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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Jesus... who do you believe?

Jesus... who do you believe?

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  • ImprovisoI Offline
    ImprovisoI Offline
    Improviso
    wrote on last edited by
    #1

    Inflation... Fed tapering/rate hikes... yada yada yada. Who knows???

    market1.jpg

    market2.jpg

    We have the freedom to choose our actions, but we do not get to choose our consequences.
    Yes, there are two paths you can go by, but in the long run, there's still time to change the road you're on.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • X Offline
      X Offline
      xenon
      wrote on last edited by xenon
      #2

      Depends on which effect is stronger.

      The rate hikes should tamp down inflation - but will depress stocks. Inflation, on its own, will tend to inflate stock prices.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • Doctor PhibesD Online
        Doctor PhibesD Online
        Doctor Phibes
        wrote on last edited by
        #3

        These guys spend half their lives telling us what is going to happen, and the other half explaining why it didn't.

        I was only joking

        1 Reply Last reply
        • kluursK Online
          kluursK Online
          kluurs
          wrote on last edited by
          #4

          The answer to the question is "yes."

          Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
          • kluursK kluurs

            The answer to the question is "yes."

            Doctor PhibesD Online
            Doctor PhibesD Online
            Doctor Phibes
            wrote on last edited by
            #5

            @kluurs said in Jesus... who do you believe?:

            The answer to the question is "yes."

            or possibly "no".

            I was only joking

            1 Reply Last reply
            • JollyJ Offline
              JollyJ Offline
              Jolly
              wrote on last edited by
              #6

              Inflation, if figured by 1980 standards, will be 15% this year. There can be no Volkman approach, because the economy wouldn't even generate a dead cat bounce if interest rates were raised enough to tamp down the inflation.

              I darn sure would stay out of the bond market, and a lot of NASDAQ-type growth stocks. And I'm not going the cryptocurrency route.

              Blue chips, gold, real estate, at least for me.

              “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

              Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

              X 1 Reply Last reply
              • JollyJ Jolly

                Inflation, if figured by 1980 standards, will be 15% this year. There can be no Volkman approach, because the economy wouldn't even generate a dead cat bounce if interest rates were raised enough to tamp down the inflation.

                I darn sure would stay out of the bond market, and a lot of NASDAQ-type growth stocks. And I'm not going the cryptocurrency route.

                Blue chips, gold, real estate, at least for me.

                X Offline
                X Offline
                xenon
                wrote on last edited by
                #7

                @jolly said in Jesus... who do you believe?:

                gold

                Gold confuses me. It's supposed to be your classic inflation hedge. I was going to buy some earlier this year - but didn't because I couldn't see a pattern.

                It's actually down from where it was in Dec/Jan.

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                • Doctor PhibesD Online
                  Doctor PhibesD Online
                  Doctor Phibes
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #8

                  If there's one thing I've learned in the last 15 or so years, it's don't come here for financial advice 😆

                  I was only joking

                  HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                  • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                    If there's one thing I've learned in the last 15 or so years, it's don't come here for financial advice 😆

                    HoraceH Offline
                    HoraceH Offline
                    Horace
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #9

                    @doctor-phibes said in Jesus... who do you believe?:

                    If there's one thing I've learned in the last 15 or so years, it's don't come here for financial advice 😆

                    I was pumping apple here three years ago when it was trading at $37 (split adjusted), now it's $178.

                    Education is extremely important.

                    Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
                    • HoraceH Horace

                      @doctor-phibes said in Jesus... who do you believe?:

                      If there's one thing I've learned in the last 15 or so years, it's don't come here for financial advice 😆

                      I was pumping apple here three years ago when it was trading at $37 (split adjusted), now it's $178.

                      Doctor PhibesD Online
                      Doctor PhibesD Online
                      Doctor Phibes
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #10

                      @horace said in Jesus... who do you believe?:

                      @doctor-phibes said in Jesus... who do you believe?:

                      If there's one thing I've learned in the last 15 or so years, it's don't come here for financial advice 😆

                      I was pumping apple here three years ago when it was trading at $37 (split adjusted), now it's $178.

                      Sure, and other people would be saying 'DON'T INVEST IN STOCKS, WE'RE ALL GONNA DIE!!!!!'

                      I was only joking

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • HoraceH Offline
                        HoraceH Offline
                        Horace
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #11

                        It's perennial advice to stay away from tech stocks, but it's also historically bad advice, but for the tech bubble where unprofitable companies did what any unprofitable company always does, go bankrupt.

                        Education is extremely important.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • ImprovisoI Offline
                          ImprovisoI Offline
                          Improviso
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #12

                          Heh... S&P 500 just closed at an all-time high.

                          We have the freedom to choose our actions, but we do not get to choose our consequences.
                          Yes, there are two paths you can go by, but in the long run, there's still time to change the road you're on.

                          HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                          • ImprovisoI Improviso

                            Heh... S&P 500 just closed at an all-time high.

                            HoraceH Offline
                            HoraceH Offline
                            Horace
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #13

                            @improviso said in Jesus... who do you believe?:

                            Heh... S&P 500 just closed at an all-time high.

                            So did juggernaut AAPL! AAPL has around 5x gains since 12/10/2018. S&P has around 2x gains. So much for how hard it is to beat the market... if one chooses a solid stock, accepts risk, and concentrates ones money.

                            Education is extremely important.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • ImprovisoI Offline
                              ImprovisoI Offline
                              Improviso
                              wrote on last edited by Improviso
                              #14

                              Never owned any apple products. Never liked their closed architecture policy.

                              But I did own AAPL some time ago. Paid for my pool with the profits. The grandkids LOVE it. It was worth it to me.

                              We have the freedom to choose our actions, but we do not get to choose our consequences.
                              Yes, there are two paths you can go by, but in the long run, there's still time to change the road you're on.

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