Pardon Betting Markets

[jon-nyc]

The latest action is on Bovada’s pardon market. From the start, the former Trump campaign chair Paul Manafort has been the favorite to receive a pardon, at minus 400 (a winner must bet four hundred bucks on him in order to make a hundred). He is trailed by the campaign advisers George Papadopoulos (minus 325) and Rick Gates (minus 300). When setting lines for events like a Mets game, Bovada uses stats and probabilities. But for pardons, Morrow said, “we really just went through a Who’s Who of people who are in trouble, and who have some kind of connection to Trump.” He added, “Who would be in his best interest? Bannon makes sense, Gates makes sense, Manafort really, really, really makes sense.” For those looking for a potential dark horse, Julian Assange is plus 250: a hundred-dollar wager would net two hundred and fifty. “Ghislaine Maxwell’s at three to one,” Morrow said. “That’s probably not fair. I would recommend not betting that.”

https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2020/12/21/what-are-the-odds-that-trump-pardons-himself

[kluurs]

@jon-nyc said in Pardon Betting Markets:

ets game, Bovada uses stats and probabilities. But for pardons, Morrow said, “we really just went through a Who’s Who of people who are in trouble, and who have some kind of connection to Trump.” He added, “Who would be in his best interest? Bannon makes sense, Gates makes sense, Manafort really, really, really makes sense.” For those looking for a potential dark horse, Julian Assange is plus 250: a hundred-dollar wager would net two hundred and fifty. “Ghislaine Maxwell’s at three to one,” Morrow said. “That’s probably not fair. I would recommend not betting that.”

DJT should make some wagers. Safe investment.