Let’s handicap the confirmations.

[jon-nyc]

I’ve been resigning myself to RFK being confirmed. Collin’s and Murkowski are said to be skeptical, Cassidy, the Seante’s only MD, said to be against. But you need four.

But the main reason he’ll go through is the following: The Senate GOP can probably take at most one head (if that). I think their priority would be Gabbard, who’s total lack of any relevant experience is exceeded only by her demonstrated capacity for poor judgement (Parroting Kremlin talking points, fawning over Assad, etc). Can’t say I blame them.

So yeah, RFK, Hegseth, Patel, will get through. If they stop anyone, which I think is ~60% likely, it’s Tulsi.

Thoughts?