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  3. Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds

Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds

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  • taiwan_girlT taiwan_girl

    @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

    @LuFins-Dad said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

    @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

    I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

    What exactly do you mean by De-Trumpification? What Trump policies does the GOP need to get away from?

    The notion that truth and consistency don't matter. The "government by twitter" policy. The notion that allies are redundant and can be treated like shit. The "I like you if and only if you say nice things about me" policy. The blatant contempt for the pillars and basic rules of constitutional democracies. The blatant contempt for science when it conflicts with his worldview. And, while we are at it, the blatant contempt for true conservatism in the sense of Scruton et al. How's that for a start?

    I agree with most of what Klaus said, but would add:

    the moving to isolation of the US (may have been party policy in the far past, but not so much in the recent past)
    the moving away from free trade

    JollyJ Offline
    JollyJ Offline
    Jolly
    wrote on last edited by
    #48

    @taiwan_girl said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

    @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

    @LuFins-Dad said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

    @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

    I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

    What exactly do you mean by De-Trumpification? What Trump policies does the GOP need to get away from?

    The notion that truth and consistency don't matter. The "government by twitter" policy. The notion that allies are redundant and can be treated like shit. The "I like you if and only if you say nice things about me" policy. The blatant contempt for the pillars and basic rules of constitutional democracies. The blatant contempt for science when it conflicts with his worldview. And, while we are at it, the blatant contempt for true conservatism in the sense of Scruton et al. How's that for a start?

    I agree with most of what Klaus said, but would add:

    the moving to isolation of the US (may have been party policy in the far past, but not so much in the recent past)
    the moving away from free trade

    It has never been about free trade.

    It has always been about fair trade.

    “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

    Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

    taiwan_girlT X 2 Replies Last reply
    • JollyJ Jolly

      @taiwan_girl said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

      @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

      @LuFins-Dad said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

      @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

      I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

      What exactly do you mean by De-Trumpification? What Trump policies does the GOP need to get away from?

      The notion that truth and consistency don't matter. The "government by twitter" policy. The notion that allies are redundant and can be treated like shit. The "I like you if and only if you say nice things about me" policy. The blatant contempt for the pillars and basic rules of constitutional democracies. The blatant contempt for science when it conflicts with his worldview. And, while we are at it, the blatant contempt for true conservatism in the sense of Scruton et al. How's that for a start?

      I agree with most of what Klaus said, but would add:

      the moving to isolation of the US (may have been party policy in the far past, but not so much in the recent past)
      the moving away from free trade

      It has never been about free trade.

      It has always been about fair trade.

      taiwan_girlT Offline
      taiwan_girlT Offline
      taiwan_girl
      wrote on last edited by
      #49

      @Jolly said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

      It has always been about fair trade.

      For example, why did President Trump decide not to go ahead with the Trans Pacific Partnership trade deal?

      In my small opinion, that was good for both the US and other countries.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • JollyJ Jolly

        @taiwan_girl said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

        @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

        @LuFins-Dad said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

        @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

        I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

        What exactly do you mean by De-Trumpification? What Trump policies does the GOP need to get away from?

        The notion that truth and consistency don't matter. The "government by twitter" policy. The notion that allies are redundant and can be treated like shit. The "I like you if and only if you say nice things about me" policy. The blatant contempt for the pillars and basic rules of constitutional democracies. The blatant contempt for science when it conflicts with his worldview. And, while we are at it, the blatant contempt for true conservatism in the sense of Scruton et al. How's that for a start?

        I agree with most of what Klaus said, but would add:

        the moving to isolation of the US (may have been party policy in the far past, but not so much in the recent past)
        the moving away from free trade

        It has never been about free trade.

        It has always been about fair trade.

        X Offline
        X Offline
        xenon
        wrote on last edited by
        #50

        @Jolly said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

        @taiwan_girl said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

        @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

        @LuFins-Dad said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

        @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

        I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

        What exactly do you mean by De-Trumpification? What Trump policies does the GOP need to get away from?

        The notion that truth and consistency don't matter. The "government by twitter" policy. The notion that allies are redundant and can be treated like shit. The "I like you if and only if you say nice things about me" policy. The blatant contempt for the pillars and basic rules of constitutional democracies. The blatant contempt for science when it conflicts with his worldview. And, while we are at it, the blatant contempt for true conservatism in the sense of Scruton et al. How's that for a start?

        I agree with most of what Klaus said, but would add:

        the moving to isolation of the US (may have been party policy in the far past, but not so much in the recent past)
        the moving away from free trade

        It has never been about free trade.

        It has always been about fair trade.

        The whole point of free trade is that even with asymmetries across countries, everyone is still better off (on net) with free trade.

        Fair trade is a whole other concept, with no real definition.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • JollyJ Offline
          JollyJ Offline
          Jolly
          wrote on last edited by
          #51

          You can't have free trade without fair trade.

          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

          X 1 Reply Last reply
          • JollyJ Jolly

            You can't have free trade without fair trade.

            X Offline
            X Offline
            xenon
            wrote on last edited by
            #52

            @Jolly said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

            You can't have free trade without fair trade.

            What does that mean? What’s the definition of fair trade?

            1 Reply Last reply
            • JollyJ Offline
              JollyJ Offline
              Jolly
              wrote on last edited by Jolly
              #53

              Let's try something like dumping steel. Is that fair?

              “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

              Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

              X 1 Reply Last reply
              • JollyJ Jolly

                Let's try something like dumping steel. Is that fair?

                X Offline
                X Offline
                xenon
                wrote on last edited by xenon
                #54

                @Jolly said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                Let's try something like dumping steel. Is that fair?

                That's not a definition. According to free trade principles, Americans would be better off if someone "dumps" product here - because a foreign entity is making it way cheaper than we could domestically.

                If someone decides to "dump" a commodity on the world market, it doesn't matter if one country stops them. It'll bring down the global price anyways.

                It's like trying to plug a water leak, the water flows elsewhere.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • JollyJ Offline
                  JollyJ Offline
                  Jolly
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #55

                  Steel is a strategic product for a country like the U.S. Dumping steel and trying to undermine the domestic steel business, would be less than fair trade.

                  “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                  Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                  X 1 Reply Last reply
                  • JollyJ Jolly

                    Steel is a strategic product for a country like the U.S. Dumping steel and trying to undermine the domestic steel business, would be less than fair trade.

                    X Offline
                    X Offline
                    xenon
                    wrote on last edited by xenon
                    #56

                    @Jolly said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                    Steel is a strategic product for a country like the U.S. Dumping steel and trying to undermine the domestic steel business, would be less than fair trade.

                    Now you're talking about a national security issue - not free trade. We wouldn't care if the domestic hammock industry died out if someone made them at a quarter of the cost elsewhere. Is that fair - even if there's no chicanery involved? When's the last time you bought an American TV?

                    If we need steel making capacity for emergency purposes, perhaps the U.S. government takes over a few idle steel plants and staffs them in the case of an emergency. Or there could be other solutions.. strategic stockpile - but's that's not related to the principles of free trade.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • JollyJ Offline
                      JollyJ Offline
                      Jolly
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #57

                      It's still a free trade/fair trade issue. Since the country dumping the steel is undermining an essential business, they are causing harm. They are doing that by fixing an artificial price.

                      If something is priced artificially, how does that meet the definition of free trade?

                      “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                      Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                      X KlausK 2 Replies Last reply
                      • JollyJ Jolly

                        It's still a free trade/fair trade issue. Since the country dumping the steel is undermining an essential business, they are causing harm. They are doing that by fixing an artificial price.

                        If something is priced artificially, how does that meet the definition of free trade?

                        X Offline
                        X Offline
                        xenon
                        wrote on last edited by xenon
                        #58

                        @Jolly said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                        It's still a free trade/fair trade issue. Since the country dumping the steel is undermining an essential business, they are causing harm. They are doing that by fixing an artificial price.

                        If something is priced artificially, how does that meet the definition of free trade?

                        This is a predatory pricing issue. You have these domestically as well - but we don’t call free markets “free and fair markets”.

                        If someone said “you can’t have free markets without fair markets” there’s no clear definition for that. Free markets is clear, fair markets isn’t.

                        And to my earlier point - predatory pricing is easier to deal with domestically (though very hard to identify), than through trade. You can affect the global price for a commodity without having to trade it with everyone in the world.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • JollyJ Jolly

                          It's still a free trade/fair trade issue. Since the country dumping the steel is undermining an essential business, they are causing harm. They are doing that by fixing an artificial price.

                          If something is priced artificially, how does that meet the definition of free trade?

                          KlausK Offline
                          KlausK Offline
                          Klaus
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #59

                          @Jolly said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                          If something is priced artificially, how does that meet the definition of free trade?

                          Anyone how prices something artificially is only shooting himself in the foot in the long term. It's good for the other party, even though there may of course be short-term negative consequences, too.

                          If you find another person in the world and would like to make a transaction with him or her and the two of you agree on the conditions, isn't it a fundamental freedom of the individual to be able to execute that transaction? It's just as fundamental as free speech or the right to property. I'd say that a society without free trade isn't free.

                          The notion of "fair trade" is just a populist term to find convenient scapegoats. It has no meaning otherwise.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • CopperC Offline
                            CopperC Offline
                            Copper
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #60

                            You can't talk about trade without including security.

                            There is no such thing.

                            MikM 1 Reply Last reply
                            • LarryL Offline
                              LarryL Offline
                              Larry
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #61

                              Some of you actually believe that Biden has a chance....

                              BWAAAAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA!!!!!!

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • jon-nycJ Offline
                                jon-nycJ Offline
                                jon-nyc
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #62

                                You were warned.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • CopperC Copper

                                  You can't talk about trade without including security.

                                  There is no such thing.

                                  MikM Offline
                                  MikM Offline
                                  Mik
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #63

                                  @Copper said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                                  You can't talk about trade without including security.

                                  There is no such thing.

                                  Yup.

                                  “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • LuFins DadL Offline
                                    LuFins DadL Offline
                                    LuFins Dad
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #64

                                    Betting odds just flipped - 65 Trump, 35 Biden

                                    The Brad

                                    L 1 Reply Last reply
                                    • jon-nycJ Offline
                                      jon-nycJ Offline
                                      jon-nyc
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #65

                                      You were warned.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                                        Betting odds just flipped - 65 Trump, 35 Biden

                                        L Offline
                                        L Offline
                                        Loki
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #66

                                        @LuFins-Dad said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                                        Betting odds just flipped - 65 Trump, 35 Biden

                                        Where? But I agree something is going on for sure.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • LuFins DadL Offline
                                          LuFins DadL Offline
                                          LuFins Dad
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #67

                                          Fox News announced it. The News Channel seems to be more positive about Trump than the website.

                                          The Brad

                                          L 1 Reply Last reply
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