Calling the States
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@Larry said in Calling the States:
Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.
What are you watching to see VA to Trump?
wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:18 last edited by@jon-nyc said in Calling the States:
@Larry said in Calling the States:
Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.
What are you watching to see VA to Trump?
Probably West-by-God.
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@Larry said in Calling the States:
Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.
What are you watching to see VA to Trump?
wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:19 last edited by@jon-nyc said in Calling the States:
@Larry said in Calling the States:
Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.
What are you watching to see VA to Trump?
I'm flipping around through all of them, so I can't remember which one.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:20 last edited by
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:25 last edited by
Ok, I don't understand this... in Virginia, it's Trump 53%, Biden 45% but it calls it for Biden....
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:26 last edited by
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Ok, I don't understand this... in Virginia, it's Trump 53%, Biden 45% but it calls it for Biden....
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:30 last edited by jon-nyc 11 Apr 2020, 03:31
This is from 538 liveblog.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:31 last edited by
Ok, I get VA now. They didn’t start with their absentee votes, they reported today’s results. They are about to dump the absentee votes now.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:31 last edited by
Ah, that explains it.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:32 last edited by
@jon-nyc said in Calling the States:
This is from 538 liveblog.
You better believe there are two armies of lawyers driving to Philadelphia at this very moment.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:34 last edited by
It's already in the courts.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:34 last edited by
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:37 last edited by
From James Lindsey:
"Looks like the Latino vote went for Trump, and the Latinx vote went for Biden"
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:40 last edited by
Trafalgar’s numbers are looking on point across the board.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:46 last edited by jon-nyc 11 Apr 2020, 03:46
What are they?
They did FL well.
They only have a 75% accuracy rate in calling elections, which is why Nate rates them a C- (IIRC).
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:52 last edited by
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What are they?
They did FL well.
They only have a 75% accuracy rate in calling elections, which is why Nate rates them a C- (IIRC).
wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:54 last edited by@jon-nyc said in Calling the States:
What are they?
They did FL well.
They only have a 75% accuracy rate in calling elections, which is why Nate rates them a C- (IIRC).
If Trump pulls this out, a lot of pollsters, including Nate, are going to look like idiots.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:55 last edited by
Nate isn't a pollster. He just builds models based on polls.
But people won't make that distinction and think he's an idiot anyway.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:56 last edited by
But my question stands -
Does Trafalgar really have the special sauce? Or do they lean Republican so if you only look at how they did during republican upsets they look prescient?
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:59 last edited by
Don’t know... But their numbers matched in 16 and they seem to be matching up this time pretty well...