Puzzle time: the baseball fan
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I should be more specific
Link to video -
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Your reasoning doesn’t make any sense. What if his team was down 0-1 games when he left and 0-3 games upon his return? Surely the odds of his team winning the series would have dropped considerably, even though all the games are independent.
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Well, you didn't specify what "Should you be happy?" means.
If I were a stoic, for instance, all that would matter to make me happy was whether the team played as well as they could, and it wouldn't matter whether they won or lost.
I figured that "one game each" is better than what is to be expected at the given odds, hence one should be happy.
But you seem to mean something else.
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You know what's funny?
My kid's old math circle mailed this question out Sunday. I have nobody to ask any clarifying questions of, they send out hints Tuesday and Thursday and an answer Saturday. But somehow I managed.
I think there's a skill called 'questionology' that I'm apparently better at than you and Ax.
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You guys should become a comedy troupe!!!
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@jon-nyc said in Puzzle time: the baseball fan:
I think there's a skill called 'questionology' that I'm apparently better at than you and Ax.
The difference is that you know you have nobody to ask for clarification, whereas for us its a small investment to ask a clarifying question compared to investing valuable brain time for questionology. You are not better; you are just in a situation with less options
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@jon-nyc said in Puzzle time: the baseball fan:
You’re comparing the time before the first game to the time after,
Should be the time before the camping trip to the time after.
Oh, you are right.
Looks like the probabilities are identical, then: both are 0.1792.
