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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Calling the States

Calling the States

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  • J jon-nyc
    4 Nov 2020, 02:05

    I wouldn’t say that. The NYT needle is based on really detailed analysis of county results.

    I’m in no position to judge if they’re any better or worse than Fox but when they’re this far apart I’ll reserve judgment

    G Offline
    G Offline
    George K
    wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:07 last edited by
    #18

    @jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

    when they’re this far apart I’ll reserve judgment

    Yeah, I was shocked to see that difference.

    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

    L 1 Reply Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 02:09
    • G George K
      4 Nov 2020, 02:07

      @jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

      when they’re this far apart I’ll reserve judgment

      Yeah, I was shocked to see that difference.

      L Offline
      L Offline
      Loki
      wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:09 last edited by
      #19

      NYT is performing very well.

      North Carolina is the firewall. Another surprise or two will come.

      Biden is winning everywhere in terms of outperforming 2016 with the exception of one county in Florida.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • L Offline
        L Offline
        LuFins Dad
        wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:14 last edited by
        #20

        Yeah, both RCP and Fox show 95% of Loudoun County results are in, NYT showed 35%, that seems a lot more accurate.

        The Brad

        1 Reply Last reply
        • X Offline
          X Offline
          xenon
          wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:30 last edited by
          #21

          This is the fun part of the night. Anyone else find this super entertaining? (Divorcing the drama of it from your preferences)

          1 Reply Last reply
          • L Offline
            L Offline
            LuFins Dad
            wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:33 last edited by
            #22

            Ok, Fox is following suit on NC. I think the NYT just became my go to for the evening.

            The Brad

            1 Reply Last reply
            • J Online
              J Online
              jon-nyc
              wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:37 last edited by jon-nyc 11 Apr 2020, 02:38
              #23

              NYT:

              Screen Shot 2020-11-03 at 9.36.44 PM.png

              FOX:

              Screen Shot 2020-11-03 at 9.37.38 PM.png

              "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
              -Cormac McCarthy

              1 Reply Last reply
              • L Offline
                L Offline
                LuFins Dad
                wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:52 last edited by
                #24

                Fox News Channel just mentioned that some outlets just switched VA back to a tossup, but they were sticking by their exit surveys... Does anybody know which outlet switched VA?

                The Brad

                1 Reply Last reply
                • J Online
                  J Online
                  jon-nyc
                  wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:58 last edited by
                  #25

                  Nope

                  "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                  -Cormac McCarthy

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • J Online
                    J Online
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:59 last edited by jon-nyc 11 Apr 2020, 02:59
                    #26

                    By the way, NYT is only doing its needles on those three states. There’s an explainer that says why the others will be too hard to predict from preliminary results.

                    "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                    -Cormac McCarthy

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • C Offline
                      C Offline
                      Copper
                      wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:03 last edited by
                      #27

                      That's enough, I'm going to bed.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • L Offline
                        L Offline
                        Loki
                        wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:05 last edited by
                        #28

                        I’m surprised In the moment

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • J Online
                          J Online
                          jon-nyc
                          wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:09 last edited by
                          #29

                          I'm calling it for Trump.

                          "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                          -Cormac McCarthy

                          J K 2 Replies Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 03:10
                          • J jon-nyc
                            4 Nov 2020, 03:09

                            I'm calling it for Trump.

                            J Offline
                            J Offline
                            Jolly
                            wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:10 last edited by
                            #30

                            @jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

                            I'm calling it for Trump.

                            I think you're too early.

                            “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                            Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                            J 1 Reply Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 04:38
                            • L Offline
                              L Offline
                              Larry
                              wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:12 last edited by
                              #31

                              Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.

                              J 1 Reply Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 03:15
                              • J Online
                                J Online
                                jon-nyc
                                wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:13 last edited by
                                #32

                                This is convenient.

                                https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/upshot/network-race-call-tracker.html

                                "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                                -Cormac McCarthy

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • L Larry
                                  4 Nov 2020, 03:12

                                  Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.

                                  J Online
                                  J Online
                                  jon-nyc
                                  wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:15 last edited by
                                  #33

                                  @Larry said in Calling the States:

                                  Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.

                                  What are you watching to see VA to Trump?

                                  "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                                  -Cormac McCarthy

                                  J L 2 Replies Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 03:18
                                  • L Offline
                                    L Offline
                                    Larry
                                    wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:15 last edited by
                                    #34

                                    Trump just picked up Kansas and iowa.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • J jon-nyc
                                      4 Nov 2020, 03:15

                                      @Larry said in Calling the States:

                                      Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.

                                      What are you watching to see VA to Trump?

                                      J Offline
                                      J Offline
                                      Jolly
                                      wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:18 last edited by
                                      #35

                                      @jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

                                      @Larry said in Calling the States:

                                      Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.

                                      What are you watching to see VA to Trump?

                                      Probably West-by-God.

                                      “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                      Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • J jon-nyc
                                        4 Nov 2020, 03:15

                                        @Larry said in Calling the States:

                                        Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.

                                        What are you watching to see VA to Trump?

                                        L Offline
                                        L Offline
                                        Larry
                                        wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:19 last edited by
                                        #36

                                        @jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

                                        @Larry said in Calling the States:

                                        Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.

                                        What are you watching to see VA to Trump?

                                        I'm flipping around through all of them, so I can't remember which one.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • X Offline
                                          X Offline
                                          xenon
                                          wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:20 last edited by
                                          #37

                                          Nate Silver is getting a little belligerent on Twitter

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