Down Ballot

[George K]

Bernie Sanders wins in VT (No real surprise).

Justice wins in West Virginia (an important Senate seat)

MTG wins as well. (No real surprise).

[LuFins Dad]

They did have over 50% but needed 60%.

[George K]

DDHQ projects a 60% chance of the GOP holding the house.
Also a 100% chance of flipping the senate.

[jon-nyc]

Why 100? Did they flip one besides WV already?

[George K]

@jon-nyc said in Down Ballot:

Why 100? Did they flip one besides WV already?

https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/General/US-Senate/

[jon-nyc]

Well sure. But everyone knew WV would flip, and Dems are defending more seats. Like with swing states, there are a handful of swing races (I don't consider WV to be one of them). Did Tester lose a call yet? Or someone else?

It just seems too early to say '100%' unless one of those gets called.

[George K]

@jon-nyc said in Down Ballot:

It just seems too early to say '100%' unless one of those gets called.

Yes.

But, OTOH, the AP had no problem calling New York with (checks notes)...zero votes counted.

[jon-nyc]

Fair enough, but calling Wyoming for Trump or NY for Harris isn't quite the same thing as calling a swing race.

[Jolly]

GOP takes Senate.

[LuFins Dad]

@Jolly said in Down Ballot:

GOP takes Senate.

They’re already at 52. I’m thinking 54-55.