34% of likely voters
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@taiwan_girl said in 34% of likely voters:
I hope I am right, but I just cannot see it happening in the US.
For example, pick a topic that gets people excited - for example, guns.
Let us say that the government does something that is major against your position.
It is one thing to go out and march around on the weekend, and even do it again the next weekend. But if you are making (for example) $70,000 USD and have a family to support (and actually your life is not too too bad), I dont think you would be willing to be out there for weeks at a time, lose your job, lose your house, etc etc. I just dont see it.
Maybe I am projecting a bit from what I have seen/experienced in other countries, but I just do not see that level of desperation or passion that would have a LARGE number of people to sustain it.
Of course, there will be some people, and I am sure that people here know people like that, but in my mind, just not a critical mass.
Look at the current protests about the police. First weekend, tens or hundred thousands, next weekend, thousands, this weekend, hundreds, next weekend ????
Again, it is so so hard to sustain anger, rage, passion
Dead letter certainty...If the United States started to confiscate all guns, there would be armed insurrection.
Always remember, Operation Valkyrie was an act of sedition.
Warning: I post things that interest me. Read and comment at your own discretion. -
@Jolly Partially agree. There may be a armed insurrection, but not a critical mass of people I dont think.
I know people in the US who have guns and are very pro gun. Would they be willing to take to the streets and protest? Yes
Would they be willing to take to the streets and protest for weeks and weeks on end, lose their job, lose their house, have their family go hungry? Ummmmm, probably not.
Of course, there are fanatics everywhere, and I sure that there would be quite a few people, just not that critical mass.
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@taiwan_girl said in 34% of likely voters:
@Jolly Partially agree. There may be a armed insurrection, but not a critical mass of people I dont think.
I know people in the US who have guns and are very pro gun. Would they be willing to take to the streets and protest? Yes
Would they be willing to take to the streets and protest for weeks and weeks on end, lose their job, lose their house, have their family go hungry? Ummmmm, probably not.
Of course, there are fanatics everywhere, and I sure that there would be quite a few people, just not that critical mass.
Only took a third of the populance to start the American Revolutionary War. There are people who own guns, and there are people who own guns. And then there is the South and much of the MidWest and West, where I think you may be surprised at the attitude of large segments of the population to gun confiscation.
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On several occasions during the Obama administration years and right up to my hiatus from TNCR I maintained that the USA is approaching its 19 Brumaire. I still hold that view.
Out of the political circus and clown show of the Trump years - and I think the world will have to endure yet another tortuous 4 year term of that vacuous blowhard demagogue - the stage will be set for a clever and highly focussed strongman to take charge. It won't be immediate either, or at least not until traditional governance has become untenable. Out of it all will emerge an American Napoleon who will disslove the moribund Congress and hold power under the guise of maintaining the Constitution and proclaiming an end to the fear of anarchy and civil war.
While not bloodthisty he will be nevertheless ruthless. Most folks will nonetheles support his policies and actions. The coup, for lack of a better word, will happen and all will rejoice or at least grow immediately passive. Once in power he will slowly and methodically dismantle the liberal democracy of the Constitution and rebuild the republic into a centralised liberal authoritarian state that will only superficially resemble present day USA.
His foreign policy will be quite straightforward as well. He will build an autarkic fortress North America (that will be all encompassing) that will seek to unite or, at the very least, ally all English speaking nations of the world under his banner.
So no folks, I do not see a civil war in the crystal ball. There's growing popular distrust and even hate, but only enough to allow for an American Caesar to pick the oak leaves of power out of the gutter and crown himself.
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I don't see anything that Draconian. I think we Americans are too variegated -- though I could be talked out of this by someone who knows more than I.
OTOH, we're putting up with the "vacuous blowhard demagogue"* a whole lot better than I would ever have predicted, so who knows? By the time he's gone, we may be so exhausted and forgetful of what it's like to live each day without Trump-rage headlines giving us something to be agitated about, that we may be ripe for your scenario.
*Love that and I'm stealing it.
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@Catseye3 said in 34% of likely voters:
I don't see anything that Draconian. I think we Americans are too variegated -- <
Perhaps, but this coup will not be necessarily all that draconian in its presentation. At first at least, until it has consolidated its populist base and the military. While he will have no appeal to the more radical elements he will maintain a very broad populist base and immediately address an over riding public desire for stability and order. The radicals will be quickly isolated and pacified.
Unlike the current inept individual, who, bone spurs and all, is at best solid Master Corporal material, the USA will be introduced to a real Field Marshall who can and will clear the field of the political debris left by all his predecessors. The price will be steep, but I contend that the people will not notice until well after he has consolidated his power base.
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Everybody's fat.
As long as everybody has food, protests will continue in the yellow area of the dial.
When people in North America start getting hungry, then the gauge moves into the red, we've entered the Big Time. And if red includes race, guess who loses.
For your consideration.
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Larry, read again what I wrote. Trump, is not going to lead anything, other than likely winning a 4 year second term later this year. Besides, he'll be well over 80 when it unfolds and that is only if his health holds out that long. LIkewise the Democrats will not lead a coup either. On the contrary, they will be the primary target of the coup.
In fact it I suspect the ursupation will come from either the outside or the periphery of the current political party system. You, in particular, will support it.
