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The New Coffee Room

jon-nycJ

jon-nyc

@jon-nyc
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  • When Trump says he's not treated fairly, he's right.
    jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    People have a sticky notion of what prices ‘should’ be. When they say inflation (which is the first derivative of prices with respect to time) what they actually mean is ‘high prices’. Prices can stop rising which stops inflation but are still subjectively ‘high’, so people see that as inflation not having been solved. This burned Biden and it is burning Trump.

    General Discussion

  • Alex Honnold to free solo Taipei 101
    jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    General Discussion

  • I don’t recall seeing such seething hatred for the constitution
    jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    You’re going to look us in the eye and say he respects the first amendment? That one he violates most frequently including this week with another threatened lawsuit over a poll he didn’t like. How about due process? They outright argued due process is not for guilty people.

    General Discussion

  • I don’t recall seeing such seething hatred for the constitution
    jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    The seething hatred for the constitution is also a recurring theme. We see how much the administration hates the first amendment, the fifth amendment (due process), the 12th amendment (electoral count), emoluments clause, separation of powers, “take care” clause (cf TikTok), and the oath of office (peaceful transfer of power) and I’m probably forgetting 10 things.

    General Discussion

  • I don’t recall seeing such seething hatred for the constitution
    jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    Orin Kerr is the most cited living expert on the 4th amendment and has written about this. True, there's the son of a former meth whore who went to YLS who has a different opinion but I'm not sure any legal scholars have ever cited him for his legal thoughts.

    General Discussion

  • I don’t recall seeing such seething hatred for the constitution
    jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    The seething hatred is for the 4th amendment.

    General Discussion

  • Beyond the antivaxx stuff MAHA is either banal or fake
    jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    Thanks magats.

    IMG_0059.jpeg

    General Discussion

  • ICE kills a US citizen in Minneapolis
    jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    There’s absolutely nothing in my posting history to suggest I reflexively take the partisan view of controversial shootings as some sort of default. Go back to Michael Brown threads, the Staten Island guy with the headlock, whatever.

    General Discussion

  • Some good news I forgot to share
    jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    @89th said in Some good news I forgot to share:

    @jon-nyc that is awesome, how long of a process is it? I always presume it's between 1 and 25 years. Also, is it actually green?

    Ours was almost exactly one year which is amazingly short. The system itself was estimating 34 months and that number never really went down form month to month.

    I’m not sure why, perhaps many people abandoned weak asylum claims and/or self deported shortening the line.

    I was afraid it would go the other way, with lots of people applying for green cards at the end of the Biden years who had been putting it off for one reason or another.

    General Discussion

  • Some good news I forgot to share
    jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    Is that for a tourist visa or for some sort of residency thing?

    Mayla’s parents were denied a tourist visa last year. They might have better luck now that she has a green card. They would have no intention of living here, just visiting.

    General Discussion

  • Beyond the antivaxx stuff MAHA is either banal or fake
    jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    Say it ain’t so Bobby.

    IMG_0058.jpeg

    General Discussion

  • 14.6 inches
    jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    I'm buying a garden shovel today to be able to break through ice (which is expected to cover the snow) and to grab manageable loads as compared to the large snow shovel I usually use. I'll get bundled up and go out every time there's another 4-5" of accumulation. Fortunately most of it is coming during the day.

    General Discussion

  • Fairness of the 2026 Election
    jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    They quietly changed the way postmarks are done at the post office (now at regional centers rather than offices) which will invalidate many mail in ballots sent on time.

    Our town warned us about it so our property taxes aren’t considered late.

    General Discussion

  • The new board of peace
    jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    Im surprised Trump hasn’t accused Marc Carney of disloyalty after all Trump did to get him elected.

    General Discussion

  • Alex Honnold to free solo Taipei 101
    jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    Yeah I though El Capitan was a cool movie but I won’t be watching this.

    General Discussion

  • 14.6 inches
    jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    Yeah I'll be shoveling our walk and around my car (which I park on the street despite having a garage - long story). My plan is to do it every few hours so I don't have a heart attack it doesn't pile up too much.

    General Discussion

  • Some good news I forgot to share
    jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    Mayla got her green card!

    We were suppose to go to Peru on December 8th. Mayla was staying three weeks, I was going down with her, coming back for a week, then going back down again and coming home together on 12-29.

    Then we got a notice from USCIS that our interview was scheduled 12/8. So we moved the trip a day.

    The interview went very well. We brought a translator, since Mayla's English isn't good, but it turned out the guy spoke Spanish AND agreed to do so (the second doesn't always happen) so we didn't need him. The interview went very well, we had all our ducks in a row and nothing to hide. He told us before the interview that he was going to approve us.

    The card didn't arrive until the day we got back, fortunately about a month before they scheduled the interview they approved her travel permission (oddly and disconcertingly called a 'parole' document), which is why we booked the trip in the first place.

    Coming back was a little stressful, technically she was a green card holder without physical possession of her green card, which is normally required for entry. We had read that they might just say 'whatever, welcome home' and wave us in, or they may let her in provisionally and have us take the card to an immigration facility within X days for a proper stamp. In the event they very politely sent us to secondary processing (which we were expecting) and we waited maybe an hour to eventually get the ok to go in.

    Then we came home and the green card arrived that afternoon.

    It's quite a load off.

    General Discussion

  • When Trump says he's not treated fairly, he's right.
    jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    His two most popular issues in the campaign were inflation and immigration. He’s heavily underwater on both - even more so on inflation. There it was a question of knowingly over promising (he campaigned on bringing prices ‘back down’). With immigration it was changing the focus to numbers rather than border enforcement + targeting criminals.

    General Discussion

  • The new board of peace
    jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    Denmark I think was second behind the US in terms of deaths per capita in Afghanistan.

    General Discussion

  • When Trump says he's not treated fairly, he's right.
    jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    To be clear Trump mostly campaigned on something similar to what Obama did. But Miller’s priority is numbers of (brown?) people deported not numbers of criminals deported so he’s using a different approach.

    General Discussion
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