What happened to the motivated electorate?
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We were hearing numbers like 185,000,000 expected votes... Instead, it looks like we’re going to come in around 145,000,000 which is roughly .7% more VEP than 2016... Where are the tens of millions more votes we were expecting?
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They're all in a big dumpster outside Trump Tower.
I have absolutely no evidence of this, but it sounds pretty plausible.
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That might explain why the polling was as off as it was. Likely good for the GOP
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@Loki said in What happened to the motivated electorate?:
That might explain why the polling was as off as it was. Likely good for the GOP
No, I'm pretty sure it's more easily explained by election fraud. It should be obvious to anybody with an ounce of common sense that the Republicans are hiding a ton of Democrat votes back.
I was only joking
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@Loki said in What happened to the motivated electorate?:
That might explain why the polling was as off as it was. Likely good for the GOP
I have a suspicion that these kids that are rampaging through the cities don’t really want things to change... They are enjoying themselves too much.
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I don't think there are 40 million kids raging anywhere, unless perhaps it's on Call of Duty.
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@Loki said in What happened to the motivated electorate?:
That might explain why the polling was as off as it was. Likely good for the GOP
No, I'm pretty sure it's more easily explained by election fraud. It should be obvious to anybody with an ounce of common sense that the Republicans are hiding a ton of Democrat votes back.
@Doctor-Phibes said in What happened to the motivated electorate?:
@Loki said in What happened to the motivated electorate?:
That might explain why the polling was as off as it was. Likely good for the GOP
No, I'm pretty sure it's more easily explained by election fraud. It should be obvious to anybody with an ounce of common sense that the Republicans are hiding a ton of Democrat votes back.
Well of course! The democrats played dirty with Kavanaugh, dirty with Trump, dirty with every single thing that's happened politically the last 4 years, but THIS time e it's the republicans up to dirty games.....
This country deserves Biden.
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You chaps really don't get irony at all.
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@Horace said in What happened to the motivated electorate?:
I get irony.
It's ironing you don't get.
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Does anybody get woody?
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Nate Silver:
What will the final margin in the popular vote be? Here’s an absurdly precise guess: 4.3 percentage points. More specifically, I guess that Biden will receive 81.8 million votes and Trump will get 74.9 million, with 2.9 million going to third-party candidates for a total of 159.6 million. How did I come up with that? I took, from The New York Times’ results pages, Edison Media’s estimates of how many votes were left in each state and then allocated them between the candidates, usually just going by the current vote in each state, with some exceptions
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60%... Except Wisconsin, they came in at 90%...
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60%... Except Wisconsin, they came in at 90%...
@LuFins-Dad said in What happened to the motivated electorate?:
60%... Except Wisconsin, they came in at 90%...
That's really motivated!
