USA Covid Projections
-
wrote on 5 Dec 2020, 06:28 last edited by
-
wrote on 5 Dec 2020, 11:47 last edited by
Good, we will need some very high estimates so president Harris can look good when she singlehandedly cures us all.
-
wrote on 5 Dec 2020, 12:44 last edited by
US Projection: 538,893 deaths
US Population: 331,845,9440.0016 ratio
UK Projection: 118,674 deaths
UK Population: 67,886,0040.0017 ratio
That's of course a projection.
Actual data show this:
US Deaths/100K people: 84.7
UK Deaths/100K people: 91.2So, perhaps a little introspection is in order.
-
US Projection: 538,893 deaths
US Population: 331,845,9440.0016 ratio
UK Projection: 118,674 deaths
UK Population: 67,886,0040.0017 ratio
That's of course a projection.
Actual data show this:
US Deaths/100K people: 84.7
UK Deaths/100K people: 91.2So, perhaps a little introspection is in order.
wrote on 5 Dec 2020, 13:13 last edited by@George-K said in USA Covid Projections:
US Projection: 538,893 deaths
US Population: 331,845,9440.0016 ratio
UK Projection: 118,674 deaths
UK Population: 67,886,0040.0017 ratio
That's of course a projection.
Actual data show this:
US Deaths/100K people: 84.7
UK Deaths/100K people: 91.2So, perhaps a little introspection is in order.
Thank you, George.
-
wrote on 5 Dec 2020, 14:38 last edited by
I suspect it is pretty comparable worldwide if the same criteria were used, and possibly adjusted for quality/quantity of healthcare.
-
I suspect it is pretty comparable worldwide if the same criteria were used, and possibly adjusted for quality/quantity of healthcare.
wrote on 5 Dec 2020, 15:20 last edited by@Mik said in USA Covid Projections:
I suspect it is pretty comparable worldwide if the same criteria were used, and possibly adjusted for quality/quantity of healthcare.
I'd put in a "Western World" caveat. Asian countries are generally more capable of containing these things for a variety of reasons.
I would also add in quality/quantity of testing and diagnosis and the standards of information. There seems to be some indication that we are counting cases of "Died with COVID" as "Died from COVID"
-
wrote on 6 Dec 2020, 13:00 last edited by
@George-K said in USA Covid Projections:
US Projection: 538,893 deaths
US Population: 331,845,9440.0016 ratio
UK Projection: 118,674 deaths
UK Population: 67,886,0040.0017 ratio
That's of course a projection.
Actual data show this:
US Deaths/100K people: 84.7
UK Deaths/100K people: 91.2So, perhaps a little introspection is in order.
If you want is my reaction to the total projection for the UK, here you are:
If you want to compare our leaders' inactions, actions and speeches that's a different thread.
-
@Mik said in USA Covid Projections:
I suspect it is pretty comparable worldwide if the same criteria were used, and possibly adjusted for quality/quantity of healthcare.
I'd put in a "Western World" caveat. Asian countries are generally more capable of containing these things for a variety of reasons.
I would also add in quality/quantity of testing and diagnosis and the standards of information. There seems to be some indication that we are counting cases of "Died with COVID" as "Died from COVID"
wrote on 6 Dec 2020, 14:19 last edited by@LuFins-Dad said in USA Covid Projections:
I'd put in a "Western World" caveat. Asian countries are generally more capable of containing these things for a variety of reasons.
Yes, they can contain the reporting. That is so much easier than containing the disease.
But we have learned a lot in recent years are catching up quickly.
-
@LuFins-Dad said in USA Covid Projections:
I'd put in a "Western World" caveat. Asian countries are generally more capable of containing these things for a variety of reasons.
Yes, they can contain the reporting. That is so much easier than containing the disease.
But we have learned a lot in recent years are catching up quickly.
wrote on 6 Dec 2020, 14:23 last edited by@Copper said in USA Covid Projections:
@LuFins-Dad said in USA Covid Projections:
I'd put in a "Western World" caveat. Asian countries are generally more capable of containing these things for a variety of reasons.
Yes, they can contain the reporting. That is so much easier than containing the disease.
But we have learned a lot in recent years are catching up quickly.
Disagree with you a little bit there copper. I think the main difference is that in Asian countries, there is more of a “society” mindset, rather than an “individual” mindset.
This makes it easier, to have rules like mask wearing, or something like that, which as is being seen in the US, I think it have hurt the overall response to Covid.
-
@Copper said in USA Covid Projections:
@LuFins-Dad said in USA Covid Projections:
I'd put in a "Western World" caveat. Asian countries are generally more capable of containing these things for a variety of reasons.
Yes, they can contain the reporting. That is so much easier than containing the disease.
But we have learned a lot in recent years are catching up quickly.
Disagree with you a little bit there copper. I think the main difference is that in Asian countries, there is more of a “society” mindset, rather than an “individual” mindset.
This makes it easier, to have rules like mask wearing, or something like that, which as is being seen in the US, I think it have hurt the overall response to Covid.
wrote on 7 Dec 2020, 00:51 last edited by@taiwan_girl said in USA Covid Projections:
@Copper said in USA Covid Projections:
@LuFins-Dad said in USA Covid Projections:
I'd put in a "Western World" caveat. Asian countries are generally more capable of containing these things for a variety of reasons.
Yes, they can contain the reporting. That is so much easier than containing the disease.
But we have learned a lot in recent years are catching up quickly.
Disagree with you a little bit there copper. I think the main difference is that in Asian countries, there is more of a “society” mindset, rather than an “individual” mindset.
This makes it easier, to have rules like mask wearing, or something like that, which as is being seen in the US, I think it have hurt the overall response to Covid.
I agree. I would also look at age demographics, obesity and heart disease.