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The New Coffee Room

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  3. Trumpenomics

Trumpenomics

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  • jon-nycJ Offline
    jon-nycJ Offline
    jon-nyc
    wrote on last edited by
    #523

    Seems like a good time to repost this.

    IMG_4051.jpeg

    Only non-witches get due process.

    • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
    1 Reply Last reply
    • HoraceH Offline
      HoraceH Offline
      Horace
      wrote on last edited by
      #524

      Glenn Greenwald on the idea-swapping going on, as the pro- and anti-Trump sides spout their rhetoric.

      If nothing else good comes of this, at least we can emerge with the free trade issue settled, to a greater degree than it had been. Trade barriers have been a bad idea on both sides of the aisle over history.

      Link to video

      Education is extremely important.

      jon-nycJ RenaudaR 2 Replies Last reply
      • jon-nycJ Offline
        jon-nycJ Offline
        jon-nyc
        wrote on last edited by
        #525

        He spelled ‘the right’ wrong.

        Only non-witches get due process.

        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
        1 Reply Last reply
        • HoraceH Horace

          Glenn Greenwald on the idea-swapping going on, as the pro- and anti-Trump sides spout their rhetoric.

          If nothing else good comes of this, at least we can emerge with the free trade issue settled, to a greater degree than it had been. Trade barriers have been a bad idea on both sides of the aisle over history.

          Link to video

          jon-nycJ Offline
          jon-nycJ Offline
          jon-nyc
          wrote on last edited by
          #526

          @Horace said in Trumpenomics:

          If nothing else good comes of this…

          It might be worth it just for the penguin memes.

          Only non-witches get due process.

          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
          jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
          • jon-nycJ Offline
            jon-nycJ Offline
            jon-nyc
            wrote on last edited by
            #527

            IMG_4052.jpeg

            Only non-witches get due process.

            • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
            1 Reply Last reply
            • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

              @Horace said in Trumpenomics:

              If nothing else good comes of this…

              It might be worth it just for the penguin memes.

              jon-nycJ Offline
              jon-nycJ Offline
              jon-nyc
              wrote on last edited by
              #528

              @jon-nyc said in Trumpenomics:

              @Horace said in Trumpenomics:

              If nothing else good comes of this…

              It might be worth it just for the penguin memes.

              Only non-witches get due process.

              • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
              RenaudaR 1 Reply Last reply
              • jon-nycJ Offline
                jon-nycJ Offline
                jon-nyc
                wrote on last edited by
                #529

                Only non-witches get due process.

                • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                1 Reply Last reply
                • jon-nycJ Offline
                  jon-nycJ Offline
                  jon-nyc
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #530

                  IMG_4053.jpeg

                  Only non-witches get due process.

                  • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                    @jon-nyc said in Trumpenomics:

                    @Horace said in Trumpenomics:

                    If nothing else good comes of this…

                    It might be worth it just for the penguin memes.

                    RenaudaR Offline
                    RenaudaR Offline
                    Renauda
                    wrote on last edited by Renauda
                    #531

                    @jon-nyc said in Trumpenomics:

                    @jon-nyc said in Trumpenomics:

                    @Horace said in Trumpenomics:

                    If nothing else good comes of this…

                    It might be worth it just for the penguin memes.

                    It’s not just the penguins in the southern hemisphere Trump is going after, but their northern cousins, the Puffins, as well that inhabit the little islands of St. Pierre and Miquelon just off the coast of Newfoundland.

                    Trump really has it out for iconic sea birds.

                    Elbows up!

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • HoraceH Horace

                      Glenn Greenwald on the idea-swapping going on, as the pro- and anti-Trump sides spout their rhetoric.

                      If nothing else good comes of this, at least we can emerge with the free trade issue settled, to a greater degree than it had been. Trade barriers have been a bad idea on both sides of the aisle over history.

                      Link to video

                      RenaudaR Offline
                      RenaudaR Offline
                      Renauda
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #532

                      @Horace

                      Glenn Greenwald on the idea-swapping going on, as the pro- and anti-Trump sides spout their rhetoric.

                      He really seems to be chasing his own tail on the subject. He can’t seem to wrap his mind around the fact that opposition to free trade and globalization is not nor has it ever been exclusively a right vs left issue. Opposition to free trade is a readily exploitable political stances for populist opportunists inhabiting both sides of political spectrum.

                      He either needs some schooling on the horseshoe theory or take his head out of his ass and actually pay attention to what’s happening around him.

                      Elbows up!

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                        The fashion guy is doing this to all the magat grifters.

                        jon-nycJ Offline
                        jon-nycJ Offline
                        jon-nyc
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #533

                        @jon-nyc said in Trumpenomics:

                        The fashion guy is doing this to all the magat grifters.

                        More today.

                        Only non-witches get due process.

                        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • N NobodySock

                          Futures tomorrow look grim. Has anyone given thought to the real reason he’s doing this? He simply needs to be the center of attention to feed the narcissim. And the whole purpose of the tarriffs are to get nations to come entreat witu the Donald and bend the knee and do it all in front of cameras so the world can see how important the king of America is. And he will most certainly deal. That’s what he does. He is not so dense that he is not bombarded with econmic 101 lessons by his people. He has to understand the trade imbalances that exist are just like what was mentioned earlier here. No country’s gouging the USA.. But i wouldnt blame them if they tried as we are sitting on the biggest pot of money and global power the world has ever known. We are the bull 🐂 n the China shop and Trump wants to hop on and ride it for 8 seconds if he can. Look 👀 at me, i’m Sandra Dee is what this all is.
                          I have never personally met Someone whose personality is so overtly poisoned.

                          N Offline
                          N Offline
                          NobodySock
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #534

                          @NobodySock said in Trumpenomics:

                          Futures tomorrow look grim. Has anyone given thought to the real reason he’s doing this? He simply needs to be the center of attention to feed the narcissim. And the whole purpose of the tarriffs are to get nations to come entreat witu the Donald and bend the knee and do it all in front of cameras so the world can see how important the king of America is. And he will most certainly deal. That’s what he does. He is not so dense that he is not bombarded with econmic 101 lessons by his people. He has to understand the trade imbalances that exist are just like what was mentioned earlier here. No country’s gouging the USA.. But i wouldnt blame them if they tried as we are sitting on the biggest pot of money and global power the world has ever known. We are the bull 🐂 n the China shop and Trump wants to hop on and ride it for 8 seconds if he can. Look 👀 at me, i’m Sandra Dee is what this all is.
                          I have never personally met Someone whose personality is so overtly poisoned.

                          Ha! I knew it before they did.

                          Link to video

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • HoraceH Offline
                            HoraceH Offline
                            Horace
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #535

                            The best attempt I've seen to have a reasonable pro-tariff discussion: (Megyn Kelly and VDH)

                            Link to video

                            It's not really worth muddling through the whole thing, as they can't provide the essential piece to the argument where they connect dots between these tariffs, and helping poor people. They just assume the stated intent, will be the outcome.

                            They accept a drop in the stock market as the price to be paid to help poor people. Which is fine. Same justification could be used for a higher corporate tax, for instance, which might fund manufacturing industry subsidies, or other programs to help elevate people economically.

                            For the other side of the argument, I thought this was good. Clear explanations of job losses and economic damage in small businesses and the lower class. I hope to see more of this guy in financial interviews, he's good.

                            Link to video

                            Education is extremely important.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • jon-nycJ Offline
                              jon-nycJ Offline
                              jon-nyc
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #536

                              @LuFins-Dad

                              Bessent seems to be pushing him toward negotiations, Miller and Navarro for permanence.

                              Today the White House retweeted and then deleted a tweet from Navarro saying they were here to stay.

                              Seems like a battle is going on.

                              https://www.politico.com/news/2025/04/07/trump-bessent-trade-deals-tariff-endgame-messaging-00277395

                              Only non-witches get due process.

                              • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                              LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                              • HoraceH Offline
                                HoraceH Offline
                                Horace
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #537

                                I think the 10% universal tariff sticks until jobs numbers or inflation numbers push him off of it. The negotiations are to reduce >10% to 10%. That's my prediction anyway.

                                Education is extremely important.

                                X 1 Reply Last reply
                                • HoraceH Horace

                                  I think the 10% universal tariff sticks until jobs numbers or inflation numbers push him off of it. The negotiations are to reduce >10% to 10%. That's my prediction anyway.

                                  X Offline
                                  X Offline
                                  xenon
                                  wrote on last edited by xenon
                                  #538

                                  @Horace said in Trumpenomics:

                                  I think the 10% universal tariff sticks until jobs numbers or inflation numbers push him off of it. The negotiations are to reduce >10% to 10%. That's my prediction anyway.

                                  Optimistic take. In the sense that anyone will be forced to admit that lower growth is attributable to tariffs.

                                  Tariffs are also a huge compliance burden and corruption surface. I haven't seen any clarity on how these things are going to be levied. Will it be on Bill-of-materials? (e.g., what the thing being imported is worth) - which is easier. Or is it based on value-add (what did the last country add vs. all the countries before it?) - which is more accurate.

                                  It becomes important - e.g., China contributes about 25% of the value in an iphone, but the trade deficit takes into account the full BOM (chips sourced from Japan, Taiwan, etc.).

                                  You don't have to do any of this work before you introduce tariffs - and then you have to do it by every product in the economy. And then we rail against regulations.

                                  HoraceH Doctor PhibesD 2 Replies Last reply
                                  • X xenon

                                    @Horace said in Trumpenomics:

                                    I think the 10% universal tariff sticks until jobs numbers or inflation numbers push him off of it. The negotiations are to reduce >10% to 10%. That's my prediction anyway.

                                    Optimistic take. In the sense that anyone will be forced to admit that lower growth is attributable to tariffs.

                                    Tariffs are also a huge compliance burden and corruption surface. I haven't seen any clarity on how these things are going to be levied. Will it be on Bill-of-materials? (e.g., what the thing being imported is worth) - which is easier. Or is it based on value-add (what did the last country add vs. all the countries before it?) - which is more accurate.

                                    It becomes important - e.g., China contributes about 25% of the value in an iphone, but the trade deficit takes into account the full BOM (chips sourced from Japan, Taiwan, etc.).

                                    You don't have to do any of this work before you introduce tariffs - and then you have to do it by every product in the economy. And then we rail against regulations.

                                    HoraceH Offline
                                    HoraceH Offline
                                    Horace
                                    wrote on last edited by Horace
                                    #539

                                    @xenon said in Trumpenomics:

                                    Optimistic take. In the sense that anyone will be forced to admit that lower growth is attributable to tariffs.

                                    I don't know anybody will ever admit that. They can always find a reason to claim victory and reduce them, after they've made America great again.

                                    Tariffs are also a huge compliance burden and corruption surface. I haven't seen any clarity on how these things are going to be levied. Will it be on Bill-of-materials? (e.g., what the thing being imported is worth) - which is easier. Or is it based on value-add (what did the last country add vs. all the countries before it?) - which is more accurate.

                                    It becomes important - e.g., China contributes about 25% of the value in an iphone, but the trade deficit takes into account the full BOM (chips sourced from Japan, Taiwan, etc.).

                                    You don't have to do any of this work before you introduce tariffs - and then you have to do it by every product in the economy. And then we rail against regulations.

                                    Interesting, thanks for those details.

                                    Education is extremely important.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • X xenon

                                      @Horace said in Trumpenomics:

                                      I think the 10% universal tariff sticks until jobs numbers or inflation numbers push him off of it. The negotiations are to reduce >10% to 10%. That's my prediction anyway.

                                      Optimistic take. In the sense that anyone will be forced to admit that lower growth is attributable to tariffs.

                                      Tariffs are also a huge compliance burden and corruption surface. I haven't seen any clarity on how these things are going to be levied. Will it be on Bill-of-materials? (e.g., what the thing being imported is worth) - which is easier. Or is it based on value-add (what did the last country add vs. all the countries before it?) - which is more accurate.

                                      It becomes important - e.g., China contributes about 25% of the value in an iphone, but the trade deficit takes into account the full BOM (chips sourced from Japan, Taiwan, etc.).

                                      You don't have to do any of this work before you introduce tariffs - and then you have to do it by every product in the economy. And then we rail against regulations.

                                      Doctor PhibesD Offline
                                      Doctor PhibesD Offline
                                      Doctor Phibes
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #540

                                      @xenon said in Trumpenomics:

                                      Tariffs are also a huge compliance burden and corruption surface. I haven't seen any clarity on how these things are going to be levied. Will it be on Bill-of-materials? (e.g., what the thing being imported is worth) - which is easier. Or is it based on value-add (what did the last country add vs. all the countries before it?) - which is more accurate.

                                      Isn't it fortunate that we've got Mr. Attention to Detail running the show.

                                      I was only joking

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • AxtremusA Away
                                        AxtremusA Away
                                        Axtremus
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #541

                                        Op-ed addressing the question "why Wall Street didn't see it coming":

                                        https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/07/opinion/trump-stock-market-wall-street.html?unlocked_article_code=1.-E4._Kns.XqOzmB6G3a4W

                                        Why Did So Many People Delude Themselves About Trump?

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • HoraceH Offline
                                          HoraceH Offline
                                          Horace
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #542

                                          Some wishful thinking, and some belief that it was just too crazy for even Trump to do.

                                          Education is extremely important.

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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