Jorgenson.
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I doubt that'll hold using realistic assumptions when the counting is over. I'll update my spreadsheet when the vote stabilizes.
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Ultimately it’s neither here nor there. You can’t assume that all of those votes would have gone to Trump. Many likely would have not voted. That was my fallback position in 16... If Trump hadn’t won them over yet, that’s not Jorgensen’s fault.
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Well that's sort of the point. You can play with a range of assumptions about what percentage wouldn't vote and how those who did might break.
But you gotta figure a whole bunch of them wouldn't have voted the presidential line, or written in someone. They clearly decided not to support Trump or Biden.
