Calling the States
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 00:19 last edited by
Right now, Virginia is showing leaning Republican: Trump 60.2, Biden 38.7.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 01:31 last edited by
Don’t be surprised if they pull VA back. Trump has won Loudoun County, and Prince William is a dead heat, both with 95% + reporting. Fairfax county is more to the left, but not that much more to the left. They only have 15% reporting, and if what WMAL and WTOP reported is true, Trump can withstand Arlington and Alexandria...
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 01:37 last edited by
NBC still have Biden winning VA even though Trump is way ahead.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 01:44 last edited by
Decision Desk HQ called Fl for Trump
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 01:46 last edited by
@Mik they all do. Fairfax and Arlington still need to come in and if they come in at the rate they have for Dems over the last 3 elections then Biden will quickly catch up. The local news suggests they won’t.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 01:47 last edited by
@jon-nyc said in Calling the States:
Decision Desk HQ called Fl for Trump
NC looks tough for Trump so far...
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 01:47 last edited by
I HATE THIS
It's like waiting for MRI results, or George's daughter's update.
Why oh why did I give up drinking?
Ax, you drink that sushi shit don't you??
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@jon-nyc said in Calling the States:
Decision Desk HQ called Fl for Trump
NC looks tough for Trump so far...
wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 01:55 last edited by George K 11 Apr 2020, 01:57@LuFins-Dad said in Calling the States:
@jon-nyc said in Calling the States:
Decision Desk HQ called Fl for Trump
NC looks tough for Trump so far...
NYT says 75% chance of Orange Victory in NC as of 5 minutes ago.
Fox News reporting right now that North Carolina shows an 89% probability for Biden
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:00 last edited by
Wait, what? NYT is giving Trump the edge and Fox gives it to Biden? This is bizarro world!
NC is pretty important to Trump...
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:02 last edited by
It’s effectively over for Trump
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:05 last edited by
I wouldn’t say that. The NYT needle is based on really detailed analysis of county results.
I’m in no position to judge if they’re any better or worse than Fox but when they’re this far apart I’ll reserve judgment
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I wouldn’t say that. The NYT needle is based on really detailed analysis of county results.
I’m in no position to judge if they’re any better or worse than Fox but when they’re this far apart I’ll reserve judgment
wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:07 last edited by@jon-nyc said in Calling the States:
when they’re this far apart I’ll reserve judgment
Yeah, I was shocked to see that difference.
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@jon-nyc said in Calling the States:
when they’re this far apart I’ll reserve judgment
Yeah, I was shocked to see that difference.
wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:09 last edited byNYT is performing very well.
North Carolina is the firewall. Another surprise or two will come.
Biden is winning everywhere in terms of outperforming 2016 with the exception of one county in Florida.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:14 last edited by
Yeah, both RCP and Fox show 95% of Loudoun County results are in, NYT showed 35%, that seems a lot more accurate.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:30 last edited by
This is the fun part of the night. Anyone else find this super entertaining? (Divorcing the drama of it from your preferences)
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:33 last edited by
Ok, Fox is following suit on NC. I think the NYT just became my go to for the evening.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:37 last edited by jon-nyc 11 Apr 2020, 02:38
NYT:
FOX:
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:52 last edited by
Fox News Channel just mentioned that some outlets just switched VA back to a tossup, but they were sticking by their exit surveys... Does anybody know which outlet switched VA?
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:58 last edited by
Nope
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 02:59 last edited by jon-nyc 11 Apr 2020, 02:59
By the way, NYT is only doing its needles on those three states. There’s an explainer that says why the others will be too hard to predict from preliminary results.