More health consequences of lockdown
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Here's the suicide stats on the last severe economic recession:
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61910-2/fulltext
In the years before the onset of the crisis (from 1999 to 2007), the suicide mortality rate in the USA was rising on average at a rate of 0·12 per 100 000 per year (95% CI 0·09–0·14; figure). Coinciding with the onset of the recession, the suicide rate accelerated. There were an additional 0·51 deaths per 100 000 per year (95% CI 0·28–0·75) in 2008–10. This acceleration corresponds to an additional 1580 suicides per year (95% CI 860–2300). Thus, during the recessionary period after 2007, there were an estimated 4750 excess suicide deaths (95% CI 2570–6920).
Opiod abuse:
https://www.nber.org/papers/w23192As the county unemployment rate increases by one percentage point, the opioid death rate per 100,000 rises by 0.19 (3.6%) and the opioid overdose ED visit rate per 100,000 increases by 0.95 (7.0%).
Missing cancer diagnoses:
https://www.cancer.org/research/cancer-facts-statistics/all-cancer-facts-figures/cancer-facts-figures-2019.htmlCancer Facts & Figures 2019 is an educational companion for Cancer Statistics 2019, a scientific paper published in the American Cancer Society journal, CA: A Cancer Journal for Clinicians. The Facts & Figures annual report provides:
Estimated numbers of new cancer cases and deaths in 2019 (In 2019, there will be an estimated 1,762,450 new cancer cases diagnosed and 606,880 cancer deaths in the United States.)
That's about 140K per month. If those people are missed, what's the long-term mortality of a two month delay? I don't know, but just asking.
Vaccinations down:
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/pdfs/mm6919e2-H.pdfThe ongoing COVID-19 pandemic is a reminder of the
importance of vaccination. The identified declines in routine pediatric vaccine ordering and doses administered might indicate that U.S. children and their communities face increased risks for outbreaks of vaccine-preventable diseases.
