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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Baby Bust. Low Birth Rates.

Baby Bust. Low Birth Rates.

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  • AxtremusA Offline
    AxtremusA Offline
    Axtremus
    wrote on last edited by
    #1

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/05/06/baby-bust-wont-end-without-government-action/

    alt text

    “The most recent CDC data on the total fertility rate — how many babies a woman could be expected to have over her lifetime, if age-specific fertility rates stayed constant over time — suggest that the average woman will have just 1.6 children.”

    That number needs to be at least 2.1 to keep the population from shrinking.

    https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/vsrr/vsrr012-508.pdf

    1 Reply Last reply
    • JollyJ Offline
      JollyJ Offline
      Jolly
      wrote on last edited by
      #2

      Maybe more people need to identify as women.

      “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

      Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

      1 Reply Last reply
      • MikM Away
        MikM Away
        Mik
        wrote on last edited by
        #3

        We're not generating farmhands anymore.

        “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

        1 Reply Last reply
        • JollyJ Offline
          JollyJ Offline
          Jolly
          wrote on last edited by Jolly
          #4

          Tax something more, you get less of it.

          While this isn't necessarily a tax, the more children a couple has, the less income they have for things like housing, cars, etc.

          The wife and I were kicking some of this around this morning...The pastor at the church is very Old Skool in some personal beliefs, one being that the husband makes the living and the wife stays home to take care of the children and run the household. His children have followed the same path. His boys (3) are either in the trades or are apprentices. One is married with two children. The girls(3)... One is married with two children. The other two are still in school. I suspect both married couples will be having more children.

          Of the two married couples, the son is living in a trailer house on donated land. The girl is living in a nice home in the country, mainly because her husband grew up in a HVAC business where he worked with his dad (being very thrifty) and later joined the state police, where he has done well.

          So, I guess big families can work, provided the income is there. But how often does one spouse make that kind of money?

          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

          1 Reply Last reply
          • Doctor PhibesD Offline
            Doctor PhibesD Offline
            Doctor Phibes
            wrote on last edited by
            #5

            Mrs. Dr. Phibes wanted 4 kids right up to the point where we had 1 kid.

            I was only joking

            1 Reply Last reply
            • taiwan_girlT Offline
              taiwan_girlT Offline
              taiwan_girl
              wrote on last edited by
              #6

              Taiwan is down to 1.2 birthrate. It is a big problem and big news. The government is trying different things to increase it.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • AxtremusA Offline
                AxtremusA Offline
                Axtremus
                wrote on last edited by
                #7

                China also reports record low birth rate and severe aging of its population going by its 2020 census:

                https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/may/11/chinas-population-growing-at-slowest-rate-generations-one-child

                1 Reply Last reply
                • AxtremusA Offline
                  AxtremusA Offline
                  Axtremus
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #8

                  Link to video

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • X Online
                    X Online
                    xenon
                    wrote on last edited by xenon
                    #9

                    If you want a progressive social safety net - especially for old age - that goes hand in hand with neeing higher birth rates than where we are.

                    Deferred benefit social programs don't really work below replacement levels. Skimming off the top of other countries' human capital also seems less than progressive.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • taiwan_girlT Offline
                      taiwan_girlT Offline
                      taiwan_girl
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #10

                      Yup, it is a big problem in most developed countries.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • AxtremusA Offline
                        AxtremusA Offline
                        Axtremus
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #11

                        https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2024/07/26/child-free-childless-adults-pew-study/74561070007/

                        Why are more adults not having children? New study may have an explanation.

                        https://www.pewresearch.org/social-trends/2024/07/25/the-experiences-of-u-s-adults-who-dont-have-children/

                        57% of adults under 50 who say they’re unlikely to ever have kids say a major reason is they just don’t want to; 31% of those ages 50 and older without kids cite this as a reason they never had them

                        IMG_6753.jpeg

                        CopperC 1 Reply Last reply
                        • LuFins DadL Offline
                          LuFins DadL Offline
                          LuFins Dad
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #12

                          Right, because ultimately we became a very selfish and me-first global society. Nice job!

                          The Brad

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • AxtremusA Axtremus

                            https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2024/07/26/child-free-childless-adults-pew-study/74561070007/

                            Why are more adults not having children? New study may have an explanation.

                            https://www.pewresearch.org/social-trends/2024/07/25/the-experiences-of-u-s-adults-who-dont-have-children/

                            57% of adults under 50 who say they’re unlikely to ever have kids say a major reason is they just don’t want to; 31% of those ages 50 and older without kids cite this as a reason they never had them

                            IMG_6753.jpeg

                            CopperC Offline
                            CopperC Offline
                            Copper
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #13

                            @Axtremus said in Baby Bust. Low Birth Rates.:

                            they just don’t want to

                            Evolution broke.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • JollyJ Offline
                              JollyJ Offline
                              Jolly
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #14

                              Or shucks, a significant portion of the population became lesbians, queers, or transgender.

                              “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                              Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                              1 Reply Last reply
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