Covid cases continue to plunge
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Not to mention the number of cycle on the PCR test has been decreased, supposedly to standardize and reduce false positives.
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“I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill
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@mik said in Covid cases continue to plunge:
Hmm.. not sure I understand that?
PCR cycles help you determine which DNA is in there, but any contamination also gets amplified, then you get false positives. You are not looking for contamination.
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@loki said in Covid cases continue to plunge:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
In the US the 7 day moving average has plunged from a high one month ago of 255k to 83k yesterday.
One month, 2/3 drop. Who would have guessed.
Plunge continues. 7 day moving average down to 70k today.
Deaths and hospitalizations plunging as well.
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@loki said in Covid cases continue to plunge:
7 day moving average of Daily deaths have plunged from 3429 on Jan 17(one month ago) to 2077 yesterday.
It's basically back where it was in early December. Is that particularly surprising? There was a huge increase following Thanksgiving, and another one after Christmas.
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@doctor-phibes said in Covid cases continue to plunge:
@loki said in Covid cases continue to plunge:
7 day moving average of Daily deaths have plunged from 3429 on Jan 17(one month ago) to 2077 yesterday.
It's basically back where it was in early December. Is that particularly surprising? There was a huge increase following Thanksgiving, and another one after Christmas.
But but but the virulent South Africa strain with the huuge R0 that was taking over all cases and looked like the vaccines wouldn’t work. That was science a month ago.
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I don't think that expressing concern about potentially more dangerous variants is particularly unwise.
What would you prefer? Have people say things like "We have it totally under control. It's one person coming in from China. We have it under control. It's going to be just fine."
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@doctor-phibes said in Covid cases continue to plunge:
I don't think that expressing concern about potentially more dangerous variants is particularly unwise.
What would you prefer? Have people say things like "We have it totally under control. It's one person coming in from China. We have it under control. It's going to be just fine."
All I am saying is the drop was not predicted by anyone. I have also always suspected many more people have had Covid than we realize and also heaping scorn on people that tell us herd immunity may come sooner rather than later is uncallled for. The trust science crowd may be listening to the wrong scientists.
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As I said, the death rate is roughly the same as it was in early December. The scientists predicted a big surge after Thanksgiving and Christmas, and sadly they were right.
I think it's too early to declare victory at this stage, but hopefully it will continue to decline - that would be wonderful.
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@loki said in Covid cases continue to plunge:
All I am saying is the drop was not predicted by anyone.
It was predicted by just about everyone who thought the whole thing was just a hoax concocted to trash Mr. Trump.
Of course it can't go right to zero after the inauguration, too obvious.
But it will come down steadily.
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@copper said in Covid cases continue to plunge:
@loki said in Covid cases continue to plunge:
All I am saying is the drop was not predicted by anyone.
It was predicted by just about everyone who thought the whole thing was just a hoax concocted to trash Mr. Trump.
Of course it can't go right to zero after the inauguration, too obvious.
But it will come down steadily.
@copper said in Covid cases continue to plunge:
@loki said in Covid cases continue to plunge:
All I am saying is the drop was not predicted by anyone.
It was predicted by just about everyone who thought the whole thing was just a hoax concocted to trash Mr. Trump.
Of course it can't go right to zero after the inauguration, too obvious.
But it will come down steadily.
Yeah, this virus is no fun without a good conspiracy theory thrown in. Deep state, barge, whoever those lever pullers are, they sure are cunning! -
@copper said in Covid cases continue to plunge:
It was predicted by just about everyone who thought the whole thing was just a hoax concocted to trash Mr. Trump.
Idiots, you mean.
Proud supporter of Plan 2525.
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@doctor-phibes said in Covid cases continue to plunge:
@copper said in Covid cases continue to plunge:
It was predicted by just about everyone who thought the whole thing was just a hoax concocted to trash Mr. Trump.
Idiots, you mean.
I, uh, hate to judge before all the facts are in
