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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!

120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!

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  • jon-nycJ Offline
    jon-nycJ Offline
    jon-nyc
    wrote on last edited by
    #1

    Wow.

    https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/05/study-tells-remarkable-story-about-covid-19-s-deadly-rampage-through-south-african

    Only non-witches get due process.

    • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
    1 Reply Last reply
    • George KG Offline
      George KG Offline
      George K
      wrote on last edited by
      #2

      Disturbing, to say the least.

      "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

      The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • L Offline
        L Offline
        Loki
        wrote on last edited by
        #3

        What’s the median age and what are the comorbidities?

        1 Reply Last reply
        • JollyJ Offline
          JollyJ Offline
          Jolly
          wrote on last edited by
          #4

          Does it matter?

          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

          L 1 Reply Last reply
          • JollyJ Jolly

            Does it matter?

            L Offline
            L Offline
            Loki
            wrote on last edited by
            #5

            @Jolly said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

            Does it matter?

            It sure does if we are to fine tune how we re-open. Today an article was published that 96% of Covid deaths in Italy were people with prior illness and mean age was over 80.

            Surely an approach to protecting the vulnerable is better and more effective than applying the same standard of vigilance to hundreds of millions of people.

            Aqua LetiferA 1 Reply Last reply
            • L Loki

              @Jolly said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

              Does it matter?

              It sure does if we are to fine tune how we re-open. Today an article was published that 96% of Covid deaths in Italy were people with prior illness and mean age was over 80.

              Surely an approach to protecting the vulnerable is better and more effective than applying the same standard of vigilance to hundreds of millions of people.

              Aqua LetiferA Offline
              Aqua LetiferA Offline
              Aqua Letifer
              wrote on last edited by
              #6

              @Loki said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

              @Jolly said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

              Does it matter?

              Surely an approach to protecting the vulnerable is better and more effective than applying the same standard of vigilance to hundreds of millions of people.

              Only if you think hundreds of millions of people aren't worth protecting. Can we stop trying to say this is an old person's disease? Clearly it isn't.

              Please love yourself.

              L 1 Reply Last reply
              • HoraceH Offline
                HoraceH Offline
                Horace
                wrote on last edited by
                #7

                The outcomes of Covid infection can be categorized by age. We don't need terms like "old person's disease", but it would be nice to let people judge their personal risk and the risk of others based on those numbers. IMO the reason we don't usually see numbers categorized by age is because those numbers don't play well to encourage the masses to go to great lengths to contain the disease. But I agree with Loki that they can be used to inform the details of our containment plans after we re-open.

                Education is extremely important.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • Aqua LetiferA Offline
                  Aqua LetiferA Offline
                  Aqua Letifer
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #8

                  @Horace said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

                  let people judge ... the risk of others

                  Our legal system doesn't work that way and for good reason.

                  Please love yourself.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • HoraceH Offline
                    HoraceH Offline
                    Horace
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #9

                    We rely on social dynamics to optimize behavior well before the legal system gets involved.

                    Education is extremely important.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • Aqua LetiferA Aqua Letifer

                      @Loki said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

                      @Jolly said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

                      Does it matter?

                      Surely an approach to protecting the vulnerable is better and more effective than applying the same standard of vigilance to hundreds of millions of people.

                      Only if you think hundreds of millions of people aren't worth protecting. Can we stop trying to say this is an old person's disease? Clearly it isn't.

                      L Offline
                      L Offline
                      Loki
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #10

                      @Aqua-Letifer said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

                      @Loki said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

                      @Jolly said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

                      Does it matter?

                      Surely an approach to protecting the vulnerable is better and more effective than applying the same standard of vigilance to hundreds of millions of people.

                      Only if you think hundreds of millions of people aren't worth protecting. Can we stop trying to say this is an old person's disease? Clearly it isn't.

                      Without sounding cold and callous the death rates per 100,000 for young people is about the same as suicide and opioid and we don’t shut down the country for that.

                      Aqua LetiferA 1 Reply Last reply
                      • L Loki

                        @Aqua-Letifer said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

                        @Loki said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

                        @Jolly said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

                        Does it matter?

                        Surely an approach to protecting the vulnerable is better and more effective than applying the same standard of vigilance to hundreds of millions of people.

                        Only if you think hundreds of millions of people aren't worth protecting. Can we stop trying to say this is an old person's disease? Clearly it isn't.

                        Without sounding cold and callous the death rates per 100,000 for young people is about the same as suicide and opioid and we don’t shut down the country for that.

                        Aqua LetiferA Offline
                        Aqua LetiferA Offline
                        Aqua Letifer
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #11

                        @Loki said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

                        @Aqua-Letifer said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

                        @Loki said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

                        @Jolly said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

                        Without sounding cold and callous the death rates per 100,000 for young people is about the same as suicide and opioid and we don’t shut down the country for that.

                        Okay so first, we don't make public health decisions based on whether or not a cherry-picked demographic makes a pandemic sound like not a big deal.

                        Second, let's revisit what exponential growth means, and how it makes COVID deaths something to worry about even if today's death numbers are small in your estimation.

                        Third, no one actually making those decisions is talking about "shutting down the country." Neither is anyone here.

                        It does no good to find data to support a belief that the economic damage will be much worse than the loss of life because you've decided that the virus is a silly boogeyman, and neither you nor anyone you deem important could ever die from it.

                        Please love yourself.

                        L 1 Reply Last reply
                        • Aqua LetiferA Aqua Letifer

                          @Loki said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

                          @Aqua-Letifer said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

                          @Loki said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

                          @Jolly said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

                          Without sounding cold and callous the death rates per 100,000 for young people is about the same as suicide and opioid and we don’t shut down the country for that.

                          Okay so first, we don't make public health decisions based on whether or not a cherry-picked demographic makes a pandemic sound like not a big deal.

                          Second, let's revisit what exponential growth means, and how it makes COVID deaths something to worry about even if today's death numbers are small in your estimation.

                          Third, no one actually making those decisions is talking about "shutting down the country." Neither is anyone here.

                          It does no good to find data to support a belief that the economic damage will be much worse than the loss of life because you've decided that the virus is a silly boogeyman, and neither you nor anyone you deem important could ever die from it.

                          L Offline
                          L Offline
                          Loki
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #12

                          @Aqua-Letifer said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

                          @Loki said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

                          @Aqua-Letifer said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

                          @Loki said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

                          @Jolly said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

                          Without sounding cold and callous the death rates per 100,000 for young people is about the same as suicide and opioid and we don’t shut down the country for that.

                          Okay so first, we don't make public health decisions based on whether or not a cherry-picked demographic makes a pandemic sound like not a big deal.

                          Second, let's revisit what exponential growth means, and how it makes COVID deaths something to worry about even if today's death numbers are small in your estimation.

                          Third, no one actually making those decisions is talking about "shutting down the country." Neither is anyone here.

                          It does no good to find data to support a belief that the economic damage will be much worse than the loss of life because you've decided that the virus is a silly boogeyman, and neither you nor anyone you deem important could ever die from it.

                          I think the virus is very serious, but very serious to specific populations. The casualty rates are dramatically different amongst different populations. For example in NYC you are nearly 100 times less likely to die of Covid if you are under 44 than if you are over 75. With that knowledge it is time to make sure we figure out how to secure the vulnerable and let others have a meaningful life.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • Aqua LetiferA Offline
                            Aqua LetiferA Offline
                            Aqua Letifer
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #13

                            It's been 2-3 months of social distancing and suggested-but-not-mandatory PPE use in public. Try to hang tough.

                            Please love yourself.

                            CopperC 1 Reply Last reply
                            • Aqua LetiferA Aqua Letifer

                              It's been 2-3 months of social distancing and suggested-but-not-mandatory PPE use in public. Try to hang tough.

                              CopperC Offline
                              CopperC Offline
                              Copper
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #14

                              @Aqua-Letifer said in 120 cases and 15 deaths from a single case - in a hospital!:

                              It's been 2-3 months of social distancing and suggested-but-not-mandatory PPE use in public. Try to hang tough.

                              Pandemics usually last 12-36 months, that's a lot of hanging.

                              Of course I'm not sure the word usual makes sense in this context.

                              I think the suggested-but-not-mandatory routine will last as long as it offers some political advantage.

                              Hang tough.

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