Calling the States
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@Larry said in Calling the States:
Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.
What are you watching to see VA to Trump?
wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:19 last edited by@jon-nyc said in Calling the States:
@Larry said in Calling the States:
Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.
What are you watching to see VA to Trump?
I'm flipping around through all of them, so I can't remember which one.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:20 last edited by
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:25 last edited by
Ok, I don't understand this... in Virginia, it's Trump 53%, Biden 45% but it calls it for Biden....
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:26 last edited by
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Ok, I don't understand this... in Virginia, it's Trump 53%, Biden 45% but it calls it for Biden....
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:30 last edited by jon-nyc 11 Apr 2020, 03:31
This is from 538 liveblog.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:31 last edited by
Ok, I get VA now. They didn’t start with their absentee votes, they reported today’s results. They are about to dump the absentee votes now.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:31 last edited by
Ah, that explains it.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:32 last edited by
@jon-nyc said in Calling the States:
This is from 538 liveblog.
You better believe there are two armies of lawyers driving to Philadelphia at this very moment.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:34 last edited by
It's already in the courts.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:34 last edited by
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:37 last edited by
From James Lindsey:
"Looks like the Latino vote went for Trump, and the Latinx vote went for Biden"
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:40 last edited by
Trafalgar’s numbers are looking on point across the board.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:46 last edited by jon-nyc 11 Apr 2020, 03:46
What are they?
They did FL well.
They only have a 75% accuracy rate in calling elections, which is why Nate rates them a C- (IIRC).
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:52 last edited by
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What are they?
They did FL well.
They only have a 75% accuracy rate in calling elections, which is why Nate rates them a C- (IIRC).
wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:54 last edited by@jon-nyc said in Calling the States:
What are they?
They did FL well.
They only have a 75% accuracy rate in calling elections, which is why Nate rates them a C- (IIRC).
If Trump pulls this out, a lot of pollsters, including Nate, are going to look like idiots.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:55 last edited by
Nate isn't a pollster. He just builds models based on polls.
But people won't make that distinction and think he's an idiot anyway.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:56 last edited by
But my question stands -
Does Trafalgar really have the special sauce? Or do they lean Republican so if you only look at how they did during republican upsets they look prescient?
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:59 last edited by
Don’t know... But their numbers matched in 16 and they seem to be matching up this time pretty well...
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 04:08 last edited by
I have found that I have been more interested in the House and Senate races. So far the GOP is doing really well it looks like. Collins, McConnell and Graham are all winners, and those were seats the Dems spent a LOT of money on. In House races they poured money in my district and the one next to it and are still losing.
How are things going in your states' house/senate races?