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The New Coffee Room

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  3. Calling the States

Calling the States

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  • G Offline
    G Offline
    George K
    wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 21:31 last edited by
    #202

    Wisconsin Math by Kimberly Strassel:

    1. The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel is claiming a 71% state turnout. I'm not sure where it gets this, but that would make more sense, given even populous Milwaukee didn't exceed 83% turnout, and Dane lower. (Do math on what rest of state wud need to bump up state avg to 89)

    2. True, Wisconsin has same day voter registration. But to be at 71%, WI would have yesterday needed 900k same-day registrations. ( If I'm doing my math wrong--please tell me. 3,288,771 divided by 4,588,771 equals 71% . 4,588,771 minus 3,684,726 =900k)

    3. Is that possible/conceivable? That would be akin to increasing WI's registered voting population by up to 30%--in one day. It would also suggest that if those same-day registrations hadn't happened, WI would have had a ridiculously LOW turnout.

    4. I suppose it is possible WI's turnout was higher than 71% (again, not sure where MJS gets that). But that would be wild, given the state's own history and what we saw elsewhere yesterday. An even an 80% turnout would still require HUGE same-day registration.

    5. Surely a record/tally of those same-day registrations must exist. It would therefore seem a straightforward proposition to set the numbers/record straight?
      Again, explain if I'm missing something.
      @WI_Elections

    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • G Offline
      G Offline
      George K
      wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 21:51 last edited by
      #203

      Fox calls Michigan for Biden...

      "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

      The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

      J 1 Reply Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 22:01
      • C Offline
        C Offline
        Copper
        wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 21:57 last edited by Copper 11 Apr 2020, 21:58
        #204

        They are building up to the prime time reveal.

        The max audience should be around 8:30 EST.

        I assume they'll take away Arizona before they give him Nevada.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • G George K
          4 Nov 2020, 21:51

          Fox calls Michigan for Biden...

          J Online
          J Online
          jon-nyc
          wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 22:01 last edited by
          #205

          @George-K said in Calling the States:

          Fox calls Michigan for Biden...

          So has ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN, Decision Desk, Reuters, and the NYT.

          Oh, and the Trump Campaign, with their lawsuit.

          Screen Shot 2020-11-04 at 5.00.10 PM.png

          Only non-witches get due process.

          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
          1 Reply Last reply
          • L Offline
            L Offline
            LuFins Dad
            wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 22:57 last edited by LuFins Dad 11 Apr 2020, 22:58
            #206

            The Brad

            1 Reply Last reply
            • G Offline
              G Offline
              George K
              wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 22:59 last edited by
              #207

              (too lazy to look)

              If Trump wins PA and AZ, while losing MI, WI what happens?

              (assuming he holds GA and NC)

              "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

              The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

              L 1 Reply Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 23:01
              • G George K
                4 Nov 2020, 22:59

                (too lazy to look)

                If Trump wins PA and AZ, while losing MI, WI what happens?

                (assuming he holds GA and NC)

                L Offline
                L Offline
                LuFins Dad
                wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 23:01 last edited by
                #208

                @George-K 279...It was my original call in the Predictions Thread

                The Brad

                1 Reply Last reply
                • L Offline
                  L Offline
                  Larry
                  wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 23:27 last edited by Larry 11 Apr 2020, 23:28
                  #209

                  I want Biden to win. I want him to win, and I want the democrat party to enact every single bit of their agenda. I want the US to become a Socialist nation. I want every fucking dollar of free shit I can get. Screw this nation. Let it fall.

                  A 1 Reply Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 23:32
                  • L Larry
                    4 Nov 2020, 23:27

                    I want Biden to win. I want him to win, and I want the democrat party to enact every single bit of their agenda. I want the US to become a Socialist nation. I want every fucking dollar of free shit I can get. Screw this nation. Let it fall.

                    A Offline
                    A Offline
                    Aqua Letifer
                    wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 23:32 last edited by
                    #210

                    @Larry said in Calling the States:

                    I want Biden to win. I want him to win, and I want the democrat party to enact every single bit of their agenda. I want the US to become a Socialist nation. I want every fucking dollar of free shit I can get. Screw this nation. Let it fall.

                    Dude, they don't have the Senate. Their agenda will be significantly slowed down. And look how close the states have been. I think it really matters how many Trump voters there have been, especially in the midst of the greatest media influence campaign in American history.

                    Biden may be president, but charges will still be brought up against "nazi"-punchers.

                    Please love yourself.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • L Offline
                      L Offline
                      Larry
                      wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 23:36 last edited by
                      #211

                      I know all that. But it's time the Left got what they've been wanting for so long.

                      This nation no longer deserves to survive.

                      A 1 Reply Last reply 5 Nov 2020, 01:03
                      • M Offline
                        M Offline
                        Mik
                        wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 23:39 last edited by
                        #212

                        Give it a rest. There is no mandate to pursue that agenda - far from it. If they try they will get slaughtered in 2022.

                        “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                        K L 2 Replies Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 23:52
                        • M Mik
                          4 Nov 2020, 23:39

                          Give it a rest. There is no mandate to pursue that agenda - far from it. If they try they will get slaughtered in 2022.

                          K Offline
                          K Offline
                          kluurs
                          wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 23:52 last edited by
                          #213

                          @Mik said in Calling the States:

                          If they try they will get slaughtered in 2022.

                          This was pretty much a slaughter as it is. Blue were supposed to pick up 15 seats in the House and 4 in the Senate. They picked up a net of 1 in the Senate and are losing seats in the House. There's talk of Pelosi not being Speaker. Biden is squeeking by - and I disagree that Trump will be a non-entity as a review of his career suggests, he never gives up. It is not part of his nature.

                          M 1 Reply Last reply 5 Nov 2020, 00:24
                          • J Online
                            J Online
                            jon-nyc
                            wrote on 5 Nov 2020, 00:08 last edited by
                            #214

                            @George-K

                            The problem with Shapiro’s PA information is it doesn’t indicate Trump has a chance, it indicates Trump has a lock. Seems like if that were true some of the news organizations would have figured it out already.

                            Only non-witches get due process.

                            • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • C Offline
                              C Offline
                              Catseye3
                              wrote on 5 Nov 2020, 00:14 last edited by
                              #215

                              I think when this is all over, the TNCR POTD: Election Edition should be Aqua's meme comparing waiting out the results to the whole country waiting for the results of an STD test.

                              Success is measured by your discipline and inner peace. – Mike Ditka

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • K kluurs
                                4 Nov 2020, 23:52

                                @Mik said in Calling the States:

                                If they try they will get slaughtered in 2022.

                                This was pretty much a slaughter as it is. Blue were supposed to pick up 15 seats in the House and 4 in the Senate. They picked up a net of 1 in the Senate and are losing seats in the House. There's talk of Pelosi not being Speaker. Biden is squeeking by - and I disagree that Trump will be a non-entity as a review of his career suggests, he never gives up. It is not part of his nature.

                                M Offline
                                M Offline
                                Mik
                                wrote on 5 Nov 2020, 00:24 last edited by
                                #216

                                @kluurs said in Calling the States:

                                @Mik said in Calling the States:

                                If they try they will get slaughtered in 2022.

                                This was pretty much a slaughter as it is. Blue were supposed to pick up 15 seats in the House and 4 in the Senate. They picked up a net of 1 in the Senate and are losing seats in the House. There's talk of Pelosi not being Speaker. Biden is squeeking by - and I disagree that Trump will be a non-entity as a review of his career suggests, he never gives up. It is not part of his nature.

                                With the 24 hour news cycle? He will be a fixture talking head. For most people the presidency is the pinnacle of their career. He will not see it that way at all.

                                “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                                G K 2 Replies Last reply 5 Nov 2020, 00:32
                                • M Mik
                                  5 Nov 2020, 00:24

                                  @kluurs said in Calling the States:

                                  @Mik said in Calling the States:

                                  If they try they will get slaughtered in 2022.

                                  This was pretty much a slaughter as it is. Blue were supposed to pick up 15 seats in the House and 4 in the Senate. They picked up a net of 1 in the Senate and are losing seats in the House. There's talk of Pelosi not being Speaker. Biden is squeeking by - and I disagree that Trump will be a non-entity as a review of his career suggests, he never gives up. It is not part of his nature.

                                  With the 24 hour news cycle? He will be a fixture talking head. For most people the presidency is the pinnacle of their career. He will not see it that way at all.

                                  G Offline
                                  G Offline
                                  George K
                                  wrote on 5 Nov 2020, 00:32 last edited by
                                  #217

                                  @Mik said in Calling the States:

                                  For most people the presidency is the pinnacle of their career. He will not see it that way at all.

                                  When Rush dies (probably within the next year) he'll pick up the mantle.

                                  "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                  The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • M Offline
                                    M Offline
                                    Mik
                                    wrote on 5 Nov 2020, 00:34 last edited by
                                    #218

                                    I don’t think he can. He’s just not as verbally skilled or extemporaneous. Limbaugh is essentially thinking out loud a lot of the time. Trump is not as skilled at that.

                                    “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • X Offline
                                      X Offline
                                      xenon
                                      wrote on 5 Nov 2020, 00:36 last edited by
                                      #219

                                      I dunno. Trump doesn't have much depth. He says the same thing again and again in simple terms - which is a great for a politician. Rush has to actually think through the events of the day and provide analysis.

                                      Trump does better reacting with a gravity of an office around him - and having all the Trump whisperers around him explaining what he actually means in terms of specifics.

                                      I do think he has some sort of successful future in media - I don't think it's based on a current archetype though.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • X Offline
                                        X Offline
                                        xenon
                                        wrote on 5 Nov 2020, 00:38 last edited by
                                        #220

                                        What Mik said.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • M Mik
                                          5 Nov 2020, 00:24

                                          @kluurs said in Calling the States:

                                          @Mik said in Calling the States:

                                          If they try they will get slaughtered in 2022.

                                          This was pretty much a slaughter as it is. Blue were supposed to pick up 15 seats in the House and 4 in the Senate. They picked up a net of 1 in the Senate and are losing seats in the House. There's talk of Pelosi not being Speaker. Biden is squeeking by - and I disagree that Trump will be a non-entity as a review of his career suggests, he never gives up. It is not part of his nature.

                                          With the 24 hour news cycle? He will be a fixture talking head. For most people the presidency is the pinnacle of their career. He will not see it that way at all.

                                          K Offline
                                          K Offline
                                          kluurs
                                          wrote on 5 Nov 2020, 00:41 last edited by
                                          #221

                                          @Mik said in Calling the States:

                                          With the 24 hour news cycle? He will be a fixture talking head. For most people the presidency is the pinnacle of their career. He will not see it that way at all.

                                          Again, he made plans before the last election which he didn't expect to win. I think he follows through with and expands the plan. He wants to do battle with the MSM and his detractors. I think he has the potential to be more than Rush - or Bernie or the Grateful Dead. AND after bashing Biden and the Dems for a couple of years, he can announce his campaign to run again. He's not a fader. If you didn't watch Frontline, you should. He's not a well adjusted human being, more of a cyborg.

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