A Shaky Future?
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Several months ago (maybe last year), somebody here demanded to know what Trump has done that is so terrible. My reaction: Wait.
Here's an article every American should read. The Trumplovers will do their usual scoffing denial schtick, but anyone else could have seen this coming. We have seen what happens with a weak leader domestically; does anyone believe other global leaders wouldn't take advantage?
Excerpts from the CNN article: "Russia and China have effectively re-aligned the coming world order. They didn't do it together, but both took advantage of uncertainty and unpredictability that Trump has helped create.
"Putin has effectively been made President for life, as Xi has moved equally ruthlessly, taking control of Hong Kong through a new national security law, while telling US allies Canada, Australia and the UK to keep out of China's internal affairs.
"In an analysis for The Council on Foreign Relations, Robert Blackwill wrote: "Now the challenge for the president and his successors is to persuade Beijing, through enhanced US power projection, more able alliances, and adroit diplomacy, that the United States will grow ever stronger in Asia and, with its allies and friends, will robustly confront destabilizing Chinese actions.
"Former senior US officials . . . thought Trump "delusional" about his ability to bend other leaders to his agenda, believing he could "either charm, jawbone or bully almost any foreign leader into capitulating to his will."
[Edit: That was never going to fly. Only someone frighteningly ignorant of how global ambition, politics and strategy works could ever have thought so.]
(From a related article:) "While in office, then-Director of National Intelligence Dan Coats expressed worry to subordinates that Trump's telephone discussions were undermining the coherent conduct of foreign relations and American objectives around the globe."
The rest: https://lite.cnn.com/en/article/h_10bdfb175a50367006b2f8ca3fd599f3
To claim Russia and China have "realigned the world order" may be premature -- I'm not nearly well informed enough to say one way or another -- but at the least the signs are present and cannot be ignored. The US is beleagured. Trump re-elected presents a shaky future for the US, and Biden possibly equally so. Maybe Biden will at least have the common sense to recruit solid advice from our abler intel people.
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Three sets of questions:
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What could the US have done to prevent Putin from becoming president for life? Do you not think this would have happened regardless of who was in the White House? Even if there was something we could do to affect Russia's internal political system, how would that be different than Russian meddling in American internal affairs as Washington has been clutching their pearls about since 2016?
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Did anyone ever think China was going to let Hong Kong be autonomous forever? It's too important.
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What in the world makes anyone think this is the result of Trump being president?
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@Mik Same answer for the first two questions: Arguably the two countries would not have made those moves with a strong American leadership. They did what they knew they could get away with. Arguably; I'm not claiming to know.
Mik, the rest of the world sees him for what he is -- unlike a hefty portion of our own population -- and act accordingly.
I am right now reading an article capsulizing the ghastliness of Trump's many phone calls to world leaders. It's beyond cringeworthy.
https://lite.cnn.com/en/article/h_31a34fdadc1e0ed0e3b2a65b0c89f20e -
Mik, an addendum to your questions from that other article I mentioned: "In separate interviews, two high-level administration officials familiar with most of the Trump-Putin calls said the President naively elevated Russia -- a second-rate totalitarian state with less than 4% of the world's GDP -- and its authoritarian leader almost to parity with the United States and its President by undermining the tougher, more realistic view of Russia expressed by the US Congress, American intelligence agencies and the long-standing post-war policy consensus of the US and its European allies."
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Cats, that opinion article is more full of shit than a Christmas turkey.
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Arguably why? What would we have done about Putin's consolidation of power? Apparently Putin is quite popular in Russia. What have we done about it prior to the Trump administration? What did we do when he had Medvedev elected, making him the de facto president? Obama told them he'd have more flexibility after the election. Here's a little background on Putin that might help in any discussion.
https://carnegieendowment.org/2017/10/25/putin-files-consolidating-power-pub-73557
What did the Obama administration do when China began building military use islands in the South China Sea? Here's what the Trump administration is doing.
In short, this is all far more complicated than Orange Man Bad.
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@Loki said in A Shaky Future?:
Our obsession with Russia has been the greatest gift EVER to China.
That’s the real story.
That is the Truth. And that has everything, and nothing, to do with Trump.
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@Catseye3 said in A Shaky Future?:
@Mik Same answer for the first two questions: Arguably the two countries would not have made those moves with a strong American leadership. They did what they knew they could get away with. Arguably; I'm not claiming to know.
Mik, the rest of the world sees him for what he is -- unlike a hefty portion of our own population -- and act accordingly.
I am right now reading an article capsulizing the ghastliness of Trump's many phone calls to world leaders. It's beyond cringeworthy.
https://lite.cnn.com/en/article/h_31a34fdadc1e0ed0e3b2a65b0c89f20eI’m reading Bolton’s book. See what I wrote recently in the what are your reading thread.
Like I said there, the book does not make you take Bolton’s political positions. I don’t at all. But the guy is so erudite and articulate, and without trying to purposely make fun of trump, he doesn’t, but trump comes out as simply not up to the job. His personally disorder is simply too overwhelming to allow for orderly government and policy.
I strongly recommend the book to both right and left leaning readers. To the left to show that you can be very right wing yet not a nut job. To the right, to show what an effective right wing policy maker can look like. Instead of the buffoon they have.
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@Mik said in A Shaky Future?:
You posted an opinion piece that starts from a bias and asking others to consider it. Posting evidence to the contrary does not seem to prompt you to consider your own position.
I said more than once that I'm not qualified to own my own expertise in this. The CNN piece -- of course it's an opinion piece! It's CNN! How can it be anything else??? -- might, yes, be an opinion piece, but it has factuality embedded within it, IMO.
You say I post from "bias" but am met with "evidence". Yeah, that's TNCR all right.
The only thing I wanted to get across is that there are changes going on in the world that hold the promise of not boding well for the US, and that informed Americans need to be aware of this. I feel it's important enough that to not speak of it would be unethical. What y'all do with it is up to you,, but I did my part.
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@Catseye3 said in A Shaky Future?:
@Mik said in A Shaky Future?:
You posted an opinion piece that starts from a bias and asking others to consider it. Posting evidence to the contrary does not seem to prompt you to consider your own position.
I said more than once that I'm not qualified to own my own expertise in this. The CNN piece -- of course it's an opinion piece! It's CNN! How can it be anything else??? -- might, yes, be an opinion piece, but it has factuality embedded within it, IMO.
You say I post from "bias" but am met with "evidence". Yeah, that's TNCR all right.
The only thing I wanted to get across is that there are changes going on in the world that hold the promise of not boding well for the US, and that informed Americans need to be aware of this. I feel it's important enough that to not speak of it would be unethical. What y'all do with it is up to you,, but I did my part.
Cats the other tribe went after gas station parading as a country and let China run hog wild. The article is right but for the wrong reasons. They need to look in the mirror. Oh and any foreign policy that keeps China and Russia from aligning makes sense right? So if you were the US...oh never mind.
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Opinion...
Nations do not have friends, they have interests. Individual nations will do what they can, nonviolently or violently, to achieve their interests. This is the way it is and that is the way it will be be. Forever, amen.
Now, Russia can do what they want. They are a sovereign nation. I think they have so many internal problems right now, any short term return to sheer power projection such as the old Soviet Union achieved is laughable. Russia cannot even afford to construct a fourth generation fighter.
Renauda can speak to this much better than I, but the Russians always have had a duality that is hard for most to understand. On one hand, they would love to be European in many ways, but they are also an Asian country. And they've always had a bit of paranoia about them, for good reason, at times.
Taking into account that all great nations will play The Great Game, I think as long as we show the Russians a little respect, we can deal with them.
China is certainly another matter and has been ascending since Clinton started cutting the sweetheart deals with them and Biden voted for most favored nation status. We have let our money finance China into an economic powerhouse. On both sides of the political aisle, America loves cheap.
China as a military power may be another thing, altogether. While China has been a land power for many years, they haven't been good at projecting power. And while the CCP may appear monolithic, the reality is that corruption and back-biting for advantage has long been a reality in China.
I suspect who really scares the living crap out of China is Japan. China has poked the Land of the Rising Sun enough to make them start to reevaluate their War No More Constitution. Japan's technology is first rate and they have been a first rate naval power in the past and could easily be so in the future. Plus, Japan has a friend that can project more power around the globe, than the rest of the world combined, if we get down to brass tacks. And don't think the Chinese don't know it.
I often wonder just how China perceives India. I think Trump recognizes India may be the counterweight to China in many respects. As American money and factories start to move out of China, they will lokk to invest and produce good elsewhere. For all of Trump's talk of bring jobs back to America, I think he does know that some things are better for our economy if they are made in countries with cheaper labor, resulting in lower prices to American consumers. I think he will continue to push investment in India (if possible), along with SE Asian countries such as Vietnam.
As for the CNN piece and the OMB swamp critters down at Foggy Bottom...The State Department has long left snot tracks on the ceiling as the most swampiest old boy network on the Potomac. I'm usually a big proponent of civil service, but if there is one department in government that could benefit from the spoils system, it is the boys at State. Oftentimes, they think they are above the direction of the Executive Branch in implementing American foreign policy. Nothing should be further from the truth.
The CNN piece is typical "find somebody to bellyache about Trump and then let's build a narrative around it". Trump has made some mistakes in foreign policy, he has also had some triumphs. The question for America is not necessarily about Trump, it is about what should be America's long term foreign policy goals. Since we have four year election cycles, where we change out leadership, it is often difficult to enage in any but the broadest and macro goals in respect to the long term.
Perhaps CNN might engage in that discussion.
But they won't.
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@Loki said in A Shaky Future?:
I’d like to see Bolton write a book about himself and how far his “competence” took him. Spoiler alert- tool of the left before disposed of.
Look I disagree with 90% of his world view. But I think at age 71, a Yale lawyer, with the jobs of assistant attorney general, undersecretary of state, UN ambassador and national security advisor, I don’t think he is truly worried about his legacy. I would think his competence actually took him quite far. And from what I can tell from his book, he could not care one whit what the left does with his book because he makes very clear his disdain for the liberal world outlook.
His ire with trump is more about someone who could have advanced a conservative agenda because he had the mandate, vis a vis Russia or China or North Korea, but was too much obsessed with his own image and actually envied the ruthlessness of Putin, Kim Jong un or Xi Jinping, without the true leadership qualities u need to be a tyrant. He wasn’t up to the task because at the end of the day, he hasn’t grown out of being a reality show faker. With nothing but true disdain for his adoring base. -
I read a report some time ago about how human intelligence is devolving. According to the report, people who lived 500 years ago were smarter than today, people who lived 1000 years ago were smarter than those who lived 500 years ago, and so on. I could see their argument, but didn't necessarily agree with it. I am now convinced there is something to it, because I look at what passes for logic and reason today and am shocked at how much dumber people in general have become just over the years I have been alive.
There is absolutely nothing - NOTHING - in that article worth the ink it took to print it. Not a single point in it passes as rational thought, the very fact that it's even being taken seriously by anyone at all is enough to make you scared for what's to come another generation out.
Just as scary is that it is now obvious that far too many people would rather focus on their dislike of Trump than to actually use their brain and examine what will happen to this country if he loses. Some are so delusional they actually think the democrat party that exists today is the same one that existed just 15 or so years ago.
Focus on what matters, not the kind of shit this article is shoveling.
I weep for my country.