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The New Coffee Room

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  3. WWIII - Taiwan?

WWIII - Taiwan?

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  • JollyJ Jolly

    The Biden stuff is horseshit. We are rapidly heading into the zone where out military spending as a percentage of GDP is the lowest it has been in many, many years. You can't throw trillions of dollars at butter issues without it coming back to bite you in the ass.

    We are behind on chip manufacture. We ae behind on steel manufacture. We are behind on hyper-sonic missile manufacture. We are behind on warship manufacturing and our merchant fleet (sealift capacity) is a joke. Our counter espionage efforts are a joke, our borders leak like a sieve and our foremost law enforcement agency has spent six months of man hours and millions of dollars to chase down doofuses taking selfies in the Capitol rotunda.

    We have proven once again in Afghanistan that even when we walk away from a bad situation, anybody that supported us, is thrown to the wolves.

    And we have a doddering, frail, senile fool as our Resident-In-Chief.

    The Japanese economy and military were in worse shape comparatively in 1940, and they damn near cleaned our clock for us. If the carriers had been at Pearl on December 7th, they probably would have.

    Nah, Biden ain't got the guts. Taiwan is nothing but a speed bump and will be treated as such...

    X Offline
    X Offline
    xenon
    wrote on last edited by
    #3

    @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

    The Biden stuff is horseshit. We are rapidly heading into the zone where out military spending as a percentage of GDP is the lowest it has been in many, many years. You can't throw trillions of dollars at butter issues without it coming back to bite you in the ass.

    We are behind on chip manufacture. We ae behind on steel manufacture. We are behind on hyper-sonic missile manufacture. We are behind on warship manufacturing and our merchant fleet (sealift capacity) is a joke. Our counter espionage efforts are a joke, our borders leak like a sieve and our foremost law enforcement agency has spent six months of man hours and millions of dollars to chase down doofuses taking selfies in the Capitol rotunda.

    We have proven once again in Afghanistan that even when we walk away from a bad situation, anybody that supported us, is thrown to the wolves.

    And we have a doddering, frail, senile fool as our Resident-In-Chief.

    The Japanese economy and military were in worse shape comparatively in 1940, and they damn near cleaned our clock for us. If the carriers had been at Pearl on December 7th, they probably would have.

    Nah, Biden ain't got the guts. Taiwan is nothing but a speed bump and will be treated as such...

    Everything - except for the Biden factor and his health concerns - are pretty much exactly the same as they were during the Trump years.

    George KG LarryL JollyJ 3 Replies Last reply
    • X Offline
      X Offline
      xenon
      wrote on last edited by xenon
      #4

      Deleted - wrong thread.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • X xenon

        @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

        The Biden stuff is horseshit. We are rapidly heading into the zone where out military spending as a percentage of GDP is the lowest it has been in many, many years. You can't throw trillions of dollars at butter issues without it coming back to bite you in the ass.

        We are behind on chip manufacture. We ae behind on steel manufacture. We are behind on hyper-sonic missile manufacture. We are behind on warship manufacturing and our merchant fleet (sealift capacity) is a joke. Our counter espionage efforts are a joke, our borders leak like a sieve and our foremost law enforcement agency has spent six months of man hours and millions of dollars to chase down doofuses taking selfies in the Capitol rotunda.

        We have proven once again in Afghanistan that even when we walk away from a bad situation, anybody that supported us, is thrown to the wolves.

        And we have a doddering, frail, senile fool as our Resident-In-Chief.

        The Japanese economy and military were in worse shape comparatively in 1940, and they damn near cleaned our clock for us. If the carriers had been at Pearl on December 7th, they probably would have.

        Nah, Biden ain't got the guts. Taiwan is nothing but a speed bump and will be treated as such...

        Everything - except for the Biden factor and his health concerns - are pretty much exactly the same as they were during the Trump years.

        George KG Offline
        George KG Offline
        George K
        wrote on last edited by
        #5

        @xenon said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

        same as they were during the Trump years.

        And the two administrations before that.

        "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

        The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • X xenon

          @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

          The Biden stuff is horseshit. We are rapidly heading into the zone where out military spending as a percentage of GDP is the lowest it has been in many, many years. You can't throw trillions of dollars at butter issues without it coming back to bite you in the ass.

          We are behind on chip manufacture. We ae behind on steel manufacture. We are behind on hyper-sonic missile manufacture. We are behind on warship manufacturing and our merchant fleet (sealift capacity) is a joke. Our counter espionage efforts are a joke, our borders leak like a sieve and our foremost law enforcement agency has spent six months of man hours and millions of dollars to chase down doofuses taking selfies in the Capitol rotunda.

          We have proven once again in Afghanistan that even when we walk away from a bad situation, anybody that supported us, is thrown to the wolves.

          And we have a doddering, frail, senile fool as our Resident-In-Chief.

          The Japanese economy and military were in worse shape comparatively in 1940, and they damn near cleaned our clock for us. If the carriers had been at Pearl on December 7th, they probably would have.

          Nah, Biden ain't got the guts. Taiwan is nothing but a speed bump and will be treated as such...

          Everything - except for the Biden factor and his health concerns - are pretty much exactly the same as they were during the Trump years.

          LarryL Offline
          LarryL Offline
          Larry
          wrote on last edited by
          #6

          @xenon said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

          @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

          The Biden stuff is horseshit. We are rapidly heading into the zone where out military spending as a percentage of GDP is the lowest it has been in many, many years. You can't throw trillions of dollars at butter issues without it coming back to bite you in the ass.

          We are behind on chip manufacture. We ae behind on steel manufacture. We are behind on hyper-sonic missile manufacture. We are behind on warship manufacturing and our merchant fleet (sealift capacity) is a joke. Our counter espionage efforts are a joke, our borders leak like a sieve and our foremost law enforcement agency has spent six months of man hours and millions of dollars to chase down doofuses taking selfies in the Capitol rotunda.

          We have proven once again in Afghanistan that even when we walk away from a bad situation, anybody that supported us, is thrown to the wolves.

          And we have a doddering, frail, senile fool as our Resident-In-Chief.

          The Japanese economy and military were in worse shape comparatively in 1940, and they damn near cleaned our clock for us. If the carriers had been at Pearl on December 7th, they probably would have.

          Nah, Biden ain't got the guts. Taiwan is nothing but a speed bump and will be treated as such...

          Everything - except for the Biden factor and his health concerns - are pretty much exactly the same as they were during the Trump years.

          You are incorrect. Trump was rebuilding the military. It still had a long way to go after 8 years of Obama doing everything he could to destroy it, but he HAD made a lot of progress. If the election hadn't been stolen (And it WAS stolen) he would have continued to rebuild the military.

          You Trump bashers are being proven wrong on a daily basis and you STILL don't get it.

          1 Reply Last reply
          • JollyJ Jolly

            The Biden stuff is horseshit. We are rapidly heading into the zone where out military spending as a percentage of GDP is the lowest it has been in many, many years. You can't throw trillions of dollars at butter issues without it coming back to bite you in the ass.

            We are behind on chip manufacture. We ae behind on steel manufacture. We are behind on hyper-sonic missile manufacture. We are behind on warship manufacturing and our merchant fleet (sealift capacity) is a joke. Our counter espionage efforts are a joke, our borders leak like a sieve and our foremost law enforcement agency has spent six months of man hours and millions of dollars to chase down doofuses taking selfies in the Capitol rotunda.

            We have proven once again in Afghanistan that even when we walk away from a bad situation, anybody that supported us, is thrown to the wolves.

            And we have a doddering, frail, senile fool as our Resident-In-Chief.

            The Japanese economy and military were in worse shape comparatively in 1940, and they damn near cleaned our clock for us. If the carriers had been at Pearl on December 7th, they probably would have.

            Nah, Biden ain't got the guts. Taiwan is nothing but a speed bump and will be treated as such...

            RenaudaR Offline
            RenaudaR Offline
            Renauda
            wrote on last edited by Renauda
            #7

            @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

            The Japanese economy and military were in worse shape comparatively in 1940, and they damn near cleaned our clock for us. If the carriers had been at Pearl on December 7th, they probably would have.

            Not likely. The US would have been delayed a year but would have recovered and prevailed over Japan in any event. The war may have lasted another six months at most. In that year delay though, the US would have been in a similar predicament as Britain was against Germany - without Japan regularly bombing the US mainland - until its victory at El Alamein and Operation Torch was launched in November 1942 which brought US ground troops into the European war theatre.

            Elbows up!

            JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
            • X xenon

              @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

              The Biden stuff is horseshit. We are rapidly heading into the zone where out military spending as a percentage of GDP is the lowest it has been in many, many years. You can't throw trillions of dollars at butter issues without it coming back to bite you in the ass.

              We are behind on chip manufacture. We ae behind on steel manufacture. We are behind on hyper-sonic missile manufacture. We are behind on warship manufacturing and our merchant fleet (sealift capacity) is a joke. Our counter espionage efforts are a joke, our borders leak like a sieve and our foremost law enforcement agency has spent six months of man hours and millions of dollars to chase down doofuses taking selfies in the Capitol rotunda.

              We have proven once again in Afghanistan that even when we walk away from a bad situation, anybody that supported us, is thrown to the wolves.

              And we have a doddering, frail, senile fool as our Resident-In-Chief.

              The Japanese economy and military were in worse shape comparatively in 1940, and they damn near cleaned our clock for us. If the carriers had been at Pearl on December 7th, they probably would have.

              Nah, Biden ain't got the guts. Taiwan is nothing but a speed bump and will be treated as such...

              Everything - except for the Biden factor and his health concerns - are pretty much exactly the same as they were during the Trump years.

              JollyJ Offline
              JollyJ Offline
              Jolly
              wrote on last edited by
              #8

              @xenon said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

              @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

              The Biden stuff is horseshit. We are rapidly heading into the zone where out military spending as a percentage of GDP is the lowest it has been in many, many years. You can't throw trillions of dollars at butter issues without it coming back to bite you in the ass.

              We are behind on chip manufacture. We ae behind on steel manufacture. We are behind on hyper-sonic missile manufacture. We are behind on warship manufacturing and our merchant fleet (sealift capacity) is a joke. Our counter espionage efforts are a joke, our borders leak like a sieve and our foremost law enforcement agency has spent six months of man hours and millions of dollars to chase down doofuses taking selfies in the Capitol rotunda.

              We have proven once again in Afghanistan that even when we walk away from a bad situation, anybody that supported us, is thrown to the wolves.

              And we have a doddering, frail, senile fool as our Resident-In-Chief.

              The Japanese economy and military were in worse shape comparatively in 1940, and they damn near cleaned our clock for us. If the carriers had been at Pearl on December 7th, they probably would have.

              Nah, Biden ain't got the guts. Taiwan is nothing but a speed bump and will be treated as such...

              Everything - except for the Biden factor and his health concerns - are pretty much exactly the same as they were during the Trump years.

              Au contraire, mon cher. Trump had increased military spending over Mr. Obama and he had a yuge point in his favor...Would you like to bet that Donald J. Trump wasn't just crazy enough to not give up Taiwan, and would go to the mattresses over the island?

              “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

              Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

              X taiwan_girlT 2 Replies Last reply
              • RenaudaR Renauda

                @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                The Japanese economy and military were in worse shape comparatively in 1940, and they damn near cleaned our clock for us. If the carriers had been at Pearl on December 7th, they probably would have.

                Not likely. The US would have been delayed a year but would have recovered and prevailed over Japan in any event. The war may have lasted another six months at most. In that year delay though, the US would have been in a similar predicament as Britain was against Germany - without Japan regularly bombing the US mainland - until its victory at El Alamein and Operation Torch was launched in November 1942 which brought US ground troops into the European war theatre.

                JollyJ Offline
                JollyJ Offline
                Jolly
                wrote on last edited by
                #9

                @renauda said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                The Japanese economy and military were in worse shape comparatively in 1940, and they damn near cleaned our clock for us. If the carriers had been at Pearl on December 7th, they probably would have.

                Not likely. The US would have been delayed a year but would have recovered and prevailed over Japan in any event. The war may have lasted another six months at most. In that year delay though, the US would have been in a similar predicament as Britain was against Germany - without Japan regularly bombing the US mainland - until its victory at El Alamein and Operation Torch was launched in November 1942 which brought US ground troops into the European war theatre.

                I'm not so sure. Without the carriers, there is no Battle of the Coral Sea, there is no Midway. And remember, Midway took place in June of 1942, six months after Pearl. Certainly no Guadalcanal. Not to mention, the Essex class didn't arrive until almost 1943. That leaves only some hastily completed LAC's, which was not enough to defend Hawaii, should the Japanese really wanted to invade the island. And certainly leaving nothing to defend Australia, if they wished to take it over.

                Should they have done so, the U.S. would have been many years reasserting itself as a power in the Pacific.

                “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                RenaudaR 1 Reply Last reply
                • JollyJ Jolly

                  @xenon said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                  @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                  The Biden stuff is horseshit. We are rapidly heading into the zone where out military spending as a percentage of GDP is the lowest it has been in many, many years. You can't throw trillions of dollars at butter issues without it coming back to bite you in the ass.

                  We are behind on chip manufacture. We ae behind on steel manufacture. We are behind on hyper-sonic missile manufacture. We are behind on warship manufacturing and our merchant fleet (sealift capacity) is a joke. Our counter espionage efforts are a joke, our borders leak like a sieve and our foremost law enforcement agency has spent six months of man hours and millions of dollars to chase down doofuses taking selfies in the Capitol rotunda.

                  We have proven once again in Afghanistan that even when we walk away from a bad situation, anybody that supported us, is thrown to the wolves.

                  And we have a doddering, frail, senile fool as our Resident-In-Chief.

                  The Japanese economy and military were in worse shape comparatively in 1940, and they damn near cleaned our clock for us. If the carriers had been at Pearl on December 7th, they probably would have.

                  Nah, Biden ain't got the guts. Taiwan is nothing but a speed bump and will be treated as such...

                  Everything - except for the Biden factor and his health concerns - are pretty much exactly the same as they were during the Trump years.

                  Au contraire, mon cher. Trump had increased military spending over Mr. Obama and he had a yuge point in his favor...Would you like to bet that Donald J. Trump wasn't just crazy enough to not give up Taiwan, and would go to the mattresses over the island?

                  X Offline
                  X Offline
                  xenon
                  wrote on last edited by xenon
                  #10

                  @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                  @xenon said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                  @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                  The Biden stuff is horseshit. We are rapidly heading into the zone where out military spending as a percentage of GDP is the lowest it has been in many, many years. You can't throw trillions of dollars at butter issues without it coming back to bite you in the ass.

                  We are behind on chip manufacture. We ae behind on steel manufacture. We are behind on hyper-sonic missile manufacture. We are behind on warship manufacturing and our merchant fleet (sealift capacity) is a joke. Our counter espionage efforts are a joke, our borders leak like a sieve and our foremost law enforcement agency has spent six months of man hours and millions of dollars to chase down doofuses taking selfies in the Capitol rotunda.

                  We have proven once again in Afghanistan that even when we walk away from a bad situation, anybody that supported us, is thrown to the wolves.

                  And we have a doddering, frail, senile fool as our Resident-In-Chief.

                  The Japanese economy and military were in worse shape comparatively in 1940, and they damn near cleaned our clock for us. If the carriers had been at Pearl on December 7th, they probably would have.

                  Nah, Biden ain't got the guts. Taiwan is nothing but a speed bump and will be treated as such...

                  Everything - except for the Biden factor and his health concerns - are pretty much exactly the same as they were during the Trump years.

                  Au contraire, mon cher. Trump had increased military spending over Mr. Obama and he had a yuge point in his favor...Would you like to bet that Donald J. Trump wasn't just crazy enough to not give up Taiwan, and would go to the mattresses over the island?

                  alt text

                  I have no idea what Trump would have done with Taiwan. He has no consistent stance on engaging in wars overseas (though generally doesn’t like large overseas troop deployments).

                  Obama’s spending on military was also higher than Trump’s initially, but drew down as our presence in the Middle East drew down.

                  From Trump’s statement, I would have thought he’d aim for lower military budgets (fewer deployments).

                  I know a big part of his military budget increase was pay - dunno what else he actually “rebuilt”. I don’t think procurement and capital spend increased a huge amount.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • JollyJ Jolly

                    @renauda said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                    @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                    The Japanese economy and military were in worse shape comparatively in 1940, and they damn near cleaned our clock for us. If the carriers had been at Pearl on December 7th, they probably would have.

                    Not likely. The US would have been delayed a year but would have recovered and prevailed over Japan in any event. The war may have lasted another six months at most. In that year delay though, the US would have been in a similar predicament as Britain was against Germany - without Japan regularly bombing the US mainland - until its victory at El Alamein and Operation Torch was launched in November 1942 which brought US ground troops into the European war theatre.

                    I'm not so sure. Without the carriers, there is no Battle of the Coral Sea, there is no Midway. And remember, Midway took place in June of 1942, six months after Pearl. Certainly no Guadalcanal. Not to mention, the Essex class didn't arrive until almost 1943. That leaves only some hastily completed LAC's, which was not enough to defend Hawaii, should the Japanese really wanted to invade the island. And certainly leaving nothing to defend Australia, if they wished to take it over.

                    Should they have done so, the U.S. would have been many years reasserting itself as a power in the Pacific.

                    RenaudaR Offline
                    RenaudaR Offline
                    Renauda
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #11

                    @jolly

                    You raise good points but I think we will have to agree to disagree on this. I think you are underestimating the USA's capacity to fast track production and engage in total war against Imperial Japan. Had the US lost those carriers at Pearl Harbor it would have delayed the US response but not lost it the war.

                    Elbows up!

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • X Offline
                      X Offline
                      xenon
                      wrote on last edited by xenon
                      #12

                      Also - we let China scoop up Hong Kong. Russia took part of Ukraine.

                      I don’t know the nuance of Asian politics that well - but I don’t know the reason we’d go to war over Taiwan and not HK.

                      I don’t think regular Americans give a flying F about Taiwan.

                      JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                      • JollyJ Offline
                        JollyJ Offline
                        Jolly
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #13

                        I think the U.S may have ceded territories such as the Phillipines, to keep the Japanese out of Australia and to protect the U.S. west coast. Remember, ours was a Germany first policy and we moved production mountains as it was.

                        More strain for the Pacific meant something had to take a backseat or not be addressed at all. For instance, what would have happened to the Red Army, without Lend/Lease?

                        “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                        Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                        RenaudaR 1 Reply Last reply
                        • X xenon

                          Also - we let China scoop up Hong Kong. Russia took part of Ukraine.

                          I don’t know the nuance of Asian politics that well - but I don’t know the reason we’d go to war over Taiwan and not HK.

                          I don’t think regular Americans give a flying F about Taiwan.

                          JollyJ Offline
                          JollyJ Offline
                          Jolly
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #14

                          @xenon said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                          Also - we let China scoop up Hong Kong. Russia took part of Ukraine.

                          I don’t know the nuance of Asian politics that well - but I don’t know the reason we’d go to war over Taiwan and not HK.

                          I don’t think regular Americans give a flying F about Taiwan.

                          Hong Kong is a British show, not American.

                          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • CopperC Offline
                            CopperC Offline
                            Copper
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #15

                            If today's media guys were there,

                            Tucker Carlson would be the only one to report on Pearl Harbor

                            The others would be reporting on Jewish racists in Europe

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • AxtremusA Away
                              AxtremusA Away
                              Axtremus
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #16

                              @Jolly , @Mik, what are your preferred US policies regarding Taiwan?

                              MikM 1 Reply Last reply
                              • LarryL Offline
                                LarryL Offline
                                Larry
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #17

                                @xenon said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                                @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                                @xenon said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                                @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                                The Biden stuff is horseshit. We are rapidly heading into the zone where out military spending as a percentage of GDP is the lowest it has been in many, many years. You can't throw trillions of dollars at butter issues without it coming back to bite you in the ass.

                                We are behind on chip manufacture. We ae behind on steel manufacture. We are behind on hyper-sonic missile manufacture. We are behind on warship manufacturing and our merchant fleet (sealift capacity) is a joke. Our counter espionage efforts are a joke, our borders leak like a sieve and our foremost law enforcement agency has spent six months of man hours and millions of dollars to chase down doofuses taking selfies in the Capitol rotunda.

                                We have proven once again in Afghanistan that even when we walk away from a bad situation, anybody that supported us, is thrown to the wolves.

                                And we have a doddering, frail, senile fool as our Resident-In-Chief.

                                The Japanese economy and military were in worse shape comparatively in 1940, and they damn near cleaned our clock for us. If the carriers had been at Pearl on December 7th, they probably would have.

                                Nah, Biden ain't got the guts. Taiwan is nothing but a speed bump and will be treated as such...

                                Everything - except for the Biden factor and his health concerns - are pretty much exactly the same as they were during the Trump years.

                                Au contraire, mon cher. Trump had increased military spending over Mr. Obama and he had a yuge point in his favor...Would you like to bet that Donald J. Trump wasn't just crazy enough to not give up Taiwan, and would go to the mattresses over the island?

                                alt text

                                I have no idea what Trump would have done with Taiwan. He has no consistent stance on engaging in wars overseas (though generally doesn’t like large overseas troop deployments).

                                Obama’s spending on military was also higher than Trump’s initially, but drew down as our presence in the Middle East drew down.

                                From Trump’s statement, I would have thought he’d aim for lower military budgets (fewer deployments).

                                I know a big part of his military budget increase was pay - dunno what else he actually “rebuilt”. I don’t think procurement and capital spend increased a huge amount.

                                You come from such a point of utter ignorance that it is impossible to even begin to correct your errors. Jesus H. Crisp.

                                X 1 Reply Last reply
                                • JollyJ Jolly

                                  I think the U.S may have ceded territories such as the Phillipines, to keep the Japanese out of Australia and to protect the U.S. west coast. Remember, ours was a Germany first policy and we moved production mountains as it was.

                                  More strain for the Pacific meant something had to take a backseat or not be addressed at all. For instance, what would have happened to the Red Army, without Lend/Lease?

                                  RenaudaR Offline
                                  RenaudaR Offline
                                  Renauda
                                  wrote on last edited by Renauda
                                  #18

                                  @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                                  I think the U.S may have ceded territories such as the Phillipines, to keep the Japanese out of Australia and to protect the U.S. west coast. Remember, ours was a Germany first policy and we moved production mountains as it was.

                                  More strain for the Pacific meant something had to take a backseat or not be addressed at all. For instance, what would have happened to the Red Army, without Lend/Lease?

                                  That's possible about the Philippines although I think it would have been a short term retreat. As to the Germany first policy that was because Roosevelt and Marshall agreed along with Churchill that Germany was the strongest most dangerous of the AXIS powers. Even then not everyone agreed with the policy; certainly Admiral King opposed the Germany First policy and felt the US should focus on the Pacific theatre.

                                  As for what would have happened to the Red Army in the absence of Lend Lease? There are books written on that topic and few are in agreement with how events would have unraveled. Suffice to say that without Lend Lease, in my opinion, the Soviets would have continued to lose men and materiel at an unimaginable rate. Meanwhile the Nazis would have continued to stretch their supply lines as the front expanded and Russians retreated destroying and moving any industrial capacity. Stalin probably would have even made a serious attempt at an armistice to buy time and regroup. It may have even lasted a few years. Eventually and when ready however, he would have counter attacked en mass and driven the Germans back at least to the 1939 USSR Polish border. Either way Germany was toast, simply because Hitler had declared war on the US following Pearl Harbor.

                                  Elbows up!

                                  JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                                  • LarryL Offline
                                    LarryL Offline
                                    Larry
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #19

                                    I can tell you that to this very day the people of the philippines remember the Americans with honor for what we did in the Gulf of Leyte.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • AxtremusA Axtremus

                                      @Jolly , @Mik, what are your preferred US policies regarding Taiwan?

                                      MikM Away
                                      MikM Away
                                      Mik
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #20

                                      @axtremus said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                                      @Jolly , @Mik, what are your preferred US policies regarding Taiwan?

                                      alt text

                                      “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • LarryL Larry

                                        @xenon said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                                        @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                                        @xenon said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                                        @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                                        The Biden stuff is horseshit. We are rapidly heading into the zone where out military spending as a percentage of GDP is the lowest it has been in many, many years. You can't throw trillions of dollars at butter issues without it coming back to bite you in the ass.

                                        We are behind on chip manufacture. We ae behind on steel manufacture. We are behind on hyper-sonic missile manufacture. We are behind on warship manufacturing and our merchant fleet (sealift capacity) is a joke. Our counter espionage efforts are a joke, our borders leak like a sieve and our foremost law enforcement agency has spent six months of man hours and millions of dollars to chase down doofuses taking selfies in the Capitol rotunda.

                                        We have proven once again in Afghanistan that even when we walk away from a bad situation, anybody that supported us, is thrown to the wolves.

                                        And we have a doddering, frail, senile fool as our Resident-In-Chief.

                                        The Japanese economy and military were in worse shape comparatively in 1940, and they damn near cleaned our clock for us. If the carriers had been at Pearl on December 7th, they probably would have.

                                        Nah, Biden ain't got the guts. Taiwan is nothing but a speed bump and will be treated as such...

                                        Everything - except for the Biden factor and his health concerns - are pretty much exactly the same as they were during the Trump years.

                                        Au contraire, mon cher. Trump had increased military spending over Mr. Obama and he had a yuge point in his favor...Would you like to bet that Donald J. Trump wasn't just crazy enough to not give up Taiwan, and would go to the mattresses over the island?

                                        alt text

                                        I have no idea what Trump would have done with Taiwan. He has no consistent stance on engaging in wars overseas (though generally doesn’t like large overseas troop deployments).

                                        Obama’s spending on military was also higher than Trump’s initially, but drew down as our presence in the Middle East drew down.

                                        From Trump’s statement, I would have thought he’d aim for lower military budgets (fewer deployments).

                                        I know a big part of his military budget increase was pay - dunno what else he actually “rebuilt”. I don’t think procurement and capital spend increased a huge amount.

                                        You come from such a point of utter ignorance that it is impossible to even begin to correct your errors. Jesus H. Crisp.

                                        X Offline
                                        X Offline
                                        xenon
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #21

                                        @larry said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                                        @xenon said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                                        @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                                        @xenon said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                                        @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                                        The Biden stuff is horseshit. We are rapidly heading into the zone where out military spending as a percentage of GDP is the lowest it has been in many, many years. You can't throw trillions of dollars at butter issues without it coming back to bite you in the ass.

                                        We are behind on chip manufacture. We ae behind on steel manufacture. We are behind on hyper-sonic missile manufacture. We are behind on warship manufacturing and our merchant fleet (sealift capacity) is a joke. Our counter espionage efforts are a joke, our borders leak like a sieve and our foremost law enforcement agency has spent six months of man hours and millions of dollars to chase down doofuses taking selfies in the Capitol rotunda.

                                        We have proven once again in Afghanistan that even when we walk away from a bad situation, anybody that supported us, is thrown to the wolves.

                                        And we have a doddering, frail, senile fool as our Resident-In-Chief.

                                        The Japanese economy and military were in worse shape comparatively in 1940, and they damn near cleaned our clock for us. If the carriers had been at Pearl on December 7th, they probably would have.

                                        Nah, Biden ain't got the guts. Taiwan is nothing but a speed bump and will be treated as such...

                                        Everything - except for the Biden factor and his health concerns - are pretty much exactly the same as they were during the Trump years.

                                        Au contraire, mon cher. Trump had increased military spending over Mr. Obama and he had a yuge point in his favor...Would you like to bet that Donald J. Trump wasn't just crazy enough to not give up Taiwan, and would go to the mattresses over the island?

                                        alt text

                                        I have no idea what Trump would have done with Taiwan. He has no consistent stance on engaging in wars overseas (though generally doesn’t like large overseas troop deployments).

                                        Obama’s spending on military was also higher than Trump’s initially, but drew down as our presence in the Middle East drew down.

                                        From Trump’s statement, I would have thought he’d aim for lower military budgets (fewer deployments).

                                        I know a big part of his military budget increase was pay - dunno what else he actually “rebuilt”. I don’t think procurement and capital spend increased a huge amount.

                                        You come from such a point of utter ignorance that it is impossible to even begin to correct your errors. Jesus H. Crisp.

                                        So you’re saying my position is air tight. Nice!

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • RenaudaR Renauda

                                          @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                                          I think the U.S may have ceded territories such as the Phillipines, to keep the Japanese out of Australia and to protect the U.S. west coast. Remember, ours was a Germany first policy and we moved production mountains as it was.

                                          More strain for the Pacific meant something had to take a backseat or not be addressed at all. For instance, what would have happened to the Red Army, without Lend/Lease?

                                          That's possible about the Philippines although I think it would have been a short term retreat. As to the Germany first policy that was because Roosevelt and Marshall agreed along with Churchill that Germany was the strongest most dangerous of the AXIS powers. Even then not everyone agreed with the policy; certainly Admiral King opposed the Germany First policy and felt the US should focus on the Pacific theatre.

                                          As for what would have happened to the Red Army in the absence of Lend Lease? There are books written on that topic and few are in agreement with how events would have unraveled. Suffice to say that without Lend Lease, in my opinion, the Soviets would have continued to lose men and materiel at an unimaginable rate. Meanwhile the Nazis would have continued to stretch their supply lines as the front expanded and Russians retreated destroying and moving any industrial capacity. Stalin probably would have even made a serious attempt at an armistice to buy time and regroup. It may have even lasted a few years. Eventually and when ready however, he would have counter attacked en mass and driven the Germans back at least to the 1939 USSR Polish border. Either way Germany was toast, simply because Hitler had declared war on the US following Pearl Harbor.

                                          JollyJ Offline
                                          JollyJ Offline
                                          Jolly
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #22

                                          @renauda said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                                          @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                                          I think the U.S may have ceded territories such as the Phillipines, to keep the Japanese out of Australia and to protect the U.S. west coast. Remember, ours was a Germany first policy and we moved production mountains as it was.

                                          More strain for the Pacific meant something had to take a backseat or not be addressed at all. For instance, what would have happened to the Red Army, without Lend/Lease?

                                          That's possible about the Philippines although I think it would have been a short term retreat. As to the Germany first policy that was because Roosevelt and Marshall agreed along with Churchill that Germany was the strongest most dangerous of the AXIS powers. Even then not everyone agreed with the policy; certainly Admiral King opposed the Germany First policy and felt the US should focus on the Pacific theatre.

                                          As for what would have happened to the Red Army in the absence of Lend Lease? There are books written on that topic and few are in agreement with how events would have unraveled. Suffice to say that without Lend Lease, in my opinion, the Soviets would have continued to lose men and materiel at an unimaginable rate. Meanwhile the Nazis would have continued to stretch their supply lines as the front expanded and Russians retreated destroying and moving any industrial capacity. Stalin probably would have even made a serious attempt at an armistice to buy time and regroup. It may have even lasted a few years. Eventually and when ready however, he would have counter attacked en mass and driven the Germans back at least to the 1939 USSR Polish border. Either way Germany was toast, simply because Hitler had declared war on the US following Pearl Harbor.

                                          You're forgetting the Japanese. Without the U.S. to occupy them, there certainly is no love lost between the Japanese and the Russians. The Chinese may have bogged them down, but it certainly would have been interesting....

                                          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                          RenaudaR CopperC 2 Replies Last reply
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