The Mid-Term Election Thread

[Mik]

Met with my guy Tuesday. We had the same discussion. The market does better with divided government. There is greater certainty that it won’t do anything too wild. The market hates uncertainty.

[George K]

[LuFins Dad]

It looks like Boebert is going to hang on.

AZ - Masters needs to win 57/100 votes of the remaining ballots to win the seat. Evidently this is very possible as the remaining ballots are mainly ballots dropped off on Election Day and are expected to SKU Republican. I am hearing 2 different explanations for this. One is that these are votes from Election Day where the machines were malfunctioning so they were given mail in ballots. The second is that mail in ballots can be dropped off at polling places on Election Day and supposedly those votes skew R… Whatever, there’s a legit “path” for Masters to win. The numbers are even better for Lake, 51% of the outstanding ballots will make her Governor.

[Jolly]

@Axtremus said in The Mid-Term Election Thread:

@Jolly said in The Mid-Term Election Thread:

2. … family doesn't do such things to family.

You would think that family would stick around for family, no?

I'm sorry if you don't understand what I'm saying, but I suspect if you don't know, you never will.

[jon-nyc]

@George-K said in The Mid-Term Election Thread:

This seems like a straightforward but really weak attempt to deflect blame from Trump, presented as (failed) humor.

[taiwan_girl]

@Copper said in The Mid-Term Election Thread:

@taiwan_girl said in The Mid-Term Election Thread:

@Copper said in The Mid-Term Election Thread:

It seems the market has never liked democrats very much.

Why do you say that? Show me that data! 555

OK, I've posted this guy's data for you here before

Link to video

Link to video

I dont disagree with the views of the video. But your statement would be more accurate if it said - "It seems like the market never liked one party being in control very much"

[Axtremus]

@taiwan_girl said in The Mid-Term Election Thread:

Decent returns for all scenarios with a Democratic President.

[taiwan_girl]

@Axtremus said in The Mid-Term Election Thread:

@taiwan_girl said in The Mid-Term Election Thread:

Decent returns for all scenarios with a Democratic President.

@hoarace, do you agree with this? 555 :couple_with_heart:

[George K]

@Axtremus said in The Mid-Term Election Thread:

@taiwan_girl said in The Mid-Term Election Thread:

Decent returns for all scenarios with a Democratic President.

Best results when GOP controls at least one chamber of Congress.

Worst results when Dems control both.

[Horace]

@taiwan_girl said in The Mid-Term Election Thread:

@Axtremus said in The Mid-Term Election Thread:

@taiwan_girl said in The Mid-Term Election Thread:

Decent returns for all scenarios with a Democratic President.

@hoarace, do you agree with this? 555 :couple_with_heart:

I’m not sure, I’ll wait for more evidence to come in.

[jon-nyc]

I wonder if Boebert’s husband needs to vote absentee. After all, he’s not allowed within 500ft of a school.

[jon-nyc]

A victory for us all.

[jon-nyc]

AZ called for Kelly.

Masto favored in NV

Looks like the Dems keep the Senate.

[Axtremus]

Nevada has been called for Masto.
The Dems have reached the 50 seat threshold.

[AndyD]

Let the plaintive bleating begin

[Jolly]

After Maricopa, why not?

[jon-nyc]

The Chair of the Maricopa Board of Supervisors, a lifelong Republican, had this to say:

"Over the past couple of decades, on average it takes 10 to 12 days to complete the count. That's not because of anything Maricopa County has decided to do, that's because of how Arizona law is set up. And that's what we do here at Maricopa County, we follow the law to make sure that the count is accurate."

[Mik]

@AndyD said in The Mid-Term Election Thread:

Let the plaintive bleating begin

I don't think it is at all difficult to suss out. The election was a referendum on Trump, et al. People were ready for a change, but we did not offer one they wanted.

[kluurs]

@Mik said in The Mid-Term Election Thread:
People were ready for a change, but we did not offer one they wanted.

I agree with Mitch McConnell that there were some weak candidates. I think the challenge is that it seems like the weirdest of both parties get elected. Some have suggested that gerrymandering is responsible for that. I'm not sure if it is that or having to whore for dollars - but there are frightfully few candidates that even appear to warrant positive excitement. It is more voting against an even bigger fool.

[Axtremus]

Link to video