Calling the States

[LuFins Dad]

Fox News Channel just mentioned that some outlets just switched VA back to a tossup, but they were sticking by their exit surveys... Does anybody know which outlet switched VA?

[jon-nyc]

Nope

[jon-nyc]

By the way, NYT is only doing its needles on those three states. There’s an explainer that says why the others will be too hard to predict from preliminary results.

[Copper]

That's enough, I'm going to bed.

[Loki]

I’m surprised In the moment

[jon-nyc]

I'm calling it for Trump.

[Jolly]

@jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

I'm calling it for Trump.

I think you're too early.

[Larry]

Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.

[jon-nyc]

This is convenient.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/upshot/network-race-call-tracker.html

[jon-nyc]

@Larry said in Calling the States:

Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.

What are you watching to see VA to Trump?

[Larry]

Trump just picked up Kansas and iowa.

[Jolly]

@jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

@Larry said in Calling the States:

Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.

What are you watching to see VA to Trump?

Probably West-by-God.

[Larry]

@jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

@Larry said in Calling the States:

Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.

What are you watching to see VA to Trump?

I'm flipping around through all of them, so I can't remember which one.

[xenon]

Nate Silver is getting a little belligerent on Twitter

[Larry]

Ok, I don't understand this... in Virginia, it's Trump 53%, Biden 45% but it calls it for Biden....

[jon-nyc]

[xenon]

@Larry it was similar in NC. I think it's based on the expected composition of the outstanding polls.

[jon-nyc]

This is from 538 liveblog.

[LuFins Dad]

Ok, I get VA now. They didn’t start with their absentee votes, they reported today’s results. They are about to dump the absentee votes now.

[jon-nyc]

Ah, that explains it.