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The New Coffee Room

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  3. Georgia with an interesting experiment

Georgia with an interesting experiment

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  • jon-nycJ Offline
    jon-nycJ Offline
    jon-nyc
    wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
    #13

    It's a good question, I was going to start a thread on it.

    It seems like there are some businesses where you can match reasonable economics with reasonable safety, in principle at least.

    (I say in principle, because I don't know how good our grasp is on the efficacy of particular social distancing and sanitization measures in particular environments, but let's set that aside for now. Also, different people will have different views on what constitutes 'reasonable' safety. Let's set that aside too)

    Some business can probably operate with reasonable constraints and be economically viable. This is the best of both worlds. Your average local hardware store might well be in this category. People usually need something enough to be willing to stand in line if they need to, and the business model doesn't require high traffic to pay the rent.

    Other businesses aren't so easy. A bad example would be sit-down restaurants in Manhattan or movie theatres. There may well no set of guidelines that would give reasonable safety to the clientele and support the economics of the business. This could put you in the worst of both worlds, where we create a significant disease vector and the business still isn't viable.

    I would say gyms are firmly in the latter camp. In practice at least, since demand for them is concentrated at certain times.

    Only non-witches get due process.

    • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
    L JollyJ 2 Replies Last reply
    • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

      It's a good question, I was going to start a thread on it.

      It seems like there are some businesses where you can match reasonable economics with reasonable safety, in principle at least.

      (I say in principle, because I don't know how good our grasp is on the efficacy of particular social distancing and sanitization measures in particular environments, but let's set that aside for now. Also, different people will have different views on what constitutes 'reasonable' safety. Let's set that aside too)

      Some business can probably operate with reasonable constraints and be economically viable. This is the best of both worlds. Your average local hardware store might well be in this category. People usually need something enough to be willing to stand in line if they need to, and the business model doesn't require high traffic to pay the rent.

      Other businesses aren't so easy. A bad example would be sit-down restaurants in Manhattan or movie theatres. There may well no set of guidelines that would give reasonable safety to the clientele and support the economics of the business. This could put you in the worst of both worlds, where we create a significant disease vector and the business still isn't viable.

      I would say gyms are firmly in the latter camp. In practice at least, since demand for them is concentrated at certain times.

      L Offline
      L Offline
      Loki
      wrote on last edited by
      #14

      Love the worst of both worlds comment. But thinking about what’s opening I see employment for those on the low end of the pay scale, I see not lots of traffic/high density mobilization of the public and gyms in particular can start charging their subscriptions again?

      Theaters- that just strange but must fit a category.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • jon-nycJ Offline
        jon-nycJ Offline
        jon-nyc
        wrote on last edited by
        #15

        I also see an adverse selection problem. The gyms and movie theaters could open tomorrow and I bet very few people here would start going.

        The people who self-select to hit the gym would be those who have been less concerned about social distancing in the first place. They're probably some of the same people that Jolly described in WalMart.

        Only non-witches get due process.

        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
        1 Reply Last reply
        • jon-nycJ Offline
          jon-nycJ Offline
          jon-nyc
          wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
          #16

          Gyms are a weird case too because of their subscription models and the way they make it a little hard to cancel.

          I quit my gym a couple weeks early. I'm guessing a lot of people never did, but the gyms quit charging the when they had to close.

          If they could reopen tomorrow, they'd immediately start charging everyone, despite the fact that most wouldn't come. It would take time for their revenue to decline, and many people who were afraid to go might never bother canceling. (just like at any time other than January some huge percentage of gym members don't go but still get charged every month)

          Only non-witches get due process.

          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
          1 Reply Last reply
          • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

            It's a good question, I was going to start a thread on it.

            It seems like there are some businesses where you can match reasonable economics with reasonable safety, in principle at least.

            (I say in principle, because I don't know how good our grasp is on the efficacy of particular social distancing and sanitization measures in particular environments, but let's set that aside for now. Also, different people will have different views on what constitutes 'reasonable' safety. Let's set that aside too)

            Some business can probably operate with reasonable constraints and be economically viable. This is the best of both worlds. Your average local hardware store might well be in this category. People usually need something enough to be willing to stand in line if they need to, and the business model doesn't require high traffic to pay the rent.

            Other businesses aren't so easy. A bad example would be sit-down restaurants in Manhattan or movie theatres. There may well no set of guidelines that would give reasonable safety to the clientele and support the economics of the business. This could put you in the worst of both worlds, where we create a significant disease vector and the business still isn't viable.

            I would say gyms are firmly in the latter camp. In practice at least, since demand for them is concentrated at certain times.

            JollyJ Offline
            JollyJ Offline
            Jolly
            wrote on last edited by
            #17

            @jon-nyc said in Georgia with an interesting experiment:

            It's a good question, I was going to start a thread on it.

            It seems like there are some businesses where you can match reasonable economics with reasonable safety, in principle at least.

            (I say in principle, because I don't know how good our grasp is on the efficacy of particular social distancing and sanitization measures in particular environments, but let's set that aside for now. Also, different people will have different views on what constitutes 'reasonable' safety. Let's set that aside too)

            Some business can probably operate with reasonable constraints and be economically viable. This is the best of both worlds. Your average local hardware store might well be in this category. People usually need something enough to be willing to stand in line if they need to, and the business model doesn't require high traffic to pay the rent.

            Other businesses aren't so easy. A bad example would be sit-down restaurants in Manhattan or movie theatres. There may well no set of guidelines that would give reasonable safety to the clientele and support the economics of the business. This could put you in the worst of both worlds, where we create a significant disease vector and the business still isn't viable.

            I would say gyms are firmly in the latter camp. In practice at least, since demand for them is concentrated at certain times.

            Hardware stores here offer curbside services. Order it online or call and tell them what you need.

            “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

            Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

            LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
            • L Offline
              L Offline
              Loki
              wrote on last edited by Loki
              #18

              If I were governor I would not have done this at this time. There was no need to have it be yesterday, except for politics. Could have easily been May 1 or could have started with things relating to the shore and islands. That said it does offer to the poor and minorities a reopening of their community which no one is talking about yet.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • JollyJ Jolly

                @jon-nyc said in Georgia with an interesting experiment:

                It's a good question, I was going to start a thread on it.

                It seems like there are some businesses where you can match reasonable economics with reasonable safety, in principle at least.

                (I say in principle, because I don't know how good our grasp is on the efficacy of particular social distancing and sanitization measures in particular environments, but let's set that aside for now. Also, different people will have different views on what constitutes 'reasonable' safety. Let's set that aside too)

                Some business can probably operate with reasonable constraints and be economically viable. This is the best of both worlds. Your average local hardware store might well be in this category. People usually need something enough to be willing to stand in line if they need to, and the business model doesn't require high traffic to pay the rent.

                Other businesses aren't so easy. A bad example would be sit-down restaurants in Manhattan or movie theatres. There may well no set of guidelines that would give reasonable safety to the clientele and support the economics of the business. This could put you in the worst of both worlds, where we create a significant disease vector and the business still isn't viable.

                I would say gyms are firmly in the latter camp. In practice at least, since demand for them is concentrated at certain times.

                Hardware stores here offer curbside services. Order it online or call and tell them what you need.

                LuFins DadL Offline
                LuFins DadL Offline
                LuFins Dad
                wrote on last edited by
                #19

                @Jolly Yeah, but hardware stores still need that impulse sale. That means in store traffic.

                The Brad

                1 Reply Last reply
                • Doctor PhibesD Offline
                  Doctor PhibesD Offline
                  Doctor Phibes
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #20

                  This being the US, if Georgia experiences a large increase in illness, what are the chances that the Governor gets his ass sued?

                  I was only joking

                  Aqua LetiferA 1 Reply Last reply
                  • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                    This being the US, if Georgia experiences a large increase in illness, what are the chances that the Governor gets his ass sued?

                    Aqua LetiferA Offline
                    Aqua LetiferA Offline
                    Aqua Letifer
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #21

                    @Doctor-Phibes said in Georgia with an interesting experiment:

                    This being the US, if Georgia experiences a large increase in illness, what are the chances that the Governor gets his ass sued?

                    No chance at all. Phibes, this is America, and if we want to express our God-given right to put others in hospital because we don't want to wear face coverings like them damn antifa, that is our prerogative! You don't get to tell me that I need to keep other people safe, that's commie shit.

                    Please love yourself.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • CopperC Offline
                      CopperC Offline
                      Copper
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #22

                      The Georgia governor's tweet about this started with

                      "Due to favorable data & more testing..."

                      What data?

                      I think it is good that this process is starting. I hope there is some reasonable objective criteria, but I don't know what it is.

                      Also the opening doesn't happen until Friday so there is time to slow down or change course.

                      The idea that nobody will get sick if you yell and insult people enough cannot be the basis of our policy.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • jon-nycJ Offline
                        jon-nycJ Offline
                        jon-nyc
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #23

                        It can’t? Well then. I’m going to have to rethink my position.

                        Thanks, Copper.

                        Only non-witches get due process.

                        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • CopperC Offline
                          CopperC Offline
                          Copper
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #24

                          OK, maybe it can, but I'd prefer something else.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • MikM Offline
                            MikM Offline
                            Mik
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #25

                            alt text

                            “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • Doctor PhibesD Offline
                              Doctor PhibesD Offline
                              Doctor Phibes
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #26

                              It might be worth asking how many people in Georgia go to the gym.

                              I was only joking

                              JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                              • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                                It might be worth asking how many people in Georgia go to the gym.

                                JollyJ Offline
                                JollyJ Offline
                                Jolly
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #27

                                @Doctor-Phibes said in Georgia with an interesting experiment:

                                It might be worth asking how many people in Georgia go to the gym.

                                Some guys do...

                                alt text

                                “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                  Opening some of the highest risk stuff Friday and Monday. Gyms , restaurants, nail places, theaters.

                                  L Offline
                                  L Offline
                                  Loki
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #28

                                  Governor DeWine has been seen as the reasoned approach. Is everyone good with businesses re-opening in Ohio on May 1?

                                  CopperC jon-nycJ 2 Replies Last reply
                                  • MikM Offline
                                    MikM Offline
                                    Mik
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #29

                                    With SOME businesses. Not a wholesale opening.

                                    “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • L Loki

                                      Governor DeWine has been seen as the reasoned approach. Is everyone good with businesses re-opening in Ohio on May 1?

                                      CopperC Offline
                                      CopperC Offline
                                      Copper
                                      wrote on last edited by Copper
                                      #30

                                      @Loki said in Georgia with an interesting experiment:

                                      Governor DeWine has been seen as the reasoned approach. Is everyone good with businesses re-opening in Ohio on May 1?

                                      People can look at the same facts and reach different conclusions

                                      https://www.facebook.com/pjmbc1980/videos/3171501119528655/

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • L Loki

                                        Governor DeWine has been seen as the reasoned approach. Is everyone good with businesses re-opening in Ohio on May 1?

                                        jon-nycJ Offline
                                        jon-nycJ Offline
                                        jon-nyc
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #31

                                        @Loki said in Georgia with an interesting experiment:

                                        Governor DeWine has been seen as the reasoned approach. Is everyone good with businesses re-opening in Ohio on May 1?

                                        I haven't seen the details. Its not really about a date, its about the preparations and the details of what's being opened and how. I would imagine, based on how I've seen him operate so far, that he has a coherent plan driving the date. But again, I haven't seen the details.

                                        Only non-witches get due process.

                                        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • jon-nycJ Offline
                                          jon-nycJ Offline
                                          jon-nyc
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #32

                                          He has no political cover now. I wonder if he’ll proceed.

                                          Only non-witches get due process.

                                          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                          George KG L 2 Replies Last reply
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