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The New Coffee Room

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  3. TrumpRx

TrumpRx

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  • jon-nycJ Online
    jon-nycJ Online
    jon-nyc
    wrote last edited by
    #16

    As I said, in pharmaceuticals you charge what the political system will bear. Prior to Biden, it was illegal for Medicare to negotiate prices with drug companies.

    But yeah, of course that’s just how the numbers shake out (and it’s imprecise, the other developed countries do pay more than marginal cost). There was never an agreement or plan to charge the American consumer for development. Rather, development grew into the market opportunity surrounding it, with the US largely creating that opportunity.

    If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • HoraceH Horace

      @jon-nyc said in TrumpRx:

      @taiwan_girl said in TrumpRx:

      I have a friend who was on some asthma medicine. It was a prescription in the US and cost about $5/pill (if I remember) for a daily pill. Not super duper expensive, but not super cheap either.

      I could get it "over the counter" in Thailand for about 1/10 of the price. So, I used to bring some back when I would come back to the US.

      (I would swallow it in plastic bags! LOL Just teasing)

      That’s unlikely to change directionally. A world where every country paid the same amount is a world with no drug development at all. You wouldn’t want, say, Somalia to set the ceiling for how much we’re allowed to value our lives and health.

      The fact that another country's citizens couldn't pay market rate, would not destroy the domestic economic feasibility of the product.

      jon-nycJ Online
      jon-nycJ Online
      jon-nyc
      wrote last edited by jon-nyc
      #17

      @Horace said in TrumpRx:

      The fact that another country's citizens couldn't pay market rate, would not destroy the domestic economic feasibility of the product.

      My point was differential pricing is here to stay. The companies really do charge something like marginal cost to very poor countries.

      The only way that would stop is if Trump considered that as the US getting ‘ripped off’ and disallowed companies to sell drugs in the US at prices higher than other countries (something he’s talked about). Realistically that would lead industry to more or less stop sales to very poor countries until a more humane administration took over.

      If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • jon-nycJ Online
        jon-nycJ Online
        jon-nyc
        wrote last edited by
        #18

        Looks like the discounted drugs will be for Medicaid, not for Medicare or commercial insurance. At least that’s the deal with Pfizer.

        If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • jon-nycJ Online
          jon-nycJ Online
          jon-nyc
          wrote last edited by
          #19

          Some of the discounts will be as much as 1600% though. So there’s that.

          If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

          1 Reply Last reply
          • HoraceH Offline
            HoraceH Offline
            Horace
            wrote last edited by
            #20

            They'll make it up in volume.

            Education is extremely important.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

              It would a net loss, but not visible to your average voter who would see the benefits today and the costs in the future.

              The US largely pays for drug development. The rest of the world largely pays marginal production cost +.

              That’s an unsustainable imbalance. But like most large international imbalances it can’t be fixed overnight and trying to do so will break shit.

              In this case the what will break is drug development. Especially for rare diseases. Unless they exempt them.

              We do need to fix it but that would take time and patience plus negotiating with our allies other first world countries. Things that are not particularly Trump’s strong suits.

              LuFins DadL Offline
              LuFins DadL Offline
              LuFins Dad
              wrote last edited by
              #21

              @jon-nyc said in TrumpRx:

              The US largely pays for drug development. The rest of the world largely pays marginal production cost +.

              That’s an unsustainable imbalance. But like most large international imbalances it can’t be fixed overnight and trying to do so will break shit.

              Please provide reasoning for this? I don’t see where lowering US prices and raising other countries prices to some semblance of equilibrium would break shit. And I don’t think there would be too much consternation over poor nations and third world countries getting favorable prices, but when Germany’s prices are 1/3 the price of the US? Canada’s are 1/4?

              In this case the what will break is drug development. Especially for rare diseases. Unless they exempt them.

              Why? Drop US prices 50%, and raise the rest of the developed world’s rates 100%. Their prices would still be less than the US, and the US purchasers would still get some relief as well.

              We do need to fix it but that would take time and patience plus negotiating with our allies other first world countries. Things that are not particularly Trump’s strong suits.

              That’s a cop out answer. Like saying getting NATO nations to actually carry their promised weight would take patience and diplomacy, not Trump’s suits… Turns out that threatening to kick down the house of cards worked pretty well there.

              The Brad

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              • jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nyc
                wrote last edited by jon-nyc
                #22

                It’s arithmetically possible but politically not so much.

                How many countries are willing to find a percent or two of gdp in short order to lower prices for Trump? Drug companies have to negotiate with them on individual drugs. It takes ages when new drugs come out. At least for the pricey ones.

                If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • KlausK Offline
                  KlausK Offline
                  Klaus
                  wrote last edited by
                  #23

                  Is it really true that drug companies make that much more in the US compared to, say, Germany?

                  I know that some drugs, especially generic ones, are definitely cheaper in the US.

                  The companies can decide at which price they want to sell. Why do they give Germans better prices than Americans? Sounds like the American insurance companies are just bad at negotiating, then?

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • jon-nycJ Online
                    jon-nycJ Online
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote last edited by jon-nyc
                    #24

                    Bargaining is fragmented here, centralized there. And bargaining here is ultimately limited by the fact that the law requires certain classes of drugs to be covered. Also I think our patent protection is longer.

                    You’re right about generics - they are a bit cheaper here. But brand name prescription drug prices are ~2-4x the cost.

                    If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                      Interestingly Pfizer, GSK, Sanofi, and JnJ are all up today. Maybe they’re just screwing the retailers and the PBMs.

                      There are no pure play retail pramacy stocks to check. They’ve all been absorbed into conglomerates.

                      jon-nycJ Online
                      jon-nycJ Online
                      jon-nyc
                      wrote last edited by jon-nyc
                      #25

                      said in TrumpRx:

                      Interestingly Pfizer, GSK, Sanofi, and JnJ are all up today. Maybe they’re just screwing the retailers and the PBMs.

                      There seem to be two theories as to why big pharma stocks are up.

                      Theory A:

                      “This represents a win for” Pfizer, Akash Tewari, a Jefferies analyst, wrote in a note to clients Wednesday. He estimated that offering some new drugs at internationally comparable prices could cost Pfizer up to $723 million a year. That would amount to just over 1 percent of Pfizer’s $63.6 billion revenue last year.

                      Pfizer “may have done the rest of the industry a favor by giving a framework for a bespoke solution that we feel would be very tenable” for other big pharmaceutical companies and “would have a de minimis impact on their business going forward,” Tewari wrote.
                      Details on the pact are scant and terms remain confidential: of the three Pfizer drugs to be sold at discounts and announced at this week’s news conference, none are top sellers.
                      Many of the cuts Pfizer is promising are aimed at the government Medicaid program, which analysts say account for less than 5 percent of the company’s U.S. revenue. And Pfizer’s agreement to list discounted drugs for direct purchase on the president’s TrumpRx website resembles an initiative already being promoted by the industry.

                      Theory B:

                      A White House official characterized the rising Pfizer stock price as evidence that investors believe other countries will now “pay their fair share” as part of an international rebalancing of prices.

                      If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

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