We have sort of memory-holed this

[Horace]

@jon-nyc said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

By the way your misconception of Scott Alexander is on the order of Jolly blowing off the Manhattan Institute because of the word ‘Manhattan’ despite the fact that Rufo, Lowry, and Coleman Hughes all work there. Maybe you get a lore neutral exposure to him at some point.

I knew you'd push back against my claims of him being deeply tribal, but there are micro-tribes, and he fits a pattern. It's ok. I believe you that your twitter feed never mentions COVID deaths. That has become the twitter reality, and Mr Alexander is deeply troubled by it.

he's right that the death toll of COVID is like 100,000 Columbine massacres. He is exactly right.

[jon-nyc]

I was being literal. I didn’t expect you to be convinced by my post, rather I hope you ‘discover’ him some day in a more emotionally neutral context.

[Horace]

@jon-nyc said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

I was being literal. I didn’t expect you to be convinced by my post, rather I hope you ‘discover’ him some day in a more emotionally neutral context.

I am not completely unfamiliar with him. In fact, you and I have discussed him here before, where his writings revealed him to easily slide into a contemptuous, snide mode against people who are probably a lot smarter and objectively more accomplished as intellectuals than he is. But that is neither here nor there. I am sure he is a very successful public intellectual influencer as these things go.

His rhetoric in this case, remains objectively cheap and emotionally manipulative, motivated by his perception that people aren't sad enough about COVID, and that they are too sad about certain aspects of the reaction. So he's going to do something about that. Voila, COVID is like 100,000 Columbine massacres. Well played, Mr Alexander.

[LuFins Dad]

We’ve had this argument before. It will take at least a decades worth of excess death data to tell the tale.

[jon-nyc]

We already have decades of excess death data.

[LuFins Dad]

@jon-nyc said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

We already have decades of excess death data.

Not since 2020…

[Doctor Phibes]

@LuFins-Dad said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

@jon-nyc said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

We already have decades of excess death data.

Not since 2020…

Why can't we use the decades prior to 2020?

[Klaus]

@jon-nyc said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

@Klaus said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

You have to consider how many years of good life would most of those 1.2m have had without COVID? For some, it was really tragic. But for many, COVID was just the last push for a body that was close to death anyway.

Yeah, you can apply a discount factor but it’s still a big number. 250k were under 65. More military-age men died of Covid than in Iraq and Afghanistan combined. The latter gets mentioned. Not the former. He has a point.

True, but by this measure we have talked about 9/11 way too much.

Our attention differs by how a person dies. The death of a soldier or a fireman on duty, or a person dying from a terror attack, will always draw more attention than somebody silently dying in a hospital. Is that a good thing? I don't know. I think there is some reasonable logic behind it. What do you think?

[LuFins Dad]

@Doctor-Phibes said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

@LuFins-Dad said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

@jon-nyc said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

We already have decades of excess death data.

Not since 2020…

Why can't we use the decades prior to 2020?

They are irrelevant without having the post-Covid numbers. If COVID simply moved the deaths of some of these people up a few years or not, you need to see if there was a drop off in mortality in the years following.

[Doctor Phibes]

@LuFins-Dad said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

@Doctor-Phibes said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

@LuFins-Dad said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

@jon-nyc said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

We already have decades of excess death data.

Not since 2020…

Why can't we use the decades prior to 2020?

They are irrelevant without having the post-Covid numbers. If COVID simply moved the deaths of some of these people up a few years or not, you need to see if there was a drop off in mortality in the years following.

Blithely talking about 'moving deaths up a few years' seems a slightly odd way to refer to it. Somebody dying 5-10 years before their time isn't just a minor concern, particularly if it's me we're talking about.

[jon-nyc]

@LuFins-Dad said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

@Doctor-Phibes said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

@LuFins-Dad said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

@jon-nyc said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

We already have decades of excess death data.

Not since 2020…

Why can't we use the decades prior to 2020?

They are irrelevant without having the post-Covid numbers. If COVID simply moved the deaths of some of these people up a few years or not, you need to see if there was a drop off in mortality in the years following.

I don’t think we need to see data to know that the people who died of Covid would have eventually died of something else.

[LuFins Dad]

@jon-nyc said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

@LuFins-Dad said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

@Doctor-Phibes said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

@LuFins-Dad said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

@jon-nyc said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

We already have decades of excess death data.

Not since 2020…

Why can't we use the decades prior to 2020?

They are irrelevant without having the post-Covid numbers. If COVID simply moved the deaths of some of these people up a few years or not, you need to see if there was a drop off in mortality in the years following.

I don’t think we need to see data to know that the people who died of Covid would have eventually died of something else.

We do need to have that data to grasp how much COVID really shortened lives. Was that 35 year old that died somebody that would have lived into their 80s? Or was it somebody that we would have read about in 2024 that died in a car accident that may have been caused by an undiagnosed heart condition?

[Doctor Phibes]

@LuFins-Dad said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

@jon-nyc said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

@LuFins-Dad said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

@Doctor-Phibes said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

@LuFins-Dad said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

@jon-nyc said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

We already have decades of excess death data.

Not since 2020…

Why can't we use the decades prior to 2020?

They are irrelevant without having the post-Covid numbers. If COVID simply moved the deaths of some of these people up a few years or not, you need to see if there was a drop off in mortality in the years following.

I don’t think we need to see data to know that the people who died of Covid would have eventually died of something else.

We do need to have that data to grasp how much COVID really shortened lives. Was that 35 year old that died somebody that would have lived into their 80s? Or was it somebody that we would have read about in 2024 that died in a car accident that may have been caused by an undiagnosed heart condition?

Don't forget the people who died in car accidents on their way to the vaccination clinic - did they die due to Covid, or dangerous roads, or because of the vaccine?????

[taiwan_girl]

@Doctor-Phibes said in We have sort of memory-holed this:

Apart from the deaths, there are plenty of people suffering with various after-effects, long Covid and what-have-you. I know quite a few people who've struggled.

I remember that @George-K daughter had/has it.

[LuFins Dad]

This post is deleted!