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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. It’s starting

It’s starting

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved General Discussion
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  • Aqua LetiferA Aqua Letifer

    I wish we could stop pretending that this is an election to decide on the best candidate for the country and start admitting that whoever's going to win is arbitrarily ahead in the polls on that particular day. It's not like anyone in the country whose financial future is tied to a particular candidate actually likes any of these people.

    taiwan_girlT Offline
    taiwan_girlT Offline
    taiwan_girl
    wrote on last edited by
    #131

    @Aqua-Letifer said in It’s starting:

    I wish we could stop pretending that this is an election to decide on the best candidate for the country and start admitting that whoever's going to win is arbitrarily ahead in the polls on that particular day.

    Aqua says the truth.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • LuFins DadL Offline
      LuFins DadL Offline
      LuFins Dad
      wrote on last edited by
      #132

      Leveled off, some signs it will start contracting again over the next few days…alt text

      The Brad

      1 Reply Last reply
      • LuFins DadL Offline
        LuFins DadL Offline
        LuFins Dad
        wrote on last edited by
        #133

        alt text

        The Brad

        1 Reply Last reply
        • LuFins DadL Offline
          LuFins DadL Offline
          LuFins Dad
          wrote on last edited by
          #134

          Weird, RCP shows a .2 drop for Kamala this morning, but I haven’t seen any polls posted to support the drop.

          The Brad

          AxtremusA 1 Reply Last reply
          • LuFins DadL Offline
            LuFins DadL Offline
            LuFins Dad
            wrote on last edited by
            #135

            Nate posted this today. It brought a smile to my face https://www.huffpost.com/entry/whats-wrong-with-538_b_581ffe18e4b0334571e09e74

            The Brad

            AxtremusA 1 Reply Last reply
            • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

              Weird, RCP shows a .2 drop for Kamala this morning, but I haven’t seen any polls posted to support the drop.

              AxtremusA Offline
              AxtremusA Offline
              Axtremus
              wrote on last edited by
              #136

              @LuFins-Dad said in It’s starting:

              Weird, RCP shows a .2 drop for Kamala this morning, but I haven’t seen any polls posted to support the drop.

              Probably just changing weights as polls age.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                Nate posted this today. It brought a smile to my face https://www.huffpost.com/entry/whats-wrong-with-538_b_581ffe18e4b0334571e09e74

                AxtremusA Offline
                AxtremusA Offline
                Axtremus
                wrote on last edited by
                #137

                @LuFins-Dad said in It’s starting:

                Nate posted this today. It brought a smile to my face https://www.huffpost.com/entry/whats-wrong-with-538_b_581ffe18e4b0334571e09e74

                This links to an article dated Nov. 2016. You sure that's what you intended to post?

                LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                • AxtremusA Axtremus

                  @LuFins-Dad said in It’s starting:

                  Nate posted this today. It brought a smile to my face https://www.huffpost.com/entry/whats-wrong-with-538_b_581ffe18e4b0334571e09e74

                  This links to an article dated Nov. 2016. You sure that's what you intended to post?

                  LuFins DadL Offline
                  LuFins DadL Offline
                  LuFins Dad
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #138

                  @Axtremus said in It’s starting:

                  @LuFins-Dad said in It’s starting:

                  Nate posted this today. It brought a smile to my face https://www.huffpost.com/entry/whats-wrong-with-538_b_581ffe18e4b0334571e09e74

                  This links to an article dated Nov. 2016. You sure that's what you intended to post?

                  Yes.

                  The Brad

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • HoraceH Offline
                    HoraceH Offline
                    Horace
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #139

                    Ax can't imagine why Silver would want to post a link to that.

                    Ax's imagination should be studied by scientists.

                    Education is extremely important.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • jon-nycJ Online
                      jon-nycJ Online
                      jon-nyc
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #140

                      IMG_0392.jpeg

                      Only non-witches get due process.

                      • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                      LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                      • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                        IMG_0392.jpeg

                        LuFins DadL Offline
                        LuFins DadL Offline
                        LuFins Dad
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #141

                        @jon-nyc said in It’s starting:

                        IMG_0392.jpeg

                        So Trump is performing 25% better than he was in 2016 and 300% better than he did in 2020? I’ll take it.

                        The Brad

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • jon-nycJ Online
                          jon-nycJ Online
                          jon-nyc
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #142

                          Maybe the model is performing better.

                          Only non-witches get due process.

                          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • LuFins DadL Offline
                            LuFins DadL Offline
                            LuFins Dad
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #143

                            Yeah, hang your coat on that peg.

                            The Brad

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • jon-nycJ Online
                              jon-nycJ Online
                              jon-nyc
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #144

                              IMG_0407.jpeg

                              Only non-witches get due process.

                              • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                              LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                              • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                IMG_0407.jpeg

                                LuFins DadL Offline
                                LuFins DadL Offline
                                LuFins Dad
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #145

                                @jon-nyc said in It’s starting:

                                IMG_0407.jpeg

                                Still well above the 2016/20 levels… Little surprised she got a small uptick. Was there a poll release that I missed?

                                The Brad

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • jon-nycJ Online
                                  jon-nycJ Online
                                  jon-nyc
                                  wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                                  #146

                                  Not sure, could be state level polls, could also be polls aging out of the model.

                                  Only non-witches get due process.

                                  • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • LuFins DadL Offline
                                    LuFins DadL Offline
                                    LuFins Dad
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #147

                                    This hasn’t been a very good week for her.

                                    1. Mayorkas begging for more money during Hellene recovery efforts after $1 BILLION! Has been spent on on migrants on TPS and other programs over the last 2 years? Not good for the Border Czar.

                                    2. The Hellene response hasn’t been good, period.

                                    3. She and Joe look REALLY bad after telling Iran “Don’t” and they did. The statement she made afterward? Comeon… This woman doesn’t want the job.

                                    4. Walz had his ass handed to him. Worse, Vance came across as reasonable and blew the whole “weird” thing away.

                                    5. The whole hubby smacking his girlfriend around thing. I’m actually seriously wondering if she wants to be there, or he wants her to be there. And I’m not alone in that suspicion.

                                    The Brad

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • MikM Offline
                                      MikM Offline
                                      Mik
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #148

                                      Ok now it’s a dick up against a cat head eating a snail.

                                      “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • George KG Offline
                                        George KG Offline
                                        George K
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #149

                                        Not Nate:

                                        https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president

                                        "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                        The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • LuFins DadL Offline
                                          LuFins DadL Offline
                                          LuFins Dad
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #150

                                          alt text

                                          The Brad

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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