Skip to content
  • Categories
  • Recent
  • Tags
  • Popular
  • Users
  • Groups
Skins
  • Light
  • Cerulean
  • Cosmo
  • Flatly
  • Journal
  • Litera
  • Lumen
  • Lux
  • Materia
  • Minty
  • Morph
  • Pulse
  • Sandstone
  • Simplex
  • Sketchy
  • Spacelab
  • United
  • Yeti
  • Zephyr
  • Dark
  • Cyborg
  • Darkly
  • Quartz
  • Slate
  • Solar
  • Superhero
  • Vapor

  • Default (No Skin)
  • No Skin
Collapse

The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Calling the States

Calling the States

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved General Discussion
448 Posts 24 Posters 31.1k Views
  • Oldest to Newest
  • Newest to Oldest
  • Most Votes
Reply
  • Reply as topic
Log in to reply
This topic has been deleted. Only users with topic management privileges can see it.
  • L Offline
    L Offline
    LuFins Dad
    wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:31 last edited by
    #42

    Ok, I get VA now. They didn’t start with their absentee votes, they reported today’s results. They are about to dump the absentee votes now.

    The Brad

    1 Reply Last reply
    • J Offline
      J Offline
      jon-nyc
      wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:31 last edited by
      #43

      Ah, that explains it.

      They’ll end up, after a lot of drama, with the same formula they use every time they have a trifecta: take away health care and food assistance from low income families and use the money to fund tax cuts for their donors.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • J jon-nyc
        4 Nov 2020, 03:30

        This is from 538 liveblog.

        Screen Shot 2020-11-03 at 10.29.52 PM.png

        L Offline
        L Offline
        LuFins Dad
        wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:32 last edited by
        #44

        @jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

        This is from 538 liveblog.

        Screen Shot 2020-11-03 at 10.29.52 PM.png

        You better believe there are two armies of lawyers driving to Philadelphia at this very moment.

        The Brad

        1 Reply Last reply
        • J Offline
          J Offline
          jon-nyc
          wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:34 last edited by
          #45

          It's already in the courts.

          They’ll end up, after a lot of drama, with the same formula they use every time they have a trifecta: take away health care and food assistance from low income families and use the money to fund tax cuts for their donors.

          1 Reply Last reply
          • J Offline
            J Offline
            jon-nyc
            wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:34 last edited by
            #46

            They’ll end up, after a lot of drama, with the same formula they use every time they have a trifecta: take away health care and food assistance from low income families and use the money to fund tax cuts for their donors.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • J Offline
              J Offline
              jon-nyc
              wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:37 last edited by
              #47

              From James Lindsey:

              "Looks like the Latino vote went for Trump, and the Latinx vote went for Biden"

              They’ll end up, after a lot of drama, with the same formula they use every time they have a trifecta: take away health care and food assistance from low income families and use the money to fund tax cuts for their donors.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • L Offline
                L Offline
                LuFins Dad
                wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:40 last edited by
                #48

                Trafalgar’s numbers are looking on point across the board.

                The Brad

                1 Reply Last reply
                • J Offline
                  J Offline
                  jon-nyc
                  wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:46 last edited by jon-nyc 11 Apr 2020, 03:46
                  #49

                  What are they?

                  They did FL well.

                  They only have a 75% accuracy rate in calling elections, which is why Nate rates them a C- (IIRC).

                  They’ll end up, after a lot of drama, with the same formula they use every time they have a trifecta: take away health care and food assistance from low income families and use the money to fund tax cuts for their donors.

                  J 1 Reply Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 03:54
                  • J jon-nyc
                    4 Nov 2020, 03:09

                    I'm calling it for Trump.

                    K Offline
                    K Offline
                    kluurs
                    wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:52 last edited by
                    #50

                    @jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

                    I'm calling it for Trump.

                    Game over.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • J jon-nyc
                      4 Nov 2020, 03:46

                      What are they?

                      They did FL well.

                      They only have a 75% accuracy rate in calling elections, which is why Nate rates them a C- (IIRC).

                      J Offline
                      J Offline
                      Jolly
                      wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:54 last edited by
                      #51

                      @jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

                      What are they?

                      They did FL well.

                      They only have a 75% accuracy rate in calling elections, which is why Nate rates them a C- (IIRC).

                      If Trump pulls this out, a lot of pollsters, including Nate, are going to look like idiots.

                      “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                      Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • J Offline
                        J Offline
                        jon-nyc
                        wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:55 last edited by
                        #52

                        Nate isn't a pollster. He just builds models based on polls.

                        But people won't make that distinction and think he's an idiot anyway.

                        They’ll end up, after a lot of drama, with the same formula they use every time they have a trifecta: take away health care and food assistance from low income families and use the money to fund tax cuts for their donors.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • J Offline
                          J Offline
                          jon-nyc
                          wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:56 last edited by
                          #53

                          But my question stands -

                          Does Trafalgar really have the special sauce? Or do they lean Republican so if you only look at how they did during republican upsets they look prescient?

                          They’ll end up, after a lot of drama, with the same formula they use every time they have a trifecta: take away health care and food assistance from low income families and use the money to fund tax cuts for their donors.

                          L 1 Reply Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 04:11
                          • L Offline
                            L Offline
                            LuFins Dad
                            wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:59 last edited by
                            #54

                            Don’t know... But their numbers matched in 16 and they seem to be matching up this time pretty well...

                            The Brad

                            J 1 Reply Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 04:14
                            • M Offline
                              M Offline
                              Mik
                              wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 04:08 last edited by
                              #55

                              I have found that I have been more interested in the House and Senate races. So far the GOP is doing really well it looks like. Collins, McConnell and Graham are all winners, and those were seats the Dems spent a LOT of money on. In House races they poured money in my district and the one next to it and are still losing.

                              How are things going in your states' house/senate races?

                              "The intelligent man who is proud of his intelligence is like the condemned man who is proud of his large cell." Simone Weil

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • J jon-nyc
                                4 Nov 2020, 03:56

                                But my question stands -

                                Does Trafalgar really have the special sauce? Or do they lean Republican so if you only look at how they did during republican upsets they look prescient?

                                L Offline
                                L Offline
                                Loki
                                wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 04:11 last edited by Loki 11 Apr 2020, 04:11
                                #56

                                @jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

                                But my question stands -

                                Does Trafalgar really have the special sauce? Or do they lean Republican so if you only look at how they did during republican upsets they look prescient?

                                GOP for sure but if Trump wins can you ever read Nate Silver with a straight face again? It would be like reading the manifesto of a dangerous mind.

                                J 1 Reply Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 04:14
                                • L LuFins Dad
                                  4 Nov 2020, 03:59

                                  Don’t know... But their numbers matched in 16 and they seem to be matching up this time pretty well...

                                  J Offline
                                  J Offline
                                  jon-nyc
                                  wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 04:14 last edited by
                                  #57

                                  @LuFins-Dad said in Calling the States:

                                  Don’t know... But their numbers matched in 16 and they seem to be matching up this time pretty well...

                                  What are their numbers? Other than FL.

                                  They’ll end up, after a lot of drama, with the same formula they use every time they have a trifecta: take away health care and food assistance from low income families and use the money to fund tax cuts for their donors.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • L Loki
                                    4 Nov 2020, 04:11

                                    @jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

                                    But my question stands -

                                    Does Trafalgar really have the special sauce? Or do they lean Republican so if you only look at how they did during republican upsets they look prescient?

                                    GOP for sure but if Trump wins can you ever read Nate Silver with a straight face again? It would be like reading the manifesto of a dangerous mind.

                                    J Offline
                                    J Offline
                                    jon-nyc
                                    wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 04:14 last edited by jon-nyc 11 Apr 2020, 04:23
                                    #58

                                    @Loki said in Calling the States:

                                    @jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

                                    But my question stands -

                                    Does Trafalgar really have the special sauce? Or do they lean Republican so if you only look at how they did during republican upsets they look prescient?

                                    GOP for sure but if Trump wins can you ever read Nate Silver with a straight face again? It would be like reading the manifesto of a dangerous mind.

                                    Obviously they lean GOP. But is that all they got? Or do they do it intelligently so there are not too many false positives? Nate says they've got a 75% record which is kind of poor.

                                    Also, see my reply to Jolly.

                                    They’ll end up, after a lot of drama, with the same formula they use every time they have a trifecta: take away health care and food assistance from low income families and use the money to fund tax cuts for their donors.

                                    L 1 Reply Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 04:28
                                    • J Offline
                                      J Offline
                                      jon-nyc
                                      wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 04:24 last edited by
                                      #59

                                      Looks like Fox is disabling some of their odd meters.

                                      Major fail overall for them.

                                      Screen Shot 2020-11-03 at 11.22.41 PM.png

                                      They’ll end up, after a lot of drama, with the same formula they use every time they have a trifecta: take away health care and food assistance from low income families and use the money to fund tax cuts for their donors.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • J Offline
                                        J Offline
                                        jon-nyc
                                        wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 04:25 last edited by
                                        #60

                                        Fox just called AZ for Biden. that's interesting

                                        They’ll end up, after a lot of drama, with the same formula they use every time they have a trifecta: take away health care and food assistance from low income families and use the money to fund tax cuts for their donors.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • M Offline
                                          M Offline
                                          Mik
                                          wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 04:26 last edited by
                                          #61

                                          alt text

                                          "The intelligent man who is proud of his intelligence is like the condemned man who is proud of his large cell." Simone Weil

                                          1 Reply Last reply
                                          Reply
                                          • Reply as topic
                                          Log in to reply
                                          • Oldest to Newest
                                          • Newest to Oldest
                                          • Most Votes

                                          51/448

                                          4 Nov 2020, 03:54

                                          397 unread

                                          • Login

                                          • Don't have an account? Register

                                          • Login or register to search.
                                          51 out of 448
                                          • First post
                                            51/448
                                            Last post
                                          0
                                          • Categories
                                          • Recent
                                          • Tags
                                          • Popular
                                          • Users
                                          • Groups