Syria, Syria, Syria...
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Very simple. Up until recently, the force that upheld Assad was hezbollah. Now they have been decimated and are not available to protect Assad from the Syrian rebels.
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I spent ~ two weeks in Homs Syria (pre-war of course). The most outstanding memory was groups of kids that looked around teen age years hanging around on the street corners carrying machine guns.

Crossed to the other side of the street when I saw them.
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From a Ukrainian point of view
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From a Ukrainian point of view
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Tartus is out of Russian hands. At least for the moment. I doubt Syria's new government is very friendly to Moscow in the foreseeable future.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/syria-deals-blow-to-putin-s-fleet-in-mediterranean/ar-AA1xEcDd
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Having wonHaving lost the hearts and minds of the Syrian locals:“The Russians based nearby often raided our neighborhood,” he says. “We were terrified of them, especially the Chechen fighters. We avoided interacting with them, but it wasn’t a peaceful relationship. They were monstrous. They would often come to our market and just take whatever they wanted. But what could we do?”
Abu Salmun, an elderly man standing nearby whose face is scarred by an explosion during the siege, interrupts Latif.
“Under the 2018 agreement, Assad’s forces couldn’t enter Ghouta. So it was the Russians who handled security,” he explains. “Assad had the Iranians behind him, and the Iranians had the Russians behind them. In the end, it was the Russians who called all the shots.”
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