Redistricting in 2030
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https://thearp.org/blog/apportionment/2030-asof121923/
From NRO:
What does all this mean for the allocation of political power in America? For now, nothing. According to calculations by the American Redistricting Project, however, current projections show a very significant shift in the next census, if expected trends hold.
These are, if anything, a less dramatic projection than a year ago, as there is one fewer seat loss projected in California and one fewer seat gain projected in Florida. But it still projects a seven-seat swing in the House, matched in the Electoral College, just from losses in New York and California and gains in Texas and Florida. Throw in another six seats leaving Illinois, Oregon, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island for Georgia, North Carolina, Tennessee, Arizona, Utah, and Idaho, and this is close to unalloyed good news for Republicans — even with the caution that the population is declining fastest in the red parts of blue states, such as upstate New York, and growing in urban areas in the red states, such as the cities and suburbs of Atlanta and Phoenix.
If you think New York’s redistricting battles are brutal right now, wait until we’re dealing with another loss of three House seats in a single cycle.
