Puzzle time- Numbers on foreheads
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A lot would hinge on whether the median was a single-occupancy number or multi-occupancy. In the case of a single-occupancy median, that strategy is a guaranteed loss. It's a guaranteed win for multi-occupancy median when it's still the median after removing one of them. It begins to be similar to the mode idea from that perspective.
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The idea is that the median is only slightly affected by your number, less so if your number is close to it.
Imagine if there were 1,000 people doing that. Clearly the differences in median that each would calculate would be a tiny rounding error, thus they would all converge on the same number, including at least one person who had that number.
@jon-nyc said in Puzzle time- Numbers on foreheads:
The idea is that the median is only slightly affected by your number, less so if your number is close to it.
Imagine if there were 1,000 people doing that. Clearly the differences in median that each would calculate would be a tiny rounding error, thus they would all converge on the same number, including at least one person who had that number.
I don't think so.
Let's consider a uniform distribution of the numbers. Then the median of the 1000 would very likely be 4 or 5. But that number is not more likely to show up than any other number.
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Each of 10 prisoners will have a digit between 0 and 9 painted on his forehead (they could be all 2's and 3's, for example). At the appointed time, each prisoner will be exposed to all the others, then taken aside and asked to guess his own digit.
All the prisoners will be freed, provided at least one prisoner guesses correctly.
The prisoners have an opportunity to conspire beforehand; how can they maximize their probability of success?
@jon-nyc said in Puzzle time- Numbers on foreheads:
The prisoners have an opportunity to conspire beforehand; how can they maximize their probability of success?
If prisoners get to choose their own number, then in the “conspire” phase all prisoners agree to one number (e.g., every prisoner chooses to paint himself with the number 0), then every one knows that his own number is 0.
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Not sure if I understand, but to me, there is no way to make a guess any more accurate. If it is a true random number on the forhead, then there is a 10% chance of guessing correctly.
It doesnt matter if every other number is "8", your number could still be anything from 0-9. etc
What am i missing?