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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?

Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?

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  • Aqua LetiferA Aqua Letifer

    @loki said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

    @jolly said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

    1. A lot of people have had COVID. Many will not get the vaccine, thinking their natural immunity is as good or better. They may well be right.

    2. A certain subset of the population just ain't gonna get it. I suspect that number is 25-30%.

    And when they get the Delta+ variant I feel really really bad for them. Pride goeth before the fall and it is so uncomfortable to watch when you see them thinking “if only a took the shot”.

    It’s a game they are going to lose.

    Apparently, stupidly putting yourself and those around you at greater risk makes you the subject of some fucking Frank Sinatra ballad because making your own decisions is such a greater virtue.

    L Offline
    L Offline
    Loki
    wrote on last edited by Loki
    #13

    @aqua-letifer said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

    @loki said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

    @jolly said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

    1. A lot of people have had COVID. Many will not get the vaccine, thinking their natural immunity is as good or better. They may well be right.

    2. A certain subset of the population just ain't gonna get it. I suspect that number is 25-30%.

    And when they get the Delta+ variant I feel really really bad for them. Pride goeth before the fall and it is so uncomfortable to watch when you see them thinking “if only a took the shot”.

    It’s a game they are going to lose.

    Apparently, stupidly putting yourself and those around you at greater risk makes you the subject of some fucking Frank Sinatra ballad because making your own decisions is such a greater virtue.

    I get the autonomy argument, however, it’s rare when the person fails as a result of it to accept their decision making…. They typically beg, plead and expect that every available medical resource will save them. Worse, they make their loved ones cover for them by rationalizing their behavior while having to accept their death. I respect the folks that are actually accountable for their decisions.

    Aqua LetiferA 1 Reply Last reply
    • L Loki

      @aqua-letifer said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

      @loki said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

      @jolly said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

      1. A lot of people have had COVID. Many will not get the vaccine, thinking their natural immunity is as good or better. They may well be right.

      2. A certain subset of the population just ain't gonna get it. I suspect that number is 25-30%.

      And when they get the Delta+ variant I feel really really bad for them. Pride goeth before the fall and it is so uncomfortable to watch when you see them thinking “if only a took the shot”.

      It’s a game they are going to lose.

      Apparently, stupidly putting yourself and those around you at greater risk makes you the subject of some fucking Frank Sinatra ballad because making your own decisions is such a greater virtue.

      I get the autonomy argument, however, it’s rare when the person fails as a result of it to accept their decision making…. They typically beg, plead and expect that every available medical resource will save them. Worse, they make their loved ones cover for them by rationalizing their behavior while having to accept their death. I respect the folks that are actually accountable for their decisions.

      Aqua LetiferA Offline
      Aqua LetiferA Offline
      Aqua Letifer
      wrote on last edited by
      #14

      @loki said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

      @aqua-letifer said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

      @loki said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

      @jolly said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

      1. A lot of people have had COVID. Many will not get the vaccine, thinking their natural immunity is as good or better. They may well be right.

      2. A certain subset of the population just ain't gonna get it. I suspect that number is 25-30%.

      And when they get the Delta+ variant I feel really really bad for them. Pride goeth before the fall and it is so uncomfortable to watch when you see them thinking “if only a took the shot”.

      It’s a game they are going to lose.

      Apparently, stupidly putting yourself and those around you at greater risk makes you the subject of some fucking Frank Sinatra ballad because making your own decisions is such a greater virtue.

      I get the autonomy argument, however, it’s rare when the person fails as a result of it to accept their decision making…. They typically beg, plead and expect that every available medical resource will save them. Worse, they make their loved ones cover for them by rationalizing their behavior while having to accept their death. I respect the folks that are actually accountable for their decisions.

      I get the autonomy argument, too. And usually there's no problem with that, except pandemics create a scenario in which what you do with your body directly affects everyone else around you. At the very least, being unvaccinated means you're more susceptible to getting infected, which if that happens, your body provides an incubator for further, more infectious or deadly mutations. What you do with your own body very much affects the rest of the world.

      I'm even willing to hear someone out who understands that but disagrees about getting a vaccination. But for those who just ignore the above and say it doesn't matter? Eh, you're too stupid to listen to about anything, really.

      Please love yourself.

      CopperC taiwan_girlT 2 Replies Last reply
      • Aqua LetiferA Aqua Letifer

        @loki said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

        @aqua-letifer said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

        @loki said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

        @jolly said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

        1. A lot of people have had COVID. Many will not get the vaccine, thinking their natural immunity is as good or better. They may well be right.

        2. A certain subset of the population just ain't gonna get it. I suspect that number is 25-30%.

        And when they get the Delta+ variant I feel really really bad for them. Pride goeth before the fall and it is so uncomfortable to watch when you see them thinking “if only a took the shot”.

        It’s a game they are going to lose.

        Apparently, stupidly putting yourself and those around you at greater risk makes you the subject of some fucking Frank Sinatra ballad because making your own decisions is such a greater virtue.

        I get the autonomy argument, however, it’s rare when the person fails as a result of it to accept their decision making…. They typically beg, plead and expect that every available medical resource will save them. Worse, they make their loved ones cover for them by rationalizing their behavior while having to accept their death. I respect the folks that are actually accountable for their decisions.

        I get the autonomy argument, too. And usually there's no problem with that, except pandemics create a scenario in which what you do with your body directly affects everyone else around you. At the very least, being unvaccinated means you're more susceptible to getting infected, which if that happens, your body provides an incubator for further, more infectious or deadly mutations. What you do with your own body very much affects the rest of the world.

        I'm even willing to hear someone out who understands that but disagrees about getting a vaccination. But for those who just ignore the above and say it doesn't matter? Eh, you're too stupid to listen to about anything, really.

        CopperC Offline
        CopperC Offline
        Copper
        wrote on last edited by
        #15

        @aqua-letifer said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

        What you do with your own body very much affects the rest of the world.

        Not if you get an abortion.

        That is just between you and the murderer.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • George KG Offline
          George KG Offline
          George K
          wrote on last edited by
          #16

          https://www.wsj.com/articles/vaccinated-people-account-for-half-of-new-covid-19-delta-cases-in-israeli-outbreak-11624624326

          About half of adults infected in an outbreak of the Delta variant of Covid-19 in Israel were fully inoculated with the Pfizer Inc. vaccine, prompting the government to reimpose an indoor mask requirement and other measures to contain the highly transmissible strain.

          Preliminary findings by Israeli health officials suggest about 90% of new infections were likely caused by the Delta variant, according to Ran Balicer, who leads an expert advisory panel on Covid-19 for the government. Children under 16, most of whom haven’t been vaccinated, accounted for about half of those infected, he said.

          The government this week expanded its vaccination campaign to include all 12- to 15-year-olds after a jump in infections among schoolchildren in a town in central Israel. It has since quickly spread geographically and to other groups of the population.

          The number of cases in Israel is relatively low by global standards. But new cases of Covid-19 rose to over 200 on Thursday from around 10 a day for most of June.

          Israel is now reassessing its Covid-19 regulations after moving to open up its society and economy following multiple lockdowns last year.

          “The entrance of the Delta variant has changed the transmission dynamics,” said Prof. Balicer, who is also the chief innovation officer for Israel’s largest health-management organization, Clalit.

          Israeli health officials are optimistic that even if the variant does spread, evidence from countries such as the U.K. indicate the vaccine will prevent a large increase in severe illness and hospitalizations that plagued the country’s health system in previous outbreaks. Israel has only recorded five severe cases in the past 10 days, Prof. Balicer said, but whether more will emerge is too early to tell.

          Those exempt from the mask requirement included children under seven, people with disabilities that prevent them from wearing a mask or two workers who work regularly together. The government had canceled the indoor mask requirement 10 days ago and dropped most other preventive measures after running one of the world’s fastest vaccination campaigns. About 80% of Israelis of age 16 and above have received two doses of the vaccine that was developed by Pfizer and German partner BioNTech SE.

          "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

          The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

          1 Reply Last reply
          • LuFins DadL Offline
            LuFins DadL Offline
            LuFins Dad
            wrote on last edited by
            #17

            @george-k said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

            https://www.wsj.com/articles/vaccinated-people-account-for-half-of-new-covid-19-delta-cases-in-israeli-outbreak-11624624326

            About half of adults infected in an outbreak of the Delta variant of Covid-19 in Israel were fully inoculated with the Pfizer Inc. vaccine, prompting the government to reimpose an indoor mask requirement and other measures to contain the highly transmissible strain.

            Preliminary findings by Israeli health officials suggest about 90% of new infections were likely caused by the Delta variant, according to Ran Balicer, who leads an expert advisory panel on Covid-19 for the government. Children under 16, most of whom haven’t been vaccinated, accounted for about half of those infected, he said.

            The government this week expanded its vaccination campaign to include all 12- to 15-year-olds after a jump in infections among schoolchildren in a town in central Israel. It has since quickly spread geographically and to other groups of the population.

            The number of cases in Israel is relatively low by global standards. But new cases of Covid-19 rose to over 200 on Thursday from around 10 a day for most of June.

            Israel is now reassessing its Covid-19 regulations after moving to open up its society and economy following multiple lockdowns last year.

            “The entrance of the Delta variant has changed the transmission dynamics,” said Prof. Balicer, who is also the chief innovation officer for Israel’s largest health-management organization, Clalit.

            Israeli health officials are optimistic that even if the variant does spread, evidence from countries such as the U.K. indicate the vaccine will prevent a large increase in severe illness and hospitalizations that plagued the country’s health system in previous outbreaks. Israel has only recorded five severe cases in the past 10 days, Prof. Balicer said, but whether more will emerge is too early to tell.

            Those exempt from the mask requirement included children under seven, people with disabilities that prevent them from wearing a mask or two workers who work regularly together. The government had canceled the indoor mask requirement 10 days ago and dropped most other preventive measures after running one of the world’s fastest vaccination campaigns. About 80% of Israelis of age 16 and above have received two doses of the vaccine that was developed by Pfizer and German partner BioNTech SE.

            Well fvck. Did they say how serious the cases were? Is this a case where they get it, but it's not serious?

            The Brad

            1 Reply Last reply
            • MikM Offline
              MikM Offline
              Mik
              wrote on last edited by
              #18

              That's what I was looking for too.

              “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

              1 Reply Last reply
              • jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nyc
                wrote on last edited by
                #19

                It would also be interesting to see how long post vax those patients are.

                Only non-witches get due process.

                • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                1 Reply Last reply
                • George KG Offline
                  George KG Offline
                  George K
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #20

                  Some numbers

                  Screen Shot 2021-06-27 at 7.39.26 AM.png

                  Screen Shot 2021-06-27 at 7.39.08 AM.png

                  Screen Shot 2021-06-27 at 7.38.47 AM.png

                  "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                  The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • jon-nycJ Online
                    jon-nycJ Online
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #21

                    The third one shows their concern but it’s really the wrong scale to see it. They’re obviously worried about the slope of that line.

                    Only non-witches get due process.

                    • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                    George KG 1 Reply Last reply
                    • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                      The third one shows their concern but it’s really the wrong scale to see it. They’re obviously worried about the slope of that line.

                      George KG Offline
                      George KG Offline
                      George K
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #22

                      @jon-nyc said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

                      The third one shows their concern but it’s really the wrong scale to see it. They’re obviously worried about the slope of that line.

                      Yup. But compare to the UK....

                      Screen Shot 2021-06-27 at 7.48.39 AM.png

                      "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                      The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • jon-nycJ Online
                        jon-nycJ Online
                        jon-nyc
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #23

                        UK has a mask mandate too.

                        I’d love to know the stats of the UK delta variant cases regarding fully vaccinated vs unvaccinated.

                        Only non-witches get due process.

                        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                        Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
                        • JollyJ Offline
                          JollyJ Offline
                          Jolly
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #24

                          Now, the $64 question(s)...

                          1. Is it definitive that the Delta version has a lower mortality rate?
                          2. Do antibodies to the Delta variant translate to the other COVID mutations?

                          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                          George KG 1 Reply Last reply
                          • Aqua LetiferA Aqua Letifer

                            @loki said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

                            @aqua-letifer said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

                            @loki said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

                            @jolly said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

                            1. A lot of people have had COVID. Many will not get the vaccine, thinking their natural immunity is as good or better. They may well be right.

                            2. A certain subset of the population just ain't gonna get it. I suspect that number is 25-30%.

                            And when they get the Delta+ variant I feel really really bad for them. Pride goeth before the fall and it is so uncomfortable to watch when you see them thinking “if only a took the shot”.

                            It’s a game they are going to lose.

                            Apparently, stupidly putting yourself and those around you at greater risk makes you the subject of some fucking Frank Sinatra ballad because making your own decisions is such a greater virtue.

                            I get the autonomy argument, however, it’s rare when the person fails as a result of it to accept their decision making…. They typically beg, plead and expect that every available medical resource will save them. Worse, they make their loved ones cover for them by rationalizing their behavior while having to accept their death. I respect the folks that are actually accountable for their decisions.

                            I get the autonomy argument, too. And usually there's no problem with that, except pandemics create a scenario in which what you do with your body directly affects everyone else around you. At the very least, being unvaccinated means you're more susceptible to getting infected, which if that happens, your body provides an incubator for further, more infectious or deadly mutations. What you do with your own body very much affects the rest of the world.

                            I'm even willing to hear someone out who understands that but disagrees about getting a vaccination. But for those who just ignore the above and say it doesn't matter? Eh, you're too stupid to listen to about anything, really.

                            taiwan_girlT Offline
                            taiwan_girlT Offline
                            taiwan_girl
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #25

                            @aqua-letifer said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

                            I get the autonomy argument, too. And usually there's no problem with that, except pandemics create a scenario in which what you do with your body directly affects everyone else around you.

                            Yup, sometimes the needs/wants of society are greater than the needs/wants of an individual person.

                            CopperC LuFins DadL 2 Replies Last reply
                            • taiwan_girlT taiwan_girl

                              @aqua-letifer said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

                              I get the autonomy argument, too. And usually there's no problem with that, except pandemics create a scenario in which what you do with your body directly affects everyone else around you.

                              Yup, sometimes the needs/wants of society are greater than the needs/wants of an individual person.

                              CopperC Offline
                              CopperC Offline
                              Copper
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #26

                              @taiwan_girl said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

                              @aqua-letifer said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

                              I get the autonomy argument, too. And usually there's no problem with that, except pandemics create a scenario in which what you do with your body directly affects everyone else around you.

                              Yup, sometimes the needs/wants of society are greater than the needs/wants of an individual person.

                              Next you’ll say that masks are effective against covid.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • taiwan_girlT taiwan_girl

                                @aqua-letifer said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

                                I get the autonomy argument, too. And usually there's no problem with that, except pandemics create a scenario in which what you do with your body directly affects everyone else around you.

                                Yup, sometimes the needs/wants of society are greater than the needs/wants of an individual person.

                                LuFins DadL Offline
                                LuFins DadL Offline
                                LuFins Dad
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #27

                                @taiwan_girl said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

                                @aqua-letifer said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

                                I get the autonomy argument, too. And usually there's no problem with that, except pandemics create a scenario in which what you do with your body directly affects everyone else around you.

                                Yup, sometimes the needs/wants of society are greater than the needs/wants of an individual person.

                                But then it’s not autonomy. The founding principles of this country are specifically the opposite. The needs and wants of the many do not trump the rights of the individual. You don’t pick and choose…

                                The Brad

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • L Loki

                                  @jolly said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

                                  1. A lot of people have had COVID. Many will not get the vaccine, thinking their natural immunity is as good or better. They may well be right.

                                  2. A certain subset of the population just ain't gonna get it. I suspect that number is 25-30%.

                                  And when they get the Delta+ variant I feel really really bad for them. Pride goeth before the fall and it is so uncomfortable to watch when you see them thinking “if only a took the shot”.

                                  It’s a game they are going to lose.

                                  JollyJ Offline
                                  JollyJ Offline
                                  Jolly
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #28

                                  @loki said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

                                  @jolly said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

                                  1. A lot of people have had COVID. Many will not get the vaccine, thinking their natural immunity is as good or better. They may well be right.

                                  2. A certain subset of the population just ain't gonna get it. I suspect that number is 25-30%.

                                  And when they get the Delta+ variant I feel really really bad for them. Pride goeth before the fall and it is so uncomfortable to watch when you see them thinking “if only a took the shot”.

                                  It’s a game they are going to lose.

                                  I've been thinking (dangerous, I know)...

                                  If the Delta variant confers immunity, it may be a blessing in disguise. Apparently, the variant has a very low mortality rate and symptoms can be compared to a bad cold or flu. Or the symptoms in many people are a lot less.

                                  May be the best inoculation program for many people who won't take the jab...

                                  “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                  Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                  George KG 1 Reply Last reply
                                  • JollyJ Jolly

                                    @loki said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

                                    @jolly said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

                                    1. A lot of people have had COVID. Many will not get the vaccine, thinking their natural immunity is as good or better. They may well be right.

                                    2. A certain subset of the population just ain't gonna get it. I suspect that number is 25-30%.

                                    And when they get the Delta+ variant I feel really really bad for them. Pride goeth before the fall and it is so uncomfortable to watch when you see them thinking “if only a took the shot”.

                                    It’s a game they are going to lose.

                                    I've been thinking (dangerous, I know)...

                                    If the Delta variant confers immunity, it may be a blessing in disguise. Apparently, the variant has a very low mortality rate and symptoms can be compared to a bad cold or flu. Or the symptoms in many people are a lot less.

                                    May be the best inoculation program for many people who won't take the jab...

                                    George KG Offline
                                    George KG Offline
                                    George K
                                    wrote on last edited by George K
                                    #29

                                    @jolly said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

                                    the variant has a very low mortality rate

                                    Can't find it now...

                                    Somewhere I read that though the overall mortality rate is low, it is very age-related. If you're, say, under 40, little to worry about. If you're (cough) more than 70, well...

                                    Also, as @bachophile commented a while ago, in terms of impact on society, a more transmissible virus will be worse than a more lethal virus.

                                    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                    JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                                    • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                      UK has a mask mandate too.

                                      I’d love to know the stats of the UK delta variant cases regarding fully vaccinated vs unvaccinated.

                                      Doctor PhibesD Offline
                                      Doctor PhibesD Offline
                                      Doctor Phibes
                                      wrote on last edited by Doctor Phibes
                                      #30

                                      @jon-nyc said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

                                      UK has a mask mandate too.

                                      I’d love to know the stats of the UK delta variant cases regarding fully vaccinated vs unvaccinated.

                                      According to my brother and friends over there, what isn't really being talked about much is that the majority of the new cases originated in areas with large Asian (i.e. Indian and Pakistani) populations. Also, because the UK government is trying to set up trade deals with India, they allowed a fair amount of travel from there.

                                      Both my niece and nephew tested positive recently - they're teenagers, and not yet vaccinated. They also live in Birmingham, which has a large Asian population.

                                      I was only joking

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • George KG George K

                                        @jolly said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

                                        the variant has a very low mortality rate

                                        Can't find it now...

                                        Somewhere I read that though the overall mortality rate is low, it is very age-related. If you're, say, under 40, little to worry about. If you're (cough) more than 70, well...

                                        Also, as @bachophile commented a while ago, in terms of impact on society, a more transmissible virus will be worse than a more lethal virus.

                                        JollyJ Offline
                                        JollyJ Offline
                                        Jolly
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #31

                                        @george-k said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

                                        @jolly said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

                                        the variant has a very low mortality rate

                                        Can't find it now...

                                        Somewhere I read that though the overall mortality rate is low, it is very age-related. If you're, say, under 40, little to worry about. If you're (cough) more than 70, well...

                                        Also, as @bachophile commented a while ago, in terms of impact on society, a more transmissible virus will be worse than a more lethal virus.

                                        Yeah, but...In terms of who is vaccinated, us experienced folks are topping the stats. Louisiana is down the list for percentage of total population vaccinated (somewhere in the 47% range), but we're closing in on 70% for 65 and older.

                                        What happened to trying to achieve herd immunity? Could this be the variant that does it?

                                        “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                        Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • JollyJ Jolly

                                          Now, the $64 question(s)...

                                          1. Is it definitive that the Delta version has a lower mortality rate?
                                          2. Do antibodies to the Delta variant translate to the other COVID mutations?
                                          George KG Offline
                                          George KG Offline
                                          George K
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #32

                                          @jolly said in Israel and the Second Coming of COVID-19?:

                                          Now, the $64 question(s)...

                                          1. Is it definitive that the Delta version has a lower mortality rate?
                                          2. Do antibodies to the Delta variant translate to the other COVID mutations?

                                          https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/panic-porn-dressed-science-exposing-truth-about-delta-variant

                                          On June 18, Public Health England published its 16th report on "SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern and variants under investigation in England," this time grouping the variants by Greek letters.

                                          alt text

                                          As you can see, the Delta variant has a 0.1% case fatality rate (CFR) out of 31,132 Delta sequence infections confirmed by investigators. That is the same rate as the flu and is much lower than the CFR for the ancestral strain or any of the other variants. And as we know, the CFR is always higher than the infection fatality rate (IFR), because many of the mildest and asymptomatic infections go undocumented, while the confirmed cases tend to have a bias toward those who are more evidently symptomatic.

                                          In other words, Delta is literally the flu with a CFR identical to it. This is exactly what every respiratory pandemic has done through history: morphed into more transmissible and less virulent form that forces the other mutations out since you get that one. Nothing about masks, lockdowns, or experimental shots did this. To the extent this really is more transmissible, it's going to be less deadly, as is the case with the common cold. To the extent that there are areas below the herd immunity threshold (for example, in Scotland and the northwestern parts of the U.K.) they will likely get the Delta variant (until something else supplants it), but fatalities will continue to go down.

                                          According to the above-mentioned report, the Delta variant represented more than 75% of all cases in the U.K. since mid-May. If it really was that deadly, it should have been wreaking havoc over the past few weeks.

                                          alt text

                                          "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                          The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

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