jon-nyc
Posts
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TikTok Redux - 75 days is almost up -
On the cost of AI -
We need a Venezuela threadI’ve never thought too much about the Trump crime family abusing the betting markets just because they’re too lightly traded. A few hundred k is a lot of money for a DoD mid level employee but not worth the Trump’s time. The big trades before presidential moves tend to be in financial or oil markets where you can make 100MM in a few minutes if your dad is President.
Also these trades are easy to investigate - everything is documented. So you know it’s someone with confidence that they won’t be subject to such investigations. That’s a small circle.
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So who did the insider trading?
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Time for a lawsuitIs that really a movie? I just assumed an AI generated fake trailer.
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Tim Cook retires from Apple.Interesting. It was a good decision. HP absorbed and then more or less killed compaq.
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We need a Venezuela threadBreaking News: A U.S. soldier who helped capture Nicolás Maduro has been charged with using classified information to bet on the mission on Polymarket.
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DoordashNice.
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Picking up the guitar againYou need a custom guitar for that, @andyd
Link to video -
The Sad Cognitive Decline of a President -
Secretary Hegseth Feud with Secretary of the ArmyInteresting.

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Secretary Hegseth Feud with Secretary of the Army -
Whatever happened to the kidnapped girl Elizabeth Smart?Me neither. Sad story.
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Mildly interesting -
Virginia Ballot got Trump’s attentionHe should read the language the Texas legislature offered to their voters.
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The Never-ending GriftSBF is in federal prison for something similar to this.
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Your Congress at workI suspect (without opening the link) that snap excluded prepared foods so that it would buy more and people wouldn’t waste it at McDonald’s and rotisserie chicken just got caught up in that definition. But I agree with Horace, it’s cheap and nutritious and easy for a single mom.
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Trumpenomics -
TrumpenomicsIt’s not clear to me how much of that erosion has been from true believers vs lesser-evil voters or, in the pundit space, grifters. We have evidence for example that Tucker never believed Trump won the 2020 election (though that evidence comes from an unreliable source- Tucker himself).
The percentage of people who believe he won the 2020 election is very similar to the percentage rate that view him favorably on the economy and the Iran war. That’s probably more or less the same group of people.
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Virginia Ballot got Trump’s attentionWhen the White House approached Texas about doing this Nate Silver wrote a piece that the Democrats are in a position to probably win the battle if they try. They had trifectas in fewer states but those states had higher populations hence more reps.