Past the Tipping Point — China’s Population Decline
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https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/16/business/china-birth-rate.html
The 2022 statistics are out: China has recorded a year of population decline. The expectation is that the decline will continue.
India’s population is expected to surpass China’s this year.
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China also had a bad economic year, with "only" 3% growth.
China’s economy grew at one of its slowest rates in decades last year as repeated lockdowns hammered households and businesses, emphasizing the high cost of zero-tolerance Covid-19 policies that Beijing abruptly abandoned at the end of 2022.
China’s economy expanded 3% in 2022, the National Bureau of Statistics said Tuesday, a sharp slowdown from the 8.1% pace recorded in 2021. Aside from 2020, when the economy grew only 2.2%, last year marked the worst year for gross domestic product growth in China since 1976, the year that Mao Zedong’s death ended the decade of strife known as the Cultural Revolution, according to World Bank data.
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Article on how some (a lot?) of the young people in China have "low desire" to have children. One is quoted as such: "In this country, to love your child is to never let him be born in the first place." It's pretty bleak.
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I’m interested in what is meant by “tipping point” here, esp for such a massive population.
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An interesting thread: The Chinese Nightmare.
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If I was China and I knew the west knew "China's authoritarianism is going to outcompete the west economically and bring in a century of Centralized control".
And my military was almost, but not quite, ready to go.
I would flood the social platforms with the message "China is all but collapsing".
But that's just me.
And I would ask Ax to spread the word.
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I think that there are a lot of smart people in the mainland Chinese leadership. And I think that they are very aware of the problem.
My concern is that this decreasing (and getting older) population is going to start causing a lot of internal problems. And they will start to cause external problems to take away the focus internally on what is happening.
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https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/marriages-china-slump-historic-low-2023-06-11/
Marriages in China slump to historic low
Marriages in China dropped in 2022 to their lowest since records began, ...
Just 6.83 million couples completed their marriage registrations last year, data published on the website of the Ministry of Civil Affairs showed, down about 800,000 from the previous year.
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