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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Calling the States

Calling the States

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  • J Offline
    J Offline
    jon-nyc
    wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:05 last edited by
    #17

    I wouldn’t say that. The NYT needle is based on really detailed analysis of county results.

    I’m in no position to judge if they’re any better or worse than Fox but when they’re this far apart I’ll reserve judgment

    Only non-witches get due process.

    • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
    G 1 Reply Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 02:07
    • J jon-nyc
      4 Nov 2020, 02:05

      I wouldn’t say that. The NYT needle is based on really detailed analysis of county results.

      I’m in no position to judge if they’re any better or worse than Fox but when they’re this far apart I’ll reserve judgment

      G Offline
      G Offline
      George K
      wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:07 last edited by
      #18

      @jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

      when they’re this far apart I’ll reserve judgment

      Yeah, I was shocked to see that difference.

      "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

      The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

      L 1 Reply Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 02:09
      • G George K
        4 Nov 2020, 02:07

        @jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

        when they’re this far apart I’ll reserve judgment

        Yeah, I was shocked to see that difference.

        L Offline
        L Offline
        Loki
        wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:09 last edited by
        #19

        NYT is performing very well.

        North Carolina is the firewall. Another surprise or two will come.

        Biden is winning everywhere in terms of outperforming 2016 with the exception of one county in Florida.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • L Offline
          L Offline
          LuFins Dad
          wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:14 last edited by
          #20

          Yeah, both RCP and Fox show 95% of Loudoun County results are in, NYT showed 35%, that seems a lot more accurate.

          The Brad

          1 Reply Last reply
          • X Offline
            X Offline
            xenon
            wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:30 last edited by
            #21

            This is the fun part of the night. Anyone else find this super entertaining? (Divorcing the drama of it from your preferences)

            1 Reply Last reply
            • L Offline
              L Offline
              LuFins Dad
              wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:33 last edited by
              #22

              Ok, Fox is following suit on NC. I think the NYT just became my go to for the evening.

              The Brad

              1 Reply Last reply
              • J Offline
                J Offline
                jon-nyc
                wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:37 last edited by jon-nyc 11 Apr 2020, 02:38
                #23

                NYT:

                Screen Shot 2020-11-03 at 9.36.44 PM.png

                FOX:

                Screen Shot 2020-11-03 at 9.37.38 PM.png

                Only non-witches get due process.

                • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                1 Reply Last reply
                • L Offline
                  L Offline
                  LuFins Dad
                  wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:52 last edited by
                  #24

                  Fox News Channel just mentioned that some outlets just switched VA back to a tossup, but they were sticking by their exit surveys... Does anybody know which outlet switched VA?

                  The Brad

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • J Offline
                    J Offline
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:58 last edited by
                    #25

                    Nope

                    Only non-witches get due process.

                    • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • J Offline
                      J Offline
                      jon-nyc
                      wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:59 last edited by jon-nyc 11 Apr 2020, 02:59
                      #26

                      By the way, NYT is only doing its needles on those three states. There’s an explainer that says why the others will be too hard to predict from preliminary results.

                      Only non-witches get due process.

                      • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • C Offline
                        C Offline
                        Copper
                        wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:03 last edited by
                        #27

                        That's enough, I'm going to bed.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • L Offline
                          L Offline
                          Loki
                          wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:05 last edited by
                          #28

                          I’m surprised In the moment

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • J Offline
                            J Offline
                            jon-nyc
                            wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:09 last edited by
                            #29

                            I'm calling it for Trump.

                            Only non-witches get due process.

                            • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                            J K 2 Replies Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 03:10
                            • J jon-nyc
                              4 Nov 2020, 03:09

                              I'm calling it for Trump.

                              J Offline
                              J Offline
                              Jolly
                              wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:10 last edited by
                              #30

                              @jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

                              I'm calling it for Trump.

                              I think you're too early.

                              “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                              Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                              J 1 Reply Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 04:38
                              • L Offline
                                L Offline
                                Larry
                                wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:12 last edited by
                                #31

                                Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.

                                J 1 Reply Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 03:15
                                • J Offline
                                  J Offline
                                  jon-nyc
                                  wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:13 last edited by
                                  #32

                                  This is convenient.

                                  https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/upshot/network-race-call-tracker.html

                                  Only non-witches get due process.

                                  • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • L Larry
                                    4 Nov 2020, 03:12

                                    Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.

                                    J Offline
                                    J Offline
                                    jon-nyc
                                    wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:15 last edited by
                                    #33

                                    @Larry said in Calling the States:

                                    Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.

                                    What are you watching to see VA to Trump?

                                    Only non-witches get due process.

                                    • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                    J L 2 Replies Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 03:18
                                    • L Offline
                                      L Offline
                                      Larry
                                      wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:15 last edited by
                                      #34

                                      Trump just picked up Kansas and iowa.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • J jon-nyc
                                        4 Nov 2020, 03:15

                                        @Larry said in Calling the States:

                                        Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.

                                        What are you watching to see VA to Trump?

                                        J Offline
                                        J Offline
                                        Jolly
                                        wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:18 last edited by
                                        #35

                                        @jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

                                        @Larry said in Calling the States:

                                        Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.

                                        What are you watching to see VA to Trump?

                                        Probably West-by-God.

                                        “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                        Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • J jon-nyc
                                          4 Nov 2020, 03:15

                                          @Larry said in Calling the States:

                                          Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.

                                          What are you watching to see VA to Trump?

                                          L Offline
                                          L Offline
                                          Larry
                                          wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 03:19 last edited by
                                          #36

                                          @jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

                                          @Larry said in Calling the States:

                                          Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.

                                          What are you watching to see VA to Trump?

                                          I'm flipping around through all of them, so I can't remember which one.

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