Nate's gut says Trump will win...
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He says one shouldn't trust or mortgage the house to place a bet - but his gut says Trump will win in a guest editorial.
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Yep, read that. It feels like Trump should win. He’s never polled this well before, but I am beginning to really think there is a big problem with the polls, and can’t put my finger on whether it’s an error in Trump’s favor or Kamala’s. The fact that there are no outlier polls. That all of the polls are within the margin of error and so damn similar is statistically improbable and troubling.
I’m not going to put my house on the line on who wins, but I will put up a bottle of moderately priced whiskey that whoever wins, it will be a bigger win than people are expecting, over a polling margin of error.
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@Axtremus said in Nate's gut says Trump will win...:
@xenon said in Nate's gut says Trump will win...:
Kamala is a really horrible candidate - hard to pull the lever for her.
Is Harris more horrible than Trump as a candidate?
In terms of running a campaign or in terms of policy?
"Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08
The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.
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@Axtremus said in Nate's gut says Trump will win...:
@xenon said in Nate's gut says Trump will win...:
Kamala is a really horrible candidate - hard to pull the lever for her.
Is Harris more horrible than Trump as a candidate?
Looks like at least half of the country will be saying “Yes. Yes, she is.”
And it’s your fault.
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@Axtremus said in Nate's gut says Trump will win...:
@xenon said in Nate's gut says Trump will win...:
Kamala is a really horrible candidate - hard to pull the lever for her.
Is Harris more horrible than Trump as a candidate?
Yes - Kamala is an absolute nobody. Many voters might find Trump crass, shallow, <choose your objectionable adjective>, etc. - but he is seen as a leader.
This is not a personal opinion, I think it's the political reality.
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You know, maybe its the avalanche of shit that he's gone through over the past decade. I'd say most of it brought on by himself. But still - he's gone through shit like no one I know... and.. I dunno... maybe Americans like a fighter.
There's something there, I can't put my finger on it. There's obviously something there.
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"Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08
The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.
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@xenon said in Nate's gut says Trump will win...:
You know, maybe its the avalanche of shit that he's gone through over the past decade. I'd say most of it brought on by himself. But still - he's gone through shit like no one I know... and.. I dunno... maybe Americans like a fighter.
There's something there, I can't put my finger on it. There's obviously something there.
I go back to what Ben Shapiro said. "Trump is a mud monster. The more mud you throw at him, the bigger he gets".
I don't know if Trump wouldn't have been pushed very hard in the nominating process by Haley or DeSantis, if not for all the Dem-generated lawfare and shenanigans. I think it helped him a lot. American are basically a fair people...At least most of them.
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@George-K said in Nate's gut says Trump will win...:
She's better at having celebrities appear at rallies and not having them perform.
She's better at putting 30,000 people into a stadium that has a 20,656 (maybe 22,039) capacity.
It's all about the Beyonce...
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I still think Trump never actually expected to win in 16. A fair amount of what he was doing was something of an act. Nobody was more floored that he won than himself. He maintained the character and paid off a few debts he felt he owed to conservatives.
This time, I kinda feel like he’s trying to find the balance between the character, and his real moderate Democrat self. He is at heart a Bill 92 guy.
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From four years ago:
https://nodebb.the-new-coffee-room.club/post/48543
This time Trump has to win.
It is written.
