Viruses gotta virus.
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@Jolly said in Viruses gotta virus.:
On this virus, many of the epidemiologists knew just slightly more than the average economist.
But his argument doesn't hold water. He's saying social distancing doesn't work, and as evidence he's saying look at all these rich people who didn't practice social distancing that have been infected.
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What he's saying, is none of the mitigation efforts we make are lasting.
And in that, he is correct.
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He's also saying there's no point in further shut-downs, which again doesn't make sense. The point of the shut-down was to slow the virus. It's now speeding up again. If there aren't further shut-downs, what's to stop another Italy or NYC situation?
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Testing and treatment.
We've gotten a lot better at both. Doesn't mean we won't have some bad hotspots, but if (but if) we can protect the most vulnerable, we may not overwhelm the medical system. And if that be the case, maybe we can generate herd immunity.
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Bad hotspots? Weโve already had 4 worse than NYC, but the hospitalizations have not come close to exceeding capacity. The deaths of Florida, CA, TX donโt equal the totals from NY and NJ in the early days despite a much larger number of cases. We accomplished what we were told needed to be accomplished.
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I don't think it would be smart to be too complacent. This isn't over yet.
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I watched a news story a few minutes ago about how Sweden didn't have any lockdown, and have done better regarding the China virus than anyone. They've done so much better on fact it's causing many of the experts to consider the possibility that locking down doesn't help at all.
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@Jolly said in Viruses gotta virus.:
maybe we can generate herd immunity.
Interesting article in National Geographic on why herd mentality will not work.
(PS I have a subsription to National Geographic, but I believe this article can be read by anyone)
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That was a loooowwwww blow. We need to moooove on.