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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Iraq consensus?

Iraq consensus?

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  • X Offline
    X Offline
    xenon
    wrote on last edited by
    #1

    What’s the hindsight POV on Iraq now? Has your personal opinion on the war changed?

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    • jon-nycJ Online
      jon-nycJ Online
      jon-nyc
      wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
      #2

      I remember going to a protest in 2003. I looked around and realized I didn’t fit in at all. I never agreed with the left that the war was unjust. I simply thought it unwise.

      I still think it was unwise but not unjust. I think the ‘unwise’ part is pretty much conventional wisdom at this point whereas most people haven’t changed their view on the original justness question.

      In case anyone accuses me of hindsight bias I used that phrase many times over the last 17 years to describe my thoughts on the war, here for example is me saying it in 2006. And again in 2008 and again in 2014. And again in 2016.

      So I’ve been pretty consistent.

      Only non-witches get due process.

      • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
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      • KincaidK Offline
        KincaidK Offline
        Kincaid
        wrote on last edited by Kincaid
        #3

        I "turned against it" due to the immense amount of carnage it caused everywhere it touched.

        But I maintain that it is very possible with no war we would have both a nuclear armed Iraq and Iran today.

        So I am just choosing a speculative evil v. a known tragedy.

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        • jon-nycJ Online
          jon-nycJ Online
          jon-nyc
          wrote on last edited by
          #4

          It’s true you never get to run the counterfactual. I guess that allows all of us a claim to getting it right.

          Only non-witches get due process.

          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
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          • CopperC Offline
            CopperC Offline
            Copper
            wrote on last edited by
            #5

            There is no end to the game

            We have to be involved all over the world for our own safety

            And of course for our oil supply

            The motivation from oil has diminished a little, but, at best, we need lots of oil for decades

            taiwan_girlT 1 Reply Last reply
            • CopperC Copper

              There is no end to the game

              We have to be involved all over the world for our own safety

              And of course for our oil supply

              The motivation from oil has diminished a little, but, at best, we need lots of oil for decades

              taiwan_girlT Offline
              taiwan_girlT Offline
              taiwan_girl
              wrote on last edited by
              #6

              @Copper said in Iraq consensus?:

              We have to be involved all over the world for our own safety

              I agree. I am a big believer in an "outward" looking foreign policy, rather than "inward".

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              • MikM Away
                MikM Away
                Mik
                wrote on last edited by
                #7

                Agreed, but if we get involved militarily there needs to be an end game, and a commitment to see it through. That is where we failed in Iraq. We pulled out too soon, leaving a vacuum for Iran and ISIS.

                Whether it was a good idea to go in is debatable. It might have left a better power balance in the region against Iran had we not.

                “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

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                • JollyJ Offline
                  JollyJ Offline
                  Jolly
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #8

                  I think Sadaam needed to go. The Saudis thought the same thing.

                  The question is how well did we handle success. We're very good at breaking things, but we're not always as good at nation building.

                  “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                  Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

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                  • LarryL Offline
                    LarryL Offline
                    Larry
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #9

                    Saddam was stuffing people into industrial shredders. His sons and his top military would pick women just walking down the street, force them to have sex, then kill them. If their husband objected theyd jill him.

                    He would capture a man, lock him up with no food until he was almost dead from starvation. Meanwhile his men would rape the man's wife and kids repeatedly, then rape them to death, then chop them up and have them cooked into a stew. He would feed the starving man the stew, halfway through his meal he would play a video for the man to watch as he ate showing his wife and kids being raped to death and cooked into the stew he was eating.

                    Saddam was an evil, vile man. His people begged us to step in and save them from Saddam. Had we not done so the middle East would be a much different, much worse place, than it is now. We were well justified in going in, and our soldiers cut through the place like a hot knife through butter. We won that war in less than a week, as I remember. Where we messed up was in not leaving after we had won.

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                    • RainmanR Offline
                      RainmanR Offline
                      Rainman
                      wrote on last edited by Rainman
                      #10

                      I disagree with your last part, Larry.
                      IMO, we should have laid down the law as if a complete military occupation, as with Japan after WWII. Let them continue with their religious belief, but structure a system where freedom and democracy reign, but the government would be secular. And all this laid out in a constitution, and we ensure they adhere to their constitution.

                      Of course I'm just an armchair dope when it comes to understanding the intricacies of Iraq or the entire middle east, but in my view we left too early, and we seem to not have had any idea what to do once our military completely busted theirs. Come to think of it, after Sadam ignored the UN requirements, it was not just us, but our allies Canada, Australia, and maybe others' that busted their military.

                      And you're absolutely right, you even agree with my old man. He used to rage at the U.S. by yelling at the TV nightly news, saying that everywhere the U.S. went, we knew how to start a war, but we never learned how to finish. (WWII, Korea, Viet Nam, Iraq, etc.)
                      Of course if my old man would have been in charge, we'd all be speaking Estonian.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • Doctor PhibesD Offline
                        Doctor PhibesD Offline
                        Doctor Phibes
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #11

                        I always thought that the problem with the Iraqi invasion was that the American people wouldn't have the patience or stomach to stick with it for as long as was needed to complete the process.

                        I (now) also think that Bush was talked into it by a couple of horrible old men who should never have been brought back into the US government.

                        I was only joking

                        jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                        • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                          I always thought that the problem with the Iraqi invasion was that the American people wouldn't have the patience or stomach to stick with it for as long as was needed to complete the process.

                          I (now) also think that Bush was talked into it by a couple of horrible old men who should never have been brought back into the US government.

                          jon-nycJ Online
                          jon-nycJ Online
                          jon-nyc
                          wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                          #12

                          @Doctor-Phibes said in Iraq consensus?:

                          I (now) also think that Bush was talked into it by a couple of horrible old men who should never have been brought back into the US government.

                          Actually Cheney wanted to replace Sadaam with another Sunni strongman that was more amenable to us and our allies. That probably would have resulted in a lot less chaos and disorder and might have left Iraq a decent counterweight to Iran. But it wouldn’t have been a good look.

                          Only non-witches get due process.

                          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
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