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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. I think it's closer to 15%

I think it's closer to 15%

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  • JollyJ Offline
    JollyJ Offline
    Jolly
    wrote on last edited by
    #9

    Yep, but the 12% figure I cited was for groceries.

    “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

    Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

    KlausK 1 Reply Last reply
    • KlausK Klaus

      Inflation is a basket containing many things.

      Groceries have increased by more than the inflation rate.

      Rents have increased by less than the inflation rate.

      It's an average, so it's not surprising that there are many prices that grow faster than inflation.

      LuFins DadL Offline
      LuFins DadL Offline
      LuFins Dad
      wrote on last edited by
      #10

      @Klaus said in I think it's closer to 15%:

      Inflation is a basket containing many things.

      Groceries have increased by more than the inflation rate.

      Rents have increased by less than the inflation rate.

      It's an average, so it's not surprising that there are many prices that grow faster than inflation.

      I don't know about Germany, but in the US private concerns such as Zillow and rent.com are tracking rent inflation between 12-17% while the US Bureau of Labor Statistics is reporting 6%. Guess whose numbers are used in calculating inflation?

      https://apnews.com/article/florida-economy-prices-7c38bdda95bfac698895e659269c9cfe

      https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/rent-inflation

      The Brad

      1 Reply Last reply
      • JollyJ Jolly

        Yep, but the 12% figure I cited was for groceries.

        KlausK Offline
        KlausK Offline
        Klaus
        wrote on last edited by
        #11

        @Jolly said in I think it's closer to 15%:

        Yep, but the 12% figure I cited was for groceries.

        OK, but it may still be the case that the food you buy isn't the "average" food.

        I don't know how inflation is measured "officially", but while you can argue about the percentages of the basket, it is usually at least pretty transparent what goes into it.

        For instance, here is a 20 page document which describes how the official inflation rate in Germany is measured.

        JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
        • KlausK Klaus

          @Jolly said in I think it's closer to 15%:

          Yep, but the 12% figure I cited was for groceries.

          OK, but it may still be the case that the food you buy isn't the "average" food.

          I don't know how inflation is measured "officially", but while you can argue about the percentages of the basket, it is usually at least pretty transparent what goes into it.

          For instance, here is a 20 page document which describes how the official inflation rate in Germany is measured.

          JollyJ Offline
          JollyJ Offline
          Jolly
          wrote on last edited by
          #12

          @Klaus said in I think it's closer to 15%:

          @Jolly said in I think it's closer to 15%:

          Yep, but the 12% figure I cited was for groceries.

          OK, but it may still be the case that the food you buy isn't the "average" food.

          I don't know how inflation is measured "officially", but while you can argue about the percentages of the basket, it is usually at least pretty transparent what goes into it.

          For instance, here is a 20 page document which describes how the official inflation rate in Germany is measured.

          Understood, but nobody in casual conversation whips out a 20-page document. Again, perception equals reality. When folks around here bitch about what food costs, they're talking basic stuff... Chicken, hamburger, milk, canned goods, flour, convenience foods, etc.

          People know what their bills used to look like and what they look like now.

          In a political sense, this is why The Resident is hammering abortion, the ultra-MAGA boogeyman and is emptying the Strategic Reserve...At least until after the first Tuesday in November. Things are worse than our fearless fool would have us believe.

          And the average non-idiot knows it is worse.

          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

          KlausK AxtremusA 2 Replies Last reply
          • JollyJ Jolly

            @Klaus said in I think it's closer to 15%:

            @Jolly said in I think it's closer to 15%:

            Yep, but the 12% figure I cited was for groceries.

            OK, but it may still be the case that the food you buy isn't the "average" food.

            I don't know how inflation is measured "officially", but while you can argue about the percentages of the basket, it is usually at least pretty transparent what goes into it.

            For instance, here is a 20 page document which describes how the official inflation rate in Germany is measured.

            Understood, but nobody in casual conversation whips out a 20-page document. Again, perception equals reality. When folks around here bitch about what food costs, they're talking basic stuff... Chicken, hamburger, milk, canned goods, flour, convenience foods, etc.

            People know what their bills used to look like and what they look like now.

            In a political sense, this is why The Resident is hammering abortion, the ultra-MAGA boogeyman and is emptying the Strategic Reserve...At least until after the first Tuesday in November. Things are worse than our fearless fool would have us believe.

            And the average non-idiot knows it is worse.

            KlausK Offline
            KlausK Offline
            Klaus
            wrote on last edited by
            #13

            @Jolly said in I think it's closer to 15%:

            Understood, but nobody in casual conversation whips out a 20-page document. Again, perception equals reality. When folks around here bitch about what food costs, they're talking basic stuff... Chicken, hamburger, milk, canned goods, flour, convenience foods, etc.

            True, and I understood that you are talking about grocery costs, but I think that there are some psychological issues at work which explain why the "felt" inflation rate is higher than the official inflation rate. For instance, we tend to overweight the price of small expenses compared to the big ones. In addition, the official rate may (or may not) have been manipulated in some way to hide "real" inflation, of course.

            George KG 1 Reply Last reply
            • KlausK Klaus

              @Jolly said in I think it's closer to 15%:

              Understood, but nobody in casual conversation whips out a 20-page document. Again, perception equals reality. When folks around here bitch about what food costs, they're talking basic stuff... Chicken, hamburger, milk, canned goods, flour, convenience foods, etc.

              True, and I understood that you are talking about grocery costs, but I think that there are some psychological issues at work which explain why the "felt" inflation rate is higher than the official inflation rate. For instance, we tend to overweight the price of small expenses compared to the big ones. In addition, the official rate may (or may not) have been manipulated in some way to hide "real" inflation, of course.

              George KG Offline
              George KG Offline
              George K
              wrote on last edited by George K
              #14

              @Klaus said in I think it's closer to 15%:

              we tend to overweight the price of small expenses compared to the big ones

              True, probably.

              However, the "small" expenses are the ones you see every day. Big expenses (a car?) happen once a decade or so. And as @jolly said, "perception is reality."

              "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

              The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • JollyJ Jolly

                @Klaus said in I think it's closer to 15%:

                @Jolly said in I think it's closer to 15%:

                Yep, but the 12% figure I cited was for groceries.

                OK, but it may still be the case that the food you buy isn't the "average" food.

                I don't know how inflation is measured "officially", but while you can argue about the percentages of the basket, it is usually at least pretty transparent what goes into it.

                For instance, here is a 20 page document which describes how the official inflation rate in Germany is measured.

                Understood, but nobody in casual conversation whips out a 20-page document. Again, perception equals reality. When folks around here bitch about what food costs, they're talking basic stuff... Chicken, hamburger, milk, canned goods, flour, convenience foods, etc.

                People know what their bills used to look like and what they look like now.

                In a political sense, this is why The Resident is hammering abortion, the ultra-MAGA boogeyman and is emptying the Strategic Reserve...At least until after the first Tuesday in November. Things are worse than our fearless fool would have us believe.

                And the average non-idiot knows it is worse.

                AxtremusA Offline
                AxtremusA Offline
                Axtremus
                wrote on last edited by
                #15

                @Jolly said in I think it's closer to 15%:

                In a political sense, this is why The Resident is hammering abortion, the ultra-MAGA boogeyman and is emptying the Strategic Reserve...

                Would you rather abortion be left the way it was and “MAGA” never happened?

                JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                • AxtremusA Axtremus

                  @Jolly said in I think it's closer to 15%:

                  In a political sense, this is why The Resident is hammering abortion, the ultra-MAGA boogeyman and is emptying the Strategic Reserve...

                  Would you rather abortion be left the way it was and “MAGA” never happened?

                  JollyJ Offline
                  JollyJ Offline
                  Jolly
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #16

                  @Axtremus said in I think it's closer to 15%:

                  @Jolly said in I think it's closer to 15%:

                  In a political sense, this is why The Resident is hammering abortion, the ultra-MAGA boogeyman and is emptying the Strategic Reserve...

                  Would you rather abortion be left the way it was and “MAGA” never happened?

                  Nope.

                  And what does that have to do with the price of rice in China?

                  “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                  Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • Doctor PhibesD Offline
                    Doctor PhibesD Offline
                    Doctor Phibes
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #17

                    The nasty problem with food inflation being so high is that it proportionally affects the poor considerably more than the better off, since a larger percentage of their total expenditure is food.

                    Saxophone prices OTOH seem to be pretty much fixed at this point, so I'm going to tell Mrs. Phibes I'm actually saving us money with my intended new purchase later this year. As an added benefit, she gets to hear me play, which will put her off her food, saving even more money!

                    I was only joking

                    George KG LuFins DadL 2 Replies Last reply
                    • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                      The nasty problem with food inflation being so high is that it proportionally affects the poor considerably more than the better off, since a larger percentage of their total expenditure is food.

                      Saxophone prices OTOH seem to be pretty much fixed at this point, so I'm going to tell Mrs. Phibes I'm actually saving us money with my intended new purchase later this year. As an added benefit, she gets to hear me play, which will put her off her food, saving even more money!

                      George KG Offline
                      George KG Offline
                      George K
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #18

                      @Doctor-Phibes , half full today, right?

                      "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                      The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                      Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
                      • George KG George K

                        @Doctor-Phibes , half full today, right?

                        Doctor PhibesD Offline
                        Doctor PhibesD Offline
                        Doctor Phibes
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #19

                        @George-K said in I think it's closer to 15%:

                        @Doctor-Phibes , half full today, right?

                        I used a similar argument when I bought my bike - it only cost $2000, and I figured would easily be able to lose 5 pounds cycling, so therefore didn't need to be buy a bike 5 pounds lighter, hence saving us about $10,000!

                        ....and that's when the fight started.

                        I was only joking

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                          The nasty problem with food inflation being so high is that it proportionally affects the poor considerably more than the better off, since a larger percentage of their total expenditure is food.

                          Saxophone prices OTOH seem to be pretty much fixed at this point, so I'm going to tell Mrs. Phibes I'm actually saving us money with my intended new purchase later this year. As an added benefit, she gets to hear me play, which will put her off her food, saving even more money!

                          LuFins DadL Offline
                          LuFins DadL Offline
                          LuFins Dad
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #20

                          @Doctor-Phibes said in I think it's closer to 15%:

                          The nasty problem with food inflation being so high is that it proportionally affects the poor considerably more than the better off, since a larger percentage of their total expenditure is food.

                          Saxophone prices OTOH seem to be pretty much fixed at this point, so I'm going to tell Mrs. Phibes I'm actually saving us money with my intended new purchase later this year. As an added benefit, she gets to hear me play, which will put her off her food, saving even more money!

                          Mark VI?

                          The Brad

                          Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
                          • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                            @Doctor-Phibes said in I think it's closer to 15%:

                            The nasty problem with food inflation being so high is that it proportionally affects the poor considerably more than the better off, since a larger percentage of their total expenditure is food.

                            Saxophone prices OTOH seem to be pretty much fixed at this point, so I'm going to tell Mrs. Phibes I'm actually saving us money with my intended new purchase later this year. As an added benefit, she gets to hear me play, which will put her off her food, saving even more money!

                            Mark VI?

                            Doctor PhibesD Offline
                            Doctor PhibesD Offline
                            Doctor Phibes
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #21

                            @LuFins-Dad said in I think it's closer to 15%:

                            @Doctor-Phibes said in I think it's closer to 15%:

                            The nasty problem with food inflation being so high is that it proportionally affects the poor considerably more than the better off, since a larger percentage of their total expenditure is food.

                            Saxophone prices OTOH seem to be pretty much fixed at this point, so I'm going to tell Mrs. Phibes I'm actually saving us money with my intended new purchase later this year. As an added benefit, she gets to hear me play, which will put her off her food, saving even more money!

                            Mark VI?

                            God no, I'm getting a new one.

                            Probably Yanagisawa. Selmer's are over-priced.

                            I was only joking

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