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The New Coffee Room

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  3. RIP Hydroxychloroquine

RIP Hydroxychloroquine

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  • George KG George K

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/05/22/hydroxychloroquine-coronavirus-study/

    A study of 96,000 hospitalized coronavirus patients on six continents found that those who received an antimalarial drug promoted by President Trump as a “game changer” in the fight against the virus had a significantly higher risk of death compared with those who did not.

    The study, published Friday in the medical journal the Lancet, is the largest analysis to date of the risks and benefits of treating covid-19 patients with antimalarial drugs. It is based on a retrospective analysis of medical records, not a controlled study in which patients are divided randomly into treatment groups — a method considered the gold standard of medicine. But the sheer size of the study was convincing to some scientists.

    “It’s one thing not to have benefit, but this shows distinct harm,” said Eric Topol, a cardiologist and director of the Scripps Research Translational Institute. “If there was ever hope for this drug, this is the death of it.”

    David Maron, director of preventive cardiology at the Stanford University School of Medicine, said that “these findings provide absolutely no reason for optimism that these drugs might be useful in the prevention or treatment of covid-19...”

    The difference between patients who received the antimalarials and those who did not was striking.

    For those given hydroxychloroquine, there was a 34 percent increase in risk of mortality and a 137 percent increased risk of a serious heart arrhythmias. For those receiving hydroxychloroquine and an antibiotic — the cocktail endorsed by Trump — there was a 45 percent increased risk of death and a 411 percent increased risk of serious heart arrhythmias.

    Those given chloroquine had a 37 percent increased risk of death and a 256 percent increased risk of serious heart arrhythmias. For those taking chloroquine and an antibiotic, there was a 37 percent increased risk of death and a 301 percent increased risk of serious heart arrhythmias.

    Cardiologist Steven Nissen of the Cleveland Clinic said the new data, combined with data from smaller previous studies, suggests that the drug “is maybe harmful and that no one should be taking it outside of a clinical trial.”

    Jesse Goodman, a former FDA chief scientist who is now a Georgetown University professor, called the report “very concerning.” He noted, however, that it is an observational study, rather than a randomized controlled trial, so it shows correlation between the drugs and certain outcomes, rather than a clear cause and effect.

    Peter Lurie, a former top FDA official who now heads the Center for Science in the Public Interest, called the report “another nail in the coffin for hydroxychloroquine — this time from the largest study ever.”

    Here's what I don't understand: HCQ is a drug that's been around for decades being used as an antimalarial, in the treatment of lupus, and other diseases. Why is it dangerous now? What is it about the SARS-CoV-2 infection that makes it so.

    The article suggests that it is because of a higher dose being used as well as the underlying pathology of the infection:

    For years, hydroxychloroquine has been considered a generally safe and effective treatment for malaria, lupus and rheumatoid arthritis.

    But those findings of safety were at lower doses than were being used at hospitals during the early days of the surge in patients in the United States and mostly in patients who were healthy.

    JoeBJ Offline
    JoeBJ Offline
    JoeB
    wrote on last edited by
    #19

    @George-K
    The Lancet article has been discredited.

    “After publication of our Lancet Article,1 several concerns were raised with respect to the veracity of the data and analyses conducted by Surgisphere Corporation and its founder and our co-author, Sapan Desai, in our publication. We launched an independent third-party peer review of Surgisphere with the consent of Sapan Desai to evaluate the origination of the database elements, to confirm the completeness of the database, and to replicate the analyses presented in the paper.
    Our independent peer reviewers informed us that Surgisphere would not transfer the full dataset, client contracts, and the full ISO audit report to their servers for analysis as such transfer would violate client agreements and confidentiality requirements. As such, our reviewers were not able to conduct an independent and private peer review and therefore notified us of their withdrawal from the peer-review process.
    We always aspire to perform our research in accordance with the highest ethical and professional guidelines. We can never forget the responsibility we have as researchers to scrupulously ensure that we rely on data sources that adhere to our high standards. Based on this development, we can no longer vouch for the veracity of the primary data sources. Due to this unfortunate development, the authors request that the paper be retracted.
    We all entered this collaboration to contribute in good faith and at a time of great need during the COVID-19 pandemic. We deeply apologise to you, the editors, and the journal readership for any embarrassment or inconvenience that this may have caused.“

    One rumor is that Surgisphere consists of a cryptocurrency trader, a science fiction writer, and an online sex performer. So much for peer reviewed.

    "There are many ingredients in the stew of annoyance." - Bucky Katt

    1 Reply Last reply
    • AxtremusA Offline
      AxtremusA Offline
      Axtremus
      wrote on last edited by
      #20

      https://www.politico.com/news/2020/08/02/trump-health-official-hydroxychloroquine-390601
      — — — —
      official in the Trump administration's Covid-19 response effort said Sunday there is no evidence that hydroxychloroquine is an effective treatment for the virus, despite President Donald Trump's continued promotion of the anti-malaria drug.

      In an interview on NBC's "Meet the Press," administration testing czar Brett Giroir said he could not recommend hydroxychloroquine because trials "do not show any benefit."

      "We need to move on from that and talk about what is effective,” Giroir, assistant secretary at the Department of Health and Human Services said.
      — — — —

      L 1 Reply Last reply
      • CopperC Offline
        CopperC Offline
        Copper
        wrote on last edited by
        #21

        I refuse to believe that the scientists have fed us inconsistent information about covid.

        Why would they do that?

        1 Reply Last reply
        • AxtremusA Axtremus

          https://www.politico.com/news/2020/08/02/trump-health-official-hydroxychloroquine-390601
          — — — —
          official in the Trump administration's Covid-19 response effort said Sunday there is no evidence that hydroxychloroquine is an effective treatment for the virus, despite President Donald Trump's continued promotion of the anti-malaria drug.

          In an interview on NBC's "Meet the Press," administration testing czar Brett Giroir said he could not recommend hydroxychloroquine because trials "do not show any benefit."

          "We need to move on from that and talk about what is effective,” Giroir, assistant secretary at the Department of Health and Human Services said.
          — — — —

          L Offline
          L Offline
          Loki
          wrote on last edited by
          #22

          @Axtremus said in RIP Hydroxychloroquine:

          https://www.politico.com/news/2020/08/02/trump-health-official-hydroxychloroquine-390601
          — — — —
          official in the Trump administration's Covid-19 response effort said Sunday there is no evidence that hydroxychloroquine is an effective treatment for the virus, despite President Donald Trump's continued promotion of the anti-malaria drug.

          In an interview on NBC's "Meet the Press," administration testing czar Brett Giroir said he could not recommend hydroxychloroquine because trials "do not show any benefit."

          "We need to move on from that and talk about what is effective,” Giroir, assistant secretary at the Department of Health and Human Services said.
          — — — —

          Last I heard is that it was dangerous and could kill you. Did they back off that or ignore it? What’s the media position on harm?

          George KG 1 Reply Last reply
          • L Loki

            @Axtremus said in RIP Hydroxychloroquine:

            https://www.politico.com/news/2020/08/02/trump-health-official-hydroxychloroquine-390601
            — — — —
            official in the Trump administration's Covid-19 response effort said Sunday there is no evidence that hydroxychloroquine is an effective treatment for the virus, despite President Donald Trump's continued promotion of the anti-malaria drug.

            In an interview on NBC's "Meet the Press," administration testing czar Brett Giroir said he could not recommend hydroxychloroquine because trials "do not show any benefit."

            "We need to move on from that and talk about what is effective,” Giroir, assistant secretary at the Department of Health and Human Services said.
            — — — —

            Last I heard is that it was dangerous and could kill you. Did they back off that or ignore it? What’s the media position on harm?

            George KG Offline
            George KG Offline
            George K
            wrote on last edited by
            #23

            @Loki said in RIP Hydroxychloroquine:

            Last I heard is that it was dangerous and could kill you. Did they back off that or ignore it? What’s the media position on harm?

            Plaquenil® has been around for decades and has a good safety profile, when used as an anti-malarial, and when used in Lupus and rheumatoid arthritis. 400 mg seems to be a safe dose in those conditions. I'm too lazy to look up what doses were used in the treatment of patients with COVID-19. My understanding is that cardiac toxicity is one of the concerns.

            I'm also too lazy to look up the studies saying it's of no use - what doses were given? At what stage of disease?

            "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

            The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

            jodiJ 1 Reply Last reply
            • George KG Offline
              George KG Offline
              George K
              wrote on last edited by
              #24

              https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2020/08/04/an_effective_covid_treatment_the_media_continues_to_besmirch_143875.html

              There are now 53 studies that show positive results of hydroxychloroquine in COVID infections. There are 14 global studies that show neutral or negative results -- and 10 of them were of patients in very late stages of COVID-19, where no antiviral drug can be expected to have much effect. Of the remaining four studies, two come from the same University of Minnesota author. The other two are from the faulty Brazil paper, which should be retracted, and the fake Lancet paper, which was.

              Millions of people are taking or have taken hydroxychloroquine in nations that have managed to get their national pandemic under some degree of control. Two recent, large, early-use clinical trials have been conducted by the Henry Ford Health System and at Mount Sinai showing a 51% and 47% lower mortality, respectively, in hospitalized patients given hydroxychloroquine. A recent study from Spain published on July 29, two days before Margaret Sullivan’s strafing of “fringe doctors,” shows a 66% reduction in COVID mortality in patients taking hydroxychloroquine. No serious side effects were reported in these studies and no epidemic of heartbeat abnormalities.

              This is ground-shaking news. Why is it not being widely reported? Why is the American media trying to run the U.S. pandemic response with its own misinformation?

              >Steven Hatfill is a veteran virologist who helped establish the Rapid Hemorrhagic Fever Response Teams for the National Medical Disaster Unit in Kenya, Africa. He is an adjunct assistant professor in two departments at the George Washington University Medical Center where he teaches mass casualty medicine. He is principle author of the prophetic book “Three Seconds Until Midnight -- Preparing for the Next Pandemic,” published by Amazon in 2019.

              "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

              The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • JollyJ Offline
                JollyJ Offline
                Jolly
                wrote on last edited by
                #25

                What happens if it turns out Trump was right?

                BTW, and for the record, docs at The Lake in Baton Rouge (which has 8 COVID wards) routinely prescribe the cocktail. Sometimes in medicine, you believe your eyes.

                “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                1 Reply Last reply
                • Doctor PhibesD Offline
                  Doctor PhibesD Offline
                  Doctor Phibes
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #26

                  It clearly should never have been politicised in the way that it has.

                  I was only joking

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • George KG Offline
                    George KG Offline
                    George K
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #27

                    One of the criticisms I saw leveled against this article is that the articles that the author cites as showing a positive result were not double-blind studies.

                    So, from a practical point, let me ask this:

                    You start developing symptoms of COVID-19, and your doc sees that you test positive.

                    He says to you, "Hey, we're conducting a large study of people infected with SARS-CoV-2. It's a double blind study on the effectiveness of HCQ. We don't know, and you won't know, if you're getting a placebo or the medication. Can I sign you up?"

                    Who would say "Sure! I'd be thrilled to have a 50/50 chance of getting a placebo vs a drug that might work.?"

                    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                    jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                    • George KG George K

                      One of the criticisms I saw leveled against this article is that the articles that the author cites as showing a positive result were not double-blind studies.

                      So, from a practical point, let me ask this:

                      You start developing symptoms of COVID-19, and your doc sees that you test positive.

                      He says to you, "Hey, we're conducting a large study of people infected with SARS-CoV-2. It's a double blind study on the effectiveness of HCQ. We don't know, and you won't know, if you're getting a placebo or the medication. Can I sign you up?"

                      Who would say "Sure! I'd be thrilled to have a 50/50 chance of getting a placebo vs a drug that might work.?"

                      jon-nycJ Online
                      jon-nycJ Online
                      jon-nyc
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #28

                      @George-K said in RIP Hydroxychloroquine:

                      Who would say "Sure! I'd be thrilled to have a 50/50 chance of getting a placebo vs a drug that might work.?"

                      Most people who have ever participated in a drug trial do just that.

                      Only non-witches get due process.

                      • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                      LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                      • Doctor PhibesD Offline
                        Doctor PhibesD Offline
                        Doctor Phibes
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #29

                        I must admit my first thought when I read anything on HCQ is 'what's their agenda?', which is pretty sad.

                        I was only joking

                        George KG 1 Reply Last reply
                        • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                          @George-K said in RIP Hydroxychloroquine:

                          Who would say "Sure! I'd be thrilled to have a 50/50 chance of getting a placebo vs a drug that might work.?"

                          Most people who have ever participated in a drug trial do just that.

                          LuFins DadL Offline
                          LuFins DadL Offline
                          LuFins Dad
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #30

                          @jon-nyc said in RIP Hydroxychloroquine:

                          @George-K said in RIP Hydroxychloroquine:

                          Who would say "Sure! I'd be thrilled to have a 50/50 chance of getting a placebo vs a drug that might work.?"

                          Most people who have ever participated in a drug trial do just that.

                          Most of those studies aren’t dealing with an illness with as much public hysteria as COVID-19.

                          The Brad

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                            I must admit my first thought when I read anything on HCQ is 'what's their agenda?', which is pretty sad.

                            George KG Offline
                            George KG Offline
                            George K
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #31

                            @Doctor-Phibes said in RIP Hydroxychloroquine:

                            I must admit my first thought when I read anything on HCQ is 'what's their agenda?', which is pretty sad.

                            Remember when they said that TRump had a financial stake in pushing HCQ?

                            "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                            The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                            L 1 Reply Last reply
                            • George KG George K

                              @Loki said in RIP Hydroxychloroquine:

                              Last I heard is that it was dangerous and could kill you. Did they back off that or ignore it? What’s the media position on harm?

                              Plaquenil® has been around for decades and has a good safety profile, when used as an anti-malarial, and when used in Lupus and rheumatoid arthritis. 400 mg seems to be a safe dose in those conditions. I'm too lazy to look up what doses were used in the treatment of patients with COVID-19. My understanding is that cardiac toxicity is one of the concerns.

                              I'm also too lazy to look up the studies saying it's of no use - what doses were given? At what stage of disease?

                              jodiJ Offline
                              jodiJ Offline
                              jodi
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #32

                              @George-K Steve was prescribed 2 (200mg) tabs TID the first day, then 1 (200mg) tab TID on days 2 - 5. Were told to go BID if the nausea got too bad (and the nausea got really bad, I think he want to twice a day the last two days)

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • George KG George K

                                @Doctor-Phibes said in RIP Hydroxychloroquine:

                                I must admit my first thought when I read anything on HCQ is 'what's their agenda?', which is pretty sad.

                                Remember when they said that TRump had a financial stake in pushing HCQ?

                                L Offline
                                L Offline
                                Loki
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #33

                                @George-K said in RIP Hydroxychloroquine:

                                @Doctor-Phibes said in RIP Hydroxychloroquine:

                                I must admit my first thought when I read anything on HCQ is 'what's their agenda?', which is pretty sad.

                                Remember when they said that TRump had a financial stake in pushing HCQ?

                                NYT. What a bunch of putz’s. I never thought in my lifetime I would say that about them but hey that’s where they are.

                                Aqua LetiferA 1 Reply Last reply
                                • L Loki

                                  @George-K said in RIP Hydroxychloroquine:

                                  @Doctor-Phibes said in RIP Hydroxychloroquine:

                                  I must admit my first thought when I read anything on HCQ is 'what's their agenda?', which is pretty sad.

                                  Remember when they said that TRump had a financial stake in pushing HCQ?

                                  NYT. What a bunch of putz’s. I never thought in my lifetime I would say that about them but hey that’s where they are.

                                  Aqua LetiferA Offline
                                  Aqua LetiferA Offline
                                  Aqua Letifer
                                  wrote on last edited by Aqua Letifer
                                  #34

                                  @Loki said in RIP Hydroxychloroquine:

                                  NYT. What a bunch of putz’s. I never thought in my lifetime I would say that about them but hey that’s where they are.

                                  #metoo (Remember that? What happened to that?)

                                  But hey, Rolling Stone's surprising me. They seem to have some staff and managers still struggling to carry on.

                                  Please love yourself.

                                  JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                                  • Aqua LetiferA Aqua Letifer

                                    @Loki said in RIP Hydroxychloroquine:

                                    NYT. What a bunch of putz’s. I never thought in my lifetime I would say that about them but hey that’s where they are.

                                    #metoo (Remember that? What happened to that?)

                                    But hey, Rolling Stone's surprising me. They seem to have some staff and managers still struggling to carry on.

                                    JollyJ Offline
                                    JollyJ Offline
                                    Jolly
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #35

                                    @Aqua-Letifer said in RIP Hydroxychloroquine:

                                    @Loki said in RIP Hydroxychloroquine:

                                    NYT. What a bunch of putz’s. I never thought in my lifetime I would say that about them but hey that’s where they are.

                                    #metoo (Remember that? What happened to that?)

                                    But hey, Rolling Stone's surprising me. They seem to have some staff and managers still struggling to carry on.

                                    Then, may they succeed.

                                    “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                    Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • George KG Offline
                                      George KG Offline
                                      George K
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #36

                                      All the studies on HCQ:

                                      https://c19study.com/?fbclid=IwAR0w3T4BvOPw5K_jOCBpDmZGzt4MR317ROpbYcg8oLZg0w7Oc3LXZFLemWk

                                      Delay in treatment delays effectiveness of HCQ.

                                      "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                      The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • JollyJ Offline
                                        JollyJ Offline
                                        Jolly
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #37

                                        Interesting.

                                        As I've said, I would take the cocktail.

                                        “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                        Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • George KG Offline
                                          George KG Offline
                                          George K
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #38
                                          1. It's not double-blind
                                          2. It's retrospective
                                          3. It's large: 8000-plus patients.

                                          https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0924857920303423?via%3Dihub

                                          Abstract
                                          Background
                                          Hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) has been largely used and investigated as therapy of COVID-19 across various settings, at total dose usually ranging from 2400 mg to 9600 mg. In Belgium, off-label use of low-dose HCQ (2400 mg in total over five days) was recommended for hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

                                          Methods
                                          We conducted a retrospective analysis of in-hospital mortality in the Belgian national COVID-19 hospital surveillance data. Patients treated either with HCQ alone and supportive care (HCQ group) were compared to patients treated with supportive care only (no-HCQ group) using a competing risks proportional hazards regression with discharge alive as competing risk, adjusted for demographic and clinical features with robust standard errors.

                                          Results
                                          Of 8075 patients with complete discharge data on 24th of May and diagnosed before the 1st of May, 4542 received HCQ in monotherapy and 3533 were in the no-HCQ group. Death was reported in 804/4542 (17.7%) and 957/3533 (27.1%), respectively. In the multivariable analysis, the mortality was lower in the HCQ group compared to the no-HCQ group (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.684, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.617–0.758). Compared to the no-HCQ group, mortality in the HCQ group was reduced both in patients diagnosed ≤ 5 days (n=3975) and > 5 days (n=3487) after symptom onset (adjusted HR 0.701, 95% CI 0.617–0.796 and adjusted HR 0.647, 95% CI 0.525–0.797, respectively).

                                          Conclusions
                                          Compared to supportive care only, low-dose HCQ monotherapy was independently associated with lower mortality in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 diagnosed and treated early or later after symptom onset.

                                          It's not clear to me what "supportive care" only means. A ventilator is "supportive" in the sense that it doesn't really cure anything. It allows other therapies to work or allows healing to occur.

                                          "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                          The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

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