4% Behind, AT du jour
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Which is probably a tie.
But, as one wag put it...
Here’s the drill in Virginia, and it happens every time. The Republican candidate does better than expected, pulling far ahead in every area except Tidewater and Richmond, but even there it is close. By late evening, all areas of the state have reported their totals, except the Northern counties of Prince William, Fairfax, and Loudoun, and the Republican has a comfortable lead. The Republican is even doing well in the early totals from the Fairfax, Prince William and Loudoun. These are always the last counties to report their totals, long after the rest of the state has finished, and it is known how many votes the Democrats needs to win. The Northern counties now go to work, and the counting goes on through the night, slowly chipping away the Republican lead. Missing thumb drives are found, and unreported ballots are discovered in these three counties, particularly Fairfax, until finally the Democratic candidate achieves the lead.
