34% of likely voters
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On several occasions during the Obama administration years and right up to my hiatus from TNCR I maintained that the USA is approaching its 19 Brumaire. I still hold that view.
Out of the political circus and clown show of the Trump years - and I think the world will have to endure yet another tortuous 4 year term of that vacuous blowhard demagogue - the stage will be set for a clever and highly focussed strongman to take charge. It won't be immediate either, or at least not until traditional governance has become untenable. Out of it all will emerge an American Napoleon who will disslove the moribund Congress and hold power under the guise of maintaining the Constitution and proclaiming an end to the fear of anarchy and civil war.
While not bloodthisty he will be nevertheless ruthless. Most folks will nonetheles support his policies and actions. The coup, for lack of a better word, will happen and all will rejoice or at least grow immediately passive. Once in power he will slowly and methodically dismantle the liberal democracy of the Constitution and rebuild the republic into a centralised liberal authoritarian state that will only superficially resemble present day USA.
His foreign policy will be quite straightforward as well. He will build an autarkic fortress North America (that will be all encompassing) that will seek to unite or, at the very least, ally all English speaking nations of the world under his banner.
So no folks, I do not see a civil war in the crystal ball. There's growing popular distrust and even hate, but only enough to allow for an American Caesar to pick the oak leaves of power out of the gutter and crown himself.
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I don't see anything that Draconian. I think we Americans are too variegated -- though I could be talked out of this by someone who knows more than I.
OTOH, we're putting up with the "vacuous blowhard demagogue"* a whole lot better than I would ever have predicted, so who knows? By the time he's gone, we may be so exhausted and forgetful of what it's like to live each day without Trump-rage headlines giving us something to be agitated about, that we may be ripe for your scenario.
*Love that and I'm stealing it.
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@Catseye3 said in 34% of likely voters:
I don't see anything that Draconian. I think we Americans are too variegated -- <
Perhaps, but this coup will not be necessarily all that draconian in its presentation. At first at least, until it has consolidated its populist base and the military. While he will have no appeal to the more radical elements he will maintain a very broad populist base and immediately address an over riding public desire for stability and order. The radicals will be quickly isolated and pacified.
Unlike the current inept individual, who, bone spurs and all, is at best solid Master Corporal material, the USA will be introduced to a real Field Marshall who can and will clear the field of the political debris left by all his predecessors. The price will be steep, but I contend that the people will not notice until well after he has consolidated his power base.
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Everybody's fat.
As long as everybody has food, protests will continue in the yellow area of the dial.
When people in North America start getting hungry, then the gauge moves into the red, we've entered the Big Time. And if red includes race, guess who loses.
For your consideration.
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Larry, read again what I wrote. Trump, is not going to lead anything, other than likely winning a 4 year second term later this year. Besides, he'll be well over 80 when it unfolds and that is only if his health holds out that long. LIkewise the Democrats will not lead a coup either. On the contrary, they will be the primary target of the coup.
In fact it I suspect the ursupation will come from either the outside or the periphery of the current political party system. You, in particular, will support it.