ukrainian nationalists.

                                          They posted a Chinese picture of all the wars that America has "started" in the last 50-odd years, and said "So who's the real threat to world peace?"

                                          It's a big pile of shit, basically.

                                          HoraceH Offline
                                          HoraceH Offline
                                          Horace
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #28

                                          @Doctor-Phibes said in Putin has already lost the war:

                                          @Horace said in Putin has already lost the war:

                                          So, what is the propaganda? What are the Russian masses being fed?

                                          From what I've read, this is a response to US-sponsored Ukrainian aggression. The Russians are essentially defending themselves. The (Jewish) President of Ukraine is a Nazi sympathiser, as are his supporters. There was a fire in Odessa that was supported or instigated by Ukraine, in which a lot of people died at the hands of Ukrainian nationalists.

                                          They posted a Chinese picture of all the wars that America has "started" in the last 50-odd years, and said "So who's the real threat to world peace?"

                                          It's a big pile of shit, basically.

                                          Thanks.

                                          Education is extremely important.

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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