That Santa Clara study is starting to look accurate

[George K]

New York antibody study estimates 13.9% of residents have had the coronavirus

The state randomly tested 3,000 people at grocery stores and shopping locations across 19 counties in 40 localities to see if they had the antibodies to fight the coronavirus, indicating they have had the virus and recovered from it, Cuomo said.

With more than 19.4 million people residents, according to U.S. Census data, the preliminary results indicate that at least 2.7 million New Yorkers have been infected with Covid-19.

The results differed across the state with the largest concentration of positive antibody tests found in New York City at 21.2%. In Long Island, 16.7% of the people tested were positive and in Westchester, where the state’s first major outbreak originated, 11.7% of the tests were positive. The Covid-19 pandemic across the rest of the state is relatively contained with just 3.6% of positive test results.

“What we found so far is that the state-wide number is 13.9% tested positive for having the antibodies,” he said. “They were infected three weeks ago, four weeks ago, five weeks ago, six weeks ago, but they had the virus, they developed the antibodies and they are now recovered.”

[jon-nyc]

Maybe if you spread NYC infections across NYS population.

The Santa Clara study would imply somewhere between 95 and 150% of New York City residents are infected.

[George K]

@jon-nyc said in That Santa Clara study is starting to look accurate:

Only if you spread NYC infections across NYS population.

The Santa Clara study would imply somewhere between 95 and 150% of New York City residents are infected.

Yeah, I know. The takeaway from Santa Clara, at least for me, was the number of infected is far, far, bigger than we thought. Imagine what it'll look like in 6 weeks.

[Horace]

Many of us right here on TNCR are probably in cohorts reasonably likely to have already had COVID.

[QuantumIvory]

As I mentioned elsewhere, in early February I got sick. I had extreme fatigue, dry cough and body aches. No fever, however. Later in March I was talking to someone who works in a hospital lab and this person told me they were getting tons of negatives on flu tests. They even contacted other labs to see if they were getting the same results. They were.

I understand there are false negatives in any test...but tons of them? And in other labs too?